Friday, November 20, 2009

Market Outlook 20th Nov 2009

 
 
NIFTY FUTURE LEVELS
SUPPORT
4972
4939
4907
RESISTANCE
4997
5016
5050
5115
5148
__________________________________________________________________
Strong Futures
This is list of 10 Strong Futures: Sesa Goa, Jindal Saw Steel, McDowell-N, PFC, Hind Zinc, MLL, Orient Bank, Tata Motors, IDFC & Recltd..
Weak Futures
This is the list of 10 Weak Futures: EKC, Tata Comm, TTML, India Cement, ICSA, Unitech, Idea, Bharti Airtel, GMR Infra & Punj Lloyd
_________________________________________________________________
 
Daily trend of the market is down.
Market has taken resistance at 5050 level and started to come down. And as the trend of the market is still down on daily charts, so it is advisable not to create any long positions in Nifty.
___________________________________________________________
 
NIFTY FUTURES (F & O):
Selling may continue up to 4972-4974 zone for time being.
Hurdles at 4997 & 5016 levels. Above these levels, expect short covering up to 5048-5050 zone and thereafter expect a jump up to 5081-5083 zone by non-stop.

Sell if touches 5113-5115 zone. Stop Loss at 5146-5148 zone.

On Negative Side, break below 4939-4941 zone can create panic up to 4907-4909 zone by non-stop. If breaks & sustains this zone then downtrend may continue and have caution.
 
Short-Term Investors:  
1 Week: Bearish with a SL of 5024.00. Target at 4531.55.
1 Month: Bullish with a SL of 4620.00. Target at 6289.00.
3 Months: Bearish with a SL of 5080.00. Target at 2951.00.
1 Year: Bullish with a SL of 2575.00. Target at 6201.65.
 
Today's Expectation:
SGX NIFTY is trading at 4956.00. (08.21 AM IST)
This trend is on expected lines.
If this downtrend continues, then it may continue for 1 (or) 2 days.
If short covering starts, then it can continue up to 1 day.
 
BSE SENSEX:
Sell with a SL of 17083.20. Target at 16666.70. 

Short-Term Investors:  
1 Week: Bearish with a SL of 16909.74. Target at 15330.56.
1 Month: Bullish with a SL of 14937.03. Target at 18381.96.
3 Months: Bearish with a SL of 17361.47. Target at 12425.52.
1 Year: Bullish with a SL of 15197.60. Target at 18289.88.
 
BUY:
Buy AMIT SPINNERS (BSE Cash & BSE Code: 521076) 
Buy with a Stop Loss of 1.63. Above 4.39, it will zoom.
 
Today: May hold on gains.

1 Week: Bearish, surprisingly going up.

1 Month: Bullish, as per current market conditions.

3 Months: Bearish, surprisingly going up.

1 Year: Bullish, as per current market conditions.
 
Buy ROCK HARD PETRO (BSE Cash & BSE Code: 524194) 
Buy with a Stop Loss of 4.47. Above 7.09, it will zoom.
 
Today: May hold on gains.

1 Week: Bearish, surprisingly going up.

1 Month: Bearish, surprisingly going up.

3 Months: Sideways, surprisingly going up.

1 Year: Bullish, as per current market conditions.
 
SPOT INDEX LEVELS TODAY
NSE Nifty Index   4989.00 ( -1.30 %) -65.70       
  1 2 3
Resistance 5040.40 5091.80   5130.15  
Support 4950.65 4912.30 4860.90

BSE Sensex  16785.65 ( -1.25 %) -213.13     
  1 2 3
Resistance 16956.31 17126.97 17248.96
Support 16663.66 16541.67 16371.01
 
FUNDS DATA
FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
FII 19-Nov-2009 2056.64 2515.82 -459.18
DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
DII 19-Nov-2009 1235.81 1119.02 116.79

 
Interesting findings on web:
U.S. stocks extended a global drop as concern grew that the rally has outpaced the prospects for economic growth. The yen and the dollar strengthened, oil tumbled and yields on Treasury three-month bills turned negative for the first time since financial markets froze last year.
U.S. stocks slid on Thursday as another batch of economic data pointed to the fragility of the recovery and a brokerage's dim view on the semiconductor sector hit technology shares.
The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI shed 93.87 points, or 0.90 percent, to end at 10,332.44. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX slid 14.90 points, or 1.34 percent, to 1,094.90. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC dropped 36.32 points, or 1.66 percent, to 2,156.82.
RUSSELL585.68-14.47-2.41%
TRAN3956.09-72.53-1.8%
UTIL370.7-4.96-1.32%
S&P 100510.35-6.19-1.2%
S&P 400691.39-14.50-2.05%
NYSE7117.64-109.07-1.51%
NAS 1001773.19
The Labor Department released its weekly report on initial jobless claims, showing that the number of claims was unchanged from the prior week.
The government said that jobless claims totaled 505,000 in the week ended Nov. 14. This was very close to the forecast of 504,000 claims, according to a consensus of economist opinion compiled by Briefing.com.
"Claims remain high enough to signal further payroll declines, but they are heading in the right direction," Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics, wrote in a note to clients. "[W]e are sticking to our view that employment will level off in the first half of next year, perhaps as soon as the end of the first quarter," he said.
A report on leading economic indicators showed an increase of 0.3% in October, below the 0.4% forecast and the 1% rise in September. The Philadelphia Federal Reserve survey, a reading on regional manufacturing, rose slightly.
There was also more disconcerting news in housing. A record one in seven U.S. mortgages were in foreclosure or at least one payment was past due in the third quarter, according to fresh data signaling that the housing market's recovery will be tepid at best.
The U.S. dollar's gain was another headwind for stocks as it pressured prices of natural resources like crude oil and gold, pushing down shares of companies such as Alcoa (AA.N) and U.S. Steel Corp (X.N). The S&P materials index .GSPM shed 1.5 percent as the U.S. dollar index .DXY rose 0.2 percent.
"The market has definitely been trading off the dollar recently," said Ron Kiddoo, chief investment officer at Kozad Asset Management. "I think the stronger dollar is a bigger factor than the jobless claims."
The benchmark S&P 500 suffered its worst one-day percentage fall in three weeks as investors feared that weakness in housing and labor markets would persist, making current stock valuation seem unjustified.
"There's this feeling that the economy has lost momentum from the third quarter," said Bruce Zaro, chief technical strategist at Delta Global Advisors in Boston. "The market gained traction to the downside when the disappointing economic indicators came out."
Stocks slid amid speculation the eight-month, 68 percent rally that drove the valuation of the MSCI World Index to the most expensive level in seven years already reflects forecasts for a 25 percent rebound in corporate earnings next year. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development doubled its growth forecast for the leading developed economies next year to 1.9 percent in a report today, while saying that mounting debt burdens will keep the expansion in check.
"It makes perfect sense that the market's going to take a little bit of a breather," said Michael Mullaney, who manages $9 billion at Fiduciary Trust Co. in Boston. "Sentiment had gotten a little too bullish."
The S&P 500 retreated from a 13-month high for a second day even as the Labor Department said the number of Americans filing claims for unemployment benefits held at a 10-month low and the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's general economic index rose more than estimated.
Rates turned negative on some bills maturing in January, according to Sarah Sobeck, a Treasury trader at primary dealer Jefferies & Co. The three-month bill rate was at 0.0051 percent, the least this year. Six-month bill rates dropped to the lowest since 1958. Treasury bills turned negative last December for the first time since the government began selling them in 1929 as investors scrambled to preserve principal and were willing to sacrifice returns in the months following the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.
Bill Gross, who runs the world's biggest bond fund at Pacific Investment Management Co., said the "systemic risk" of new asset bubbles is rising with the Fed keeping interest rates at record lows.
"The Fed is trying to reflate the U.S. economy," Gross wrote in his December investment outlook posted on the Newport Beach, California-based company's Web site today. "The process of reflation involves lowering short-term rates to such a painful level that investors are forced or enticed to term out their short-term cash into higher-risk bonds or stocks."
Thursday's market sell-off was broad-based, with all but four of the Dow's 30 stocks ending lower. Among other hard-hit sectors were financials, industrials and consumer discretionaries.
Financials also took a hard knock, with the KBW bank index .BKX down 2 percent, while the Dow Jones home construction index .DJUSHB declined 1.7 percent.
Health insurance stocks fell a day after U.S. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid released an $849 billion healthcare reform bill that analysts said would extend coverage to tens of millions of the uninsured.
Goldman Sachs said in a note the bill may cause problems for managed-care companies regarding profit margin regulation.
The Morgan Stanley Healthcare Payor index .HMO fell 1.2 percent. Even so, the benchmark S&P 500 is up 61.8 percent from its 12-year closing low of March 9.
Intel, the world's largest maker of semiconductors, fell 4.1 percent and Texas Instruments, the second-biggest, dropped 3.4 percent. Dan Heyler, head of Asian semiconductor research at Merrill, said the supply of chips is growing faster than demand, putting earnings at risk. Intel and Texas Instruments were lowered to "neutral" from "buy" and the global chip industry was cut to "negative" from "positive."
Semiconductor stocks in the S&P 500 lost 3.7 percent as a group, the largest tumble among 24 industry groups.
Bank of America-Merrill Lynch cut its 2010 growth outlook for the semiconductor industry on concerns about a rising inventory glut. It downgraded 10 stocks, including Intel Corp (INTC.O), Texas Instruments Inc (TXN.N) and Marvell Technology Corp. (MRVL.O).
Bank of America-Merrill Lynch said notions of a strong rebound for the semiconductor industry next year may not be realistic.
Texas Instruments shares fell 3.4 percent to $24.88 on the New York Stock Exchange, while Marvell Technology Corp (MRVL.O) shares declined 5.1 percent to $15.27 on Nasdaq.
The stock of iPod and iPhone maker Apple Inc (AAPL.O) slid 2.7 percent to $200.51 and was a top drag on Nasdaq.
Tech news took an even gloomier tone after the closing bell as computer maker Dell Inc (DELL.O) reported a slide in quarterly profit. Dell's revenue missed Wall Street's expectations as sales to large business continued to struggle.
Dell's stock fell 6.6 percent to $14.82 in after-hours trading. On Nasdaq, it had closed at $15.87.
Dell (DELL, Fortune 500) said net income fell 54% to $337 million, or 17 cents per share, for the quarter ended Oct. 30. Results included charges of 6 cents per share for cost cutting and other one-time expenses.
Without the charges, the PC maker said it earned 23 cents per share. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters had forecasted adjusted earnings of 28 cents per share.
Investors have ridden the tech wave since the S&P 500 hit a 12-year closing low on March 9. Shares of Dow component Intel fell 4.1 percent to $19.30 on Nasdaq. The PHLX Semiconductor Index .SOXX dropped 3.4 percent.
The downgrades were a setback for those betting that the technology sector would fare better than others as the recovery takes hold. Chips are essential to a broad range of products, including computers and mobile devices.
Alcoa Inc. declined 3.9 percent for the second-steepest drop in the Dow as aluminum, copper, lead, nickel and tin all retreated.
ConocoPhillips, the third-largest U.S. oil company, slipped 1.9 percent and Chevron Corp. lost 2 percent as crude fell for the first time in four days. Schlumberger Ltd., the world's biggest oilfield-services provider, lost 3.3 percent. Crude for delivery next month tumbled 2.6 percent to $77.50 a barrel.
Energy producers in the S&P 500 fell 2.1 percent as a group, the biggest drop among its 10 industries. Technology shares, the largest group in the index, lost 1.6 percent and contributed the most to the decline.
Bank shares slid after Meredith Whitney, the analyst who correctly predicted in 2007 that Citigroup Inc. would cut its dividend, said lenders "are still grossly overvalued" and reliant on government purchases of mortgage-backed securities.
JPMorgan Chase & Co., the second-largest U.S. bank, and Wells Fargo & Co., the fourth-biggest, each dropped 1.9 percent. The S&P 500 Financials Index slumped 2 percent.
JPMorgan Chase [JPM  42.57    -0.81  (-1.87%)   ] shares fell 1.9 percent after the company announced it is buying the half of European investment bank Cazenove that it doesn't own, in a deal valued at $3.4 billion.
At the same time, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods said JPMorgan is likely to increase its dividend in early 2010 due to its capital position and recent repayment of government bailout money.
Writedowns of mortgage-backed debt contributed to a combined $1.7 trillion of losses by financial companies globally since the beginning of 2007. Mortgage delinquencies have continued to rise as job losses render consumers unable to stay current on their debt payments.
One out of every six home loans insured by the Federal Housing Administration was late by at least one payment and 3.32 percent were in foreclosure in the third quarter, the highest for both since at least 1979, the Mortgage Bankers Association said today.
Retail apparel maker Gap Inc. (GAP, Fortune 500) reported quarterly results that were in line with analysts' expectations. The company said after the closing bell that net income rose by 25% in the quarter on improved profit margins and strong sales at its discount chain Old Navy.
Sears Holdings (SHLD, Fortune 500) posted a narrower-than-expected quarterly loss of $127 million, or $1.09 a share, an improvement from the loss of $146 million, or $1.16 a share, a year earlier. Results were helped by the first increase in same-store sales at its Kmart unit in four years.
JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500) said Thursday it was buying the half of U.K. broker Cazenove that it does not already own for about $1.67 billion.
GE shares lost 2.1 percent after Vivendi said it wants to exit NBC Universal, the parent of CNBC, but isn't quite there yet.
"We are not interested in staying onboard a new GE-Comcast ownership of NBCU," said Vivendi CFO Philippe Capron. "[W]e will exit and it will give us more headroom."
As for that tie-up between Reckitt Benckiser and Colgate Palmolive [CL  84.43    -1.44  (-1.68%)   ], both companies say there is no truth to that speculation. Colgate shares dropped 1.7 percent.
Blackstone Group [BX  15.27    -0.28  (-1.8%)   ] is reportedly about to acquire food maker Birds Eye for more than $1.3 billion. Birds Eye would become part of Blackstone's Pinnacle Brands unit, which owns such familiar brands as Duncan Hines and Swanson.
A couple of companies announced job cuts today:
Insurer Aetna [AET  28.66    -0.55  (-1.88%)   ] is cutting 625 jobs, or about 1.8 percent of its workforce.
And Time Warner's [TWX  32.31    -0.51  (-1.55%)   ] AOL unit is expected to lay off about one-third of its workforce as the company is pushing aggressively to cut costs in preparation for its spinoff.
Reports indicated that AOL was asking about 2,500 workers to take voluntary layoffs in an effort to cut $300 million in annual operating costs.
The last remnants of earnings season trickled in, with Sears Holding [SHLD  72.95    -2.82  (-3.72%)   ] providing an upside surprise due to the first positive performance from Kmart in several quarters.
Limited Brands [LTD  17.67    -0.60  (-3.28%)   ] beat analysts' earnings expectations and raised its outlook, helped by an improvement at its Bath & Body Works stores, but its Victoria's Secret brand disappointed.
Williams-Sonoma, [WSM  22.06    1.03  (+4.9%)   ] beat by a wide margin and raised its full-year outlook but Dick's Sporting Goods [DKS  22.49    -2.33  (-9.39%)   ] reported sales declined.
VIX22.631.00+4.62.
Oil,Gold & Currencies:
The price of oil fell $2.12 to settle at $77.46 a barrel.
The price of gold recovered from earlier losses to settle at a record high of $1,141.90 per ounce, up 70 cents from the previous day's closing price.
The dollar was up against all major currencies except the yen. The dollar index (DXY), which gauges the U.S. currency against a basket of rivals, rose 0.2% to 75.32.
Bonds:
Treasury prices rose. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note, which moves inversely to its price, fell to 3.34% from 3.36% late Wednesday.
What to expect:
FRIDAY: Fed's Plosser speaks; state-by-state jobs report
Asia:
Asian stocks fell, dragging the MSCI Asia Pacific Index to its longest losing streak in more than four months, after Merrill Lynch & Co. cut its outlook on the global semiconductor industry and commodities retreated.
Advantest Corp., the world's biggest maker of memory-chip testers, lost 2.6 percent in Tokyo. Sony Corp., the maker of the PlayStation 3 game machine, slid 2.8 percent after pushing back its profitability targets by two years. BHP Billiton Ltd., the world's biggest mining company, slid 1.6 percent, snapping a four-day advance, after oil and metal prices fell.
"It seems investors are rushing to sell off stocks," said Juichi Wako, a senior strategist at Tokyo-based Nomura Holdings Inc. "Since sentiment is bad, any news could drag shares lower."
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 0.3 percent to 117.14 as of 10:02 a.m. in Tokyo. The gauge is headed for a fourth day of declines, the longest losing streak since July 8. The index has dropped 0.9 percent this week.
Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Average retreated 0.4 percent. The S&P/ASX 200 Index dropped 1.3 percent in Sydney.
Futures on the Standard & Poor's 500 Index dipped 0.1 percent. The index retreated 1.3 percent yesterday, the most since Oct. 30. Intel Corp. and Texas Instruments Inc., the second-largest U.S. chipmaker, slumped after Bank of America Corp.'s Merrill Lynch unit cut its ratings on the chipmakers.
OECD Forecasts
"There's a growing disparity between supply growth and consumption, therefore the downside risk to earnings is increasing," Dan Heyler, Hong Kong-based head of Asian semiconductor research, said yesterday. "We think the supply chain will be aggressively replenished through to March."
He cut Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., the world's largest custom chipmaker, to "neutral" from "buy," and United Microelectronics Corp. to "underperform" from "buy."
Crude oil for December delivery retreated for the fist time in four days yesterday, plunging 2.7 percent to $77.46 a barrel in New York. The London Metals Index, a measure of six metals including copper and zinc, sank 1.5 percent.
Stocks around the world have rallied since March amid signs the global economy is recovering from its worst slowdown since World War II. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development doubled its growth forecast for the leading developed economies next year to 1.9 percent, the Paris-based organization said in a report yesterday.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index has climbed 31 percent in 2009, outpacing gains of 21 percent by the Standard & Poor's 500 Index and 24 percent for Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index. Stocks in the Asian gauge are valued at 22 times estimated earnings, compared with 17 times for the S&P and 15 times for the Stoxx.
Nikkei 225 9,429.59     -119.88 ( - 1.26%). (07.57 AM IST)
HSI 22453.93 -189.23 -0.84%. (07.58 AM IST)
SSE Composite 3320.61 3292.42 3309.38 3280.18 -0.85. (07.59 AM IST)
Rupee:
The partially convertible rupee INR=IN ended at 46.6850/6950 per dollar on yesterday, weaker than its previous close of 46.20/21.
INDIA:
India's stocks fell the most in more than two weeks on concern a surge in foreign capital inflows will make the currency stronger and cut exporters' competitiveness.
Infosys Technologies Ltd., the second-largest software exporter, retreated 1 percent. Indian IT exporters derive at least 40 percent of earnings from the U.S. Unitech Ltd., India's second-biggest developer, dropped 5.3 percent, while DLF Ltd., the No. 1, slid 3.7 percent.
"A stronger rupee is a concern for exporters," said Vetri Subramaniam, head of equity funds at Mumbai-based Religare Asset Management Co., which manages about $3 billion in assets. The local currency's appreciation against the U.S. dollar has been driven by capital inflows, he said.
The Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensitive Index, or Sensex, retreated 213.13, or 1.3 percent, to 16,785.65, extending losses for a second day as it fell the most since Nov. 3. The S&P CNX Nifty Index on the National Stock Exchange lost 1.3 percent to 4,989. The BSE 200 Index fell 1.4 percent to 2,088.66.
Infosys declined 1 percent to 2,409.95 rupees. Larger rival Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. also slid 1 percent, to 679.9 rupees.
Unitech, India's second-biggest developer, sank 5.3 percent to 81.65 rupees. DLF lost 3.7 percent to 366.25 rupees. Jaiprakash Associates Ltd., a builder of dams, roads and bridges dropped 4.6 percent to 226.55 rupees. Renu Karnad, Joint- Managing Director of Housing Development Finance Corp., the biggest mortgage lender, yesterday said she expects interest rates to rise, or "harden," by the middle of next year.
Rupee's Advance
The rupee has climbed 6.7 percent against the dollar in the past year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That reduces the value of sales abroad when converted to the local currency, while increasing the dollar price-tag of exporters' products.
Foreign funds purchased a net 732.5 billion rupees ($15.77 billion) of Indian stocks this year, after being net sellers in 2008. Over the past month, Brazil and Taiwan imposed capital controls to check appreciation in their currencies.
Finance Secretary Ashok Chawla today said the government may take steps to slow funds' entry.
"As the situation evolves we'll see what needs to be done," Chawla said in New Delhi. "As of now, inflows are not a cause for serious concern."
Indian stock markets have been driven higher by foreign inflows and investors need to be "cautious" at these levels, U.K. Sinha, chairman and managing director of UTI Asset Management Co., said yesterday. The Sensex has gained 74 percent this year, set for its best annual performance in 18 years.
'Be Cautious'
"There is no particular domestic news that has led the market to come to this level," said Sinha. UTI, 26 percent owned by T. Rowe Price Group Inc., has $17 billion of assets. "It is primarily driven by foreign inflows. So, if it is only driven by liquidity, then one has to be cautious."
State Bank of India Ltd., the nation's biggest lender, fell 2 percent to 2,281.35 rupees. ICICI Bank Ltd., the No. 2, slid 2.1 percent to 886.45 rupees. HDFC Bank Ltd., the third-largest, lost 1.7 percent to 1,719.55 rupees.
India's central bank has been draining an average daily 1 trillion rupees in the past month, which indicates the amount of excess money held by commercial banks after meeting their lending requirements. The Reserve Bank of India on Oct. 27 took the first step toward withdrawing its record monetary stimulus by ordering lenders to keep more cash in government bonds.
The government also has to reduce its spending to spur the economy "sooner or later" or excess liquidity may sow the "seeds of another crisis," said Sinha.
India plans to spend $8.95 billion in the year to March 31 building networks of roads and telephones, power plants and irrigation facilities. The Reserve Bank has injected 5.85 trillion rupees of cash since September 2008 to protect the nation's economy from the worst global financial crisis since the 1930s.
Banks drop on concerns fin sector reforms may take time
Markets expected to stay volatile in the short term
Foreign fund inflows could slow as year winds down
Indian shares fell 1.25 percent to their lowest close in a week on Thursday, as doubts about the pace of global recovery spooked world markets and a stronger dollar pushed investors away from riskier equities. ICICI Bank (ICBK.BO: Quote, Profile, Research), the country's No. 2 lender, and energy major Reliance Industries (RELI.BO: Quote, Profile, Research), which together account for more than a fifth of the main index, led the fall. "Global economic doubts and the strengthening dollar are not good news for stocks globally and India is no exception," Jayesh Shroff, a fund manager at SBI Mutual Fund, said. He expected market to stay volatile in the short term but remained bullish in the mid to long term as liquidity, which has been driving markets, is still flush.
The 30-share BSE index .BSESN fell 213.13 points to 16,785.65, its lowest close since Nov. 12. All but three components fell. The benchmark has risen about three-quarters this year, boosted by foreign portfolio inflows of $15.3 billion, but fresh doubts about the global economic recovery and a reviving dollar could push investors to other assets.
The dollar climbed further away from 15-month lows, forcing gold prices lower while global equities slipped from the top of their recent range. The dollar index, which tracks the currency against major currencies, was up nearly half a percent .DXY. A six-month low in U.S. housing construction in October and news that Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (8306.T: Quote, Profile, Research), Japan's largest bank, will have to raise $11 billion in new shares to meet stricter capital requirements have underscored how the climb back from the worst economic crisis in generations will be slow.
Banks led losses as investors feared the government may delay financial sector reforms, especially the much anticipated rule changes for insurance and pension sector. Bills take time to pass in India and progress in key sectors could drag. Any substantial move on insurance or pensions would send a signal of a renewed effort to modernise the economy.
Top lenders State Bank of India (SBI.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) was down 2.2 percent at 2,280.45 rupees, to a two week low and ICICI fell 2.2 percent to 885.55 rupees, its lowest close since Nov. 9. Reliance dropped 1 percent to 2,081.95 rupees on concerns a weak global economy would hurt demand for oil and petrochemicals. Analysts said foreign fund inflows could slow down as the year winds down. Other emerging markets have also seen a surge in inflows, prompting some, including Brazil and Taiwan, to impose controls. Finance Secretary Ashok Chawla said India was not planning to cap overseas borrowing by corporates, and while flows were being monitored they were not yet a concern.
In the broader market, 1,698 losers led 1,095 gainers, on relatively lower volume of 386.16 million shares. The 50-share NSE index .NSEI shed 1.3 percent to 4,989.
STOCKS THAT MOVED
JSW Steel (JSTL.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) hit its 2009 high of 1,039 rupees after India's No. 3 steel maker and Japan's JFE Steel said they had struck a deal for a production tie-up and may take stakes in each other. The share ended down 0.7 percent at 959.35 rupees after having been up for most of the session.
Suzlon Energy (SUZL.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 2.5 percent to 75.20 rupees after the wind turbine maker said it would cut its stake in unit Hansen Transmissions (HSNT.L: Quote, Profile, Research). The company is placing 35 percent of Hansen's issued share capital through a secondary placement of depositary interest.
Sugar stocks fell sharply after farmers signalled their discontent by protesting low state-controlled sugarcane prices.
Shree Renuka Sugar (SRES.BO: Quote, Profile, Research), Balrampur Chini (BACH.BO: Quote, Profile, Research), Bajaj Hindusthan (BJHN.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) and Triveni Engineering & Industries (TREI.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) fell between 3.5 percent to 6 percent.
MAIN TOP 3 BY VOLUME * Suzlon on 39.93 million shares * Ispat Industries (ISPT.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) on 8.85 million shares. * Unitech (UNTE.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) on 8.52 million shares.

Indian markets extended losses for the second straight trading session on Thursday as traders and investors preferred to book some profits at 5,000 plus levels. After starting off with a negative bias, markets remained under pressure throughout the day.
Weak global cues coupled with offloading seen in the interest rate sensitive stocks dragged the NSE Nifty to shut below the 5000 levels. Even the Mid-Cap and the Small-Cap stocks were not sparred.
The BSE Sensex slipped 213 points to end at 16,785 after touching a high of 17,000 and a low of 16,16712. The index opened at 17,000 against the previous close of 16,998. The NSE Nifty lost 66 points to close at 4,989.
Coming back to India, among the BSE sectoral indices, the Realty index was the top loser, shedding 4.3%, followed by the Banking index that was down 2% and the BSE Metal index was down 1.7%.
The BSE Mid-Cap index ended lower by 1.7% while the BSE Small-Cap index was down by 1%.
Among the 30-components of Sensex, 27 stocks ended in the red and only HDFC, ACC and Wipro ended in the positive terrain. SBI, Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Infosys and HDFC Bank were among the top losers.
Outside the frontline indices, the big losers in the broader market were Exide Ind, IB Real, Moser Baer and IVRCL Infra. On the other hand, gainers included P&G, PTC, PFC, United Spirits and GVK Power.
NDTV announced that, NDTV Networks Plc., a UK subsidiary of the company has repurchased the US$100mn Step up Coupon Bonds due 2012. The Bonds have been repurchased for US$72.4mn. NDTV Networks Plc. has financed the repurchase through Bank Loans.
The repurchase has allowed NDTV Networks Plc to significantly reduce its outstanding borrowings and also to cut down on interest burden.
Consequent to the repurchase of the Bonds by NDTV Networks Plc, the restrictive covenants, which were applicable have ceased, allowing NDTV Networks Plc and its subsidiaries flexibility for re structuring and financing the businesses including being able to access bank finances for working capital and other requirements.
Shares of NDTV fell 1.5% to Rs134.05 after hitting an intra-day high of Rs138 and intra-day low of Rs132.55 recording volumes of over 47,000 shares on BSE.
Power Finance announced that a Joint Venture agreement has been signed between the company and NTPC Ltd. Power Grid and Rural Electrification Corporation on November 19, 2009 for incorporating a Joint Venture Company with equal equity contribution (i.e. 25% each) from all the 4 CPSUs.
The Company shall be incorporated to carry out and promote the business of energy efficiency, energy conservation and climate change.
Shares of Power Finance surged by over 3% to Rs253. The stock opened at Rs247 and made an intra-day high of Rs256 and a low of Rs243. Total traded volumes stood at 0.63mn shares.
Shares of BPL shot up by over 8% to Rs43 after the company's Health Management Solutions division inked a strategic alliance with Welch Allyn Inc introduce a range of mercury free medical devices.
Under the alliance, BPL would market and service Welch Allyn's range of diagnostic products in India like Stethoscopes, lights and Blood Pressure measurement.
The next phase of the alliance would focus on product development and manufacturing. These devices which are all US FDA approved are available at price points starting from Rs2,000.
Shares of Mukand surged by over 2% to Rs58 after reports stated that the company plans to sell off a portion of its land-bank to reduce its debt of around Rs15bn over the next one year.
"We plan to sell-off some of our land-bank over the next one year to reduce our debt, which currently stands at around Rs15bn," Mukand Co-Chairman and MD Rajesh Shah said.
The company has land-holdings in Maharashtra, especially in the Mumbai-Pune-Nashik belt and in the southern state of Karnataka.
JFE Steel to form capital alliance with JSW Steel, JFE plans to acquire 10% stake for up to 50bn Yen.
JFE Steel Corp will license technology to JSW Steel to make steel sheets for Japanese Automakers in India according to the Nikkei Newspaper.
Shares of JSW Steel erased early gains and ended lower by 0.6% at Rs959. The stock opened at Rs975 and made an intra-day high of Rs1039 and a low of Rs952. Total traded volumes stood at 3.7mn shares.
Shares of Great Offshore surged by over 3.5% to Rs535 after Bharati Shipyard and ABG Shipyard received approval from the markets regulator for their offer bids to buy additional stakes in the Great Offshore, reports stated.
Shares of Bharati shipyard advanced by 1% to Rs165 on the other hand, ABG Shipyard added 0.6% to Rs203.
Among the Sensex pack 27 stocks closed in red while 3 ended in green. The market breadth indicating the overall health of the market remained weak as 1,682 stocks closed in negative while 1,052 stocks closed in positive while 87 stocks remained unchanged in BSE.
The BSE Sensex closed lower by 213.13 points or (1.25%) at 16,785.65 and NSE Nifty fell by 65.70 points or (1.30%) at 4,989. The BSE Mid Caps and Small Cap also closed lower by 108.44 points and 81.60 points at 6,396.59 and 7,494.79. The BSE Sensex touched intraday high of 17,004.98 and intraday low of 16,712.33.
Gainers from the BSE Sensex pack are HDFC (0.44%), ACC (0.41%) and Wipro (0.08%).
Losers from the BSE Sensex pack are JP Associates (4.53%), Reliance Infra (3.90%), DLF (3.68%), Hindalco Inds (3.46%), Reliance Comm (2.41%), Sterlite Inds (2.22%) and ICICI Bank (2.18%).
BSE REALTY indexwas at 3,828.80 down by 174.68 points or by (4.36%) The main losers were Indiabulls Real down by (5.48%) at Rs.223.4, Hdil down by (5.41%) at Rs.343.45, Unitech down by (5.39%) at Rs.81.65, Orbit Corp down by (4.21%) at Rs.321.75.
BSE METAL index was at 15,878.70 down by 286.53 points or by (1.77%) The main losers were Hindalco Inds down by (3.46%) at Rs.129.85, Jai Corp down by (2.89%) at Rs.223.5, Ispat Inds down by (2.85%) at Rs.20.45, Jindal Saw down by (2.71%) at Rs.815.85.
BSE BANKEX index was at 10,056.79 down by 199.82 points or by (1.95%) The main losers were Iob down by (4.23%) at Rs.110.95, Kotak Mah Bank down by (3.63%) at Rs.785.2, Yes Bank down by (3.4%) at Rs.249.9, Union Bank down by (3.18%) at Rs.261.85, Idbi Bank down by (2.56%) at Rs.123.9.
BSE AUTO index was at 6,873.84 down by 93.75 points or by (1.35%) The main losers were Exide Inds down by (5.5%) at Rs.107.35, Bharat Forge down by (3.76%) at Rs.263.5, Apollo Tyres down by (3.12%) at Rs.52.85, Ashok Leyland down by (2.97%) at Rs.52.2, Escorts down by (2.86%) at Rs.107.15.
BSE TECk index was at 3,035.68 down by 41.44 points or by (1.35%) The main losers were Aptech down by (6.11%) at Rs.174.4, Balaji Tele down by (4.86%) at Rs.55.75, Moser Baer down by (4.52%) at Rs.83.5, Tech Mahindra down by (4.1%) at Rs.974.45.
BSE IT index was at 4,801.35 down by 58.94 points or by (1.21%) The main losers were Aptech down by (6.11%) at Rs.174.4, Moser Baer down by (4.52%) at Rs.83.5, Tech Mahindra down by (4.1%) at Rs.974.45, Rolta India down by (3.78%) at Rs.171.8.
KEC International Ltd closed up by 2.02% at Rs. 537.90 as the company and an RPG group company, has won a rural electrification order in the state of Madhya Pradesh and a substation order in Ghana, Africa.
JSW Steel closed higher by 0.65% at Rs. 959.35 as JFE Steel Corporation, the world renowned Japanese steel company and JSW Steel Ltd have bonded together in a historic collaboration agreement.
Pratibha Industries fell 8.32% to close at Rs. 240.35 despite the Company has secured the contract of ''Circulating Water and Make-up Water System Civil Works Package for Mauda Super Thermal Power Project (2 X 500MW)'' from NTPC Ltd. The total value of the contract is Rs. 58.85 crores.
Wockhardt slipped by 2.86% to close at Rs. 175.20. The company has received final approval from the United States Food & Drug Administration (US FDA) for marketing the 25mg/10 ml injection of Nicardipine HCI.
 
MARKET BUZZ:
 
(May not be useful for day-traders.)

Panasonic Carbon-Value Buy

BSE 508941; CMP Rs 145.45
 
  
With a forecast EPS in excess of Rs 12 for FY10, the Matsushita Japan owned Panasonic Carbon is a value play. Growing urbanisation and wide usage of mobile appliances like search lights, cameras, radio and portable TV and Music systems create a captive market for stored energy devices like batteries-for which Panasonic supplies midget electrodes.
 
Background
 
Panasonic Carbon India Co. Limited (PCIN) formerly Indo Matsushita Carbon India Co. Ltd was incorporated on 6th September, 1982. PCIN entered into a Foreign Collaboration Agreement with Matsushita Group, Japan on 6th January 1982 for obtaining Technical know-how and assistance for manufacture and sale of Midget Electrodes (Carbon Rods).

The supply of quality product plays an important part for every business organization on account of stiff competition throughout the World. Realising this, the Company, since its inception, is committed to provide Quality Carbon Rods (Midget Electrodes) through its advanced technology to various Dry Cell Battery Manufacturers in and outside India.

The Company achieved success by setting up a Quality Management System. A system which ensures commitment of all employees towards compliance of stringent quality standards and also to meet the requirement of customers and achieve higher levels of Customer Satisfaction A committed effort is to give more than what the customer needs from the company's products and services.  A commitment of all employees perfectly guided by the top management of the company. 

As part of this process the Company established the Internationally Accepted Quality Management System and got certified for ISO 9001:2000 Standards in October, 1995. 

Consequently series of, surveillance, inspection and recertification audits have become a part of an annual calendar of activities. This system has been successful in demonstrating company's commitment to quality. 

The Company established Environmental Management System and got certified for ISO 14001 Standards in July 1998. Consequently series of surveillance, inspection and recertification audits have become a part of an annual calendar of activities. This system has been successful in demonstrating company's commitment to environmental Management System.

(Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.)
 
--
Arvind Parekh
+ 91 98432 32381

Thursday, November 19, 2009

Market Outlook 19th Nov

 
NIFTY FUTURES LEVELS
SUPPORT
5037
5029
5006
4988
RESISTANCE
5065
5069
5076
5094
5100
5117 
 
Strong & Weak  futures
This is list of 10 strong futures:  
Jindal Saw Steel, Sesa Goa, Renuka , MLL, IDFC, Ashok Ley, McDowell-N, Hind Zinc, Recltd & Neyveli Lignite.  
And this is list of 10 Weak futures:
TV-18, ICSA, Punj Lloyd, Sterling Biotech, TTML, Bharti Airtel, Idea, GMR Infra, India Cement & Tata Comm.
Nifty is in Down trend  
 
 
NIFTY FUTURES (F & O):  
Below 5037 level, selling may continue up to 5029-5031 zone and thereafter slide may continue up to 5012-5014 zone by non-stop.
 
Hurdles at 5065 & 5069 levels. Above these levels, expect short covering up to 5074-5076 zone and thereafter expect a jump up to 5092-5094 zone by non-stop.
 
Sell if touches 5098-5100 zone. Stop Loss at 5115-5117 zone.
 
On Negative Side, break below 5006-5008 zone can create panic up to 4988-4990 zone by non-stop. If breaks & sustains this zone then downtrend may continue and have caution.
 
Short-Term Investors:  
1 Week: Bullish with a SL of 5024.00. Target at 5516.45
1 Month: Bullish with a SL of 4620.00. Target at 6289.00.
 
3 Months: Bearish with a SL of 5080.00. Target at 2951.00.
 
1 Year: Bullish with a SL of 2575.00. Target at 6201.65.
 
Today's Expectation:
SGX NIFTY is trading at 5045.00. (08.12 AM IST)
 
This trend is on expected lines.
 
If this downtrend continues, then it may continue for 1 (or) 2 days.
 
If short covering starts, then it can continue up to 1 day, 1 Week (or) even 1 Month.
 
BSE SENSEX:  
Sell with a SL of 17083.20. Target at 16666.70.  
 
Short-Term Investors:  
1 Week: Bullish with a SL of 16909.74. Target at 18488.92.
1 Month: Bullish with a SL of 14937.03. Target at 18381.96.
 
3 Months: Bearish with a SL of 17361.47. Target at 12425.52.
 
1 Year: Bullish with a SL of 15197.60. Target at 18289.88.
 
BUY:
Buy ROCK HARD PETRO (BSE Cash & BSE Code: 524194)  
Buy with a Stop Loss of 4.47. Above 5.78, it will zoom.
 
 
Today: May hold on gains.
 
1 Week: Bearish, surprisingly going up.
 
1 Month: Bearish, surprisingly going up.
 
3 Months: Sideways, surprisingly going up.
 
1 Year: Bullish, as per current market conditions.
 
Buy MARAL OVERSEAS (BSE Cash & BSE Code:521018)  
Buy with a Stop Loss of 13.90. Above 15.55, it will zoom.
 
Today: May hold on gains.
 
1 Week: Bullish, as per current market conditions.
 
1 Month: Bullish, as per current market conditions.
 
3 Months: Bullish, as per current market conditions.
 
1 Year: Bullish, as per current market conditions.
 
 
FII DATA
FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
FII 18-Nov-2009 2597.45 2185.32 412.13
DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
DII 18-Nov-2009 1091.23 1347.96 -256.73
 
NIFTY INDEX LEVELS
NSE Nifty Index   5054.70 ( -0.15 %) -7.55       
  1 2 3
Resistance 5075.45 5096.20   5113.10  
Support 5037.80 5020.90 5000.15

BSE Sensex  16998.78 ( -0.30 %) -51.87     
  1 2 3
Resistance 17078.91 17159.04 17219.29
Support 16938.53 16878.28 16798.15
Interesting findings on web:
   U.S. stocks slipped, pulling the Standard & Poor's 500 Index down from a 13-month high, as technology companies slid after profit forecasts at Autodesk Inc. and Salesforce.com Inc. trailed some analyst estimates.
Stocks closed slightly lower Wednesday, paring deeper losses, after a drop in new home construction made investors jittery about the economic recovery and wary profit outlooks weighed on the technology sector.
The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI dropped 11.11 points, or 0.11 percent, to 10,426.31. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX dipped just 0.52 of a point, or 0.05 percent, to finish at 1,109.80. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC lost 10.64 points, or 0.48 percent, to end at 2,193.14.
RUSSELL600.15-2.19-0.36%
TRAN4028.62-20.98-0.52%
UTIL375.66-1.42-0.38%
S&P 100516.540.45+0.09%
S&P 400705.89-3.46-0.49%
NYSE7226.71-7.35-0.1%
NAS 1001801.74-10.47-0.58%
The S&P 500 has ended down only three times in the last two weeks.
Stocks opened lower and struggled for most of the day before moving off session lows in the last 30 minutes of trade.
The modest retreat, which came one day after the major indexes closed at their highest levels in 13-months, was sparked by government data that showed initial construction of new single-family homes fell to a six-month low in October.
The unexpected drop came despite government efforts to stimulate the battered housing industry, and highlighted fears that stocks may have gotten ahead of economic reality.
The government reported that housing starts fell more than 10% to an annual rate of 529,000 in October, the lowest level in six months. An annual rate of 600,000 housing starts was expected, according to a forecast from Briefing.com consensus. The revised rate for September was 592,000.
The government reported that the annual rate of housing permits fell 4% to 552,000 in October, from the revised September rate of 575,000. This was lower than the 580,000 permits expected for October, according to Briefing.com consensus.
"A lot of people were betting on a housing recovery," said Abigail Doolittle, a portfolio manager at Johnson Illington Advisors. "The decline in construction starts is probably making some people nervous."
The government also reported its Consumer Price Index, a key measure of inflation, rose 0.3%.
The CPI was expected to rise 0.2% in October, according to a consensus of economists surveyed by Briefing.com.
The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.2% in October. That was slightly more than the 0.1% increase expected for October, according to Briefing.com consensus.
But with the major indexes up some 30% from the lows of early March, many investors have become reluctant to push the market higher until they see more concrete signs that an economic recovery is underway.
"At the margin, the economic data has been stabilizing," said Lawrence Creatura, a portfolio manager with Federated Clover Investment Advisors. "It's been 'less bad' and that has been enough for investors up to now. Whether 'less bad' continues to be enough remains to be seen."
Analysts said the volume of shares trading hands recently has been low, suggesting that many big investment funds have moved to the sidelines to avoid jeopardizing gains before publishing year-end results.
"Expectations have risen due to the positive earnings season we've had, and companies that are reporting are finding it hard to live up to the high expectations," said Robert Stimpson, a money manager at Oak Associates Ltd. in Akron, Ohio, which oversees $860 million. "There's still a lot of skepticism for the retail investor wanting to buy equities again."
Tobias Levkovich, the chief U.S. equity strategist at Citigroup Inc., increased his 2009 and 2010 year-end estimates for the S&P 500 to 1,100 and 1,150, respectively, based on improving corporate profits and low interest rates.
"I'm only looking for the equity market to consolidate and flatten out for the next three to six months," said Thomas Nyheim, a money manager at Christiana Bank & Trust Co. in Greeneville, Delaware, which manages $4.7 billion.
Per-share earnings topped estimates at 80 percent of S&P 500 companies that have released third-quarter earnings, a record for a full quarter in Bloomberg data going back to 1993, even as profits slumped for a record ninth straight quarter.
Autodesk, the biggest maker of engineering-design software, slid 10 percent after saying job losses in core markets are making the company's recovery "challenging." Salesforce.com, the largest seller of Web-based customer-management software, tumbled 3.1 percent. The market's decline was limited as Bank of America Corp. rallied after John Paulson's hedge fund said the shares may almost double, while takeover speculation lifted Colgate-Palmolive Co. and E*Trade Financial Corp.
Autodesk slid 10 percent, them most in 10 months, to $24.20. The biggest maker of engineering-design software projected fourth-quarter profit excluding some items of 24 cents a share at most, trailing the average analyst estimate of 25 cents.
Salesforce.com lost 3.1 percent to $63.61. The largest seller of Internet-based customer-management software forecast fourth-quarter profit of 14 cents to 15 cents a share. Analysts, on average, expected the company to earn 15 cents, according to Bloomberg survey.
"Technology has been a strong area of the market, and those two results broke the momentum," said Nick Kalivas, vice president of financial research and senior equity index analyst at MF Global in Chicago.
Bank of America, the largest U.S. lender by assets, jumped 3.7 percent to $16.35 for the biggest gain in the Dow average. Paulson & Co., the hedge-fund firm run by billionaire John Paulson, said in a quarterly letter to investors that the shares may rise to $29.81 by December 2011.
Paulson made his comments in an investor note that was reported by Bloomberg News.
"Banks will have passed the current writedown cycle and have visibility for growth in 2012," the letter said. Bank of America dropped to $2.53 in February amid concern that the U.S. might seize lenders that ran short on capital. While Bank of America's stock "has risen from when we purchased the stock, we believe considerable upside remains," the letter said.
Bank of America helped lead financial shares in the S&P 500 to the biggest of three gains among its 10 industry groups. Health-care and telephone shares posted the other advances.
Pall Corp. lost 3 percent to $33.59. The maker of filters for refineries and drugmakers reported first-quarter sales of $546.9 million, missing the average estimate of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg of $573.8 million.
Western Digital Corp. dropped 1.6 percent to $38.45. The second-largest maker of hard-disk drives was cut to "underperform" from "buy" and had its share price estimate lowered to $35 from $44 at Bank of America, which said the "easy money" in cyclical hard-disk-drive stocks has been made.
Pulte Homes Inc. added 4.6 percent to $10.04. The homebuilder that bought competitor Centex Corp. in August was raised to "buy" from "hold" and its share price estimate increased to $12 from $11 at Citigroup Inc., which said the company was "undeservedly out of favor."
Pulte led a gauge of homebuilders higher even after Commerce Department figures showed housing starts unexpectedly plunged 11 percent in October as the sales outlook dimmed with the looming expiration of a government tax credit. The index of 12 builders in S&P indexes climbed 0.7 percent.
While the decline in new construction raised concerns about the recovery, it could bode well for removing remaining inventory from the market, something analysts say must happen for the housing sector to recover.
Colgate-Palmolive surged 3.7 percent to $85.87. The Daily Telegraph reported that Reckitt Benckiser Group Plc is close to a "multibillion pound cross-border transaction" and "well- placed sources" think the most obvious candidate is Colgate- Palmolive.
E*Trade Financial Corp. rallied 9 percent to $1.69. TD Ameritrade Holding Corp.'s chief executive officer said buying an online brokerage is the best use of the company's cash and that he would consider a deal with E*Trade at the right price, according to Reuters.
Techs finished mostly lower but AMD [AMD  7.32    0.70  (+10.57%)], which announced a private debt offering of $500 million, and Analog Devices [AMD  7.32    0.70  (+10.57%)], which was put on Goldman Sachs' "conviction buy" list, advanced.
Tech giant Hewlett-Packard (HPQ, Fortune 500) was among leading decliners on the Dow, while Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500) bucked the trend. HP [HPQ  50.44    -0.88  (-1.71%)] was the biggest drag on the Dow, down 1.6 percent.
In other analyst action, Collins Stewart reiterated its "buy" rating on Microsoft [MSFT  30.11    0.11  (+0.37%)].
A bevy of mining and energy shares declined, even as the dollar fell and gold hit a record high above $1,150 an ounce. Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc (FCX.N) was off 0.8 percent at $84.69, while ConocoPhillips (CVX.N) slipped 0.2 percent to $53.58.
Dell [DELL  16.07    0.12  (+0.75%)] rose 0.7 percent ahead of the computer maker's quarterly results, due out Thursday.
An interesting twist in the Cadbury [CBY  53.42    -0.58  (-1.07%)] saga: Hershey [HSY  37.65    -0.76  (-1.98%)   ] is reportedly considering a joint bid with Italy's Ferrero, famous for its Nutella spread and Ferrero Rocher choclates, for the British chocolatier. Up until now, Kraft Foods [KFT  27.23    -0.41  (-1.48%)   ] was the only bidder but Cadbury wasn't happy with the offer.
In other M&A news, American Express [AXP  41.56    0.20  (+0.48%)   ] agreed to buy Internet-payment company Revolution Money for $300 million.
And Delta Air Lines [DAL  7.76    -0.14  (-1.77%)   ], along with its alliance partners, is offering $1 billion to Japan Airlines to sway the money losing carrier from its affiliation with American Airlines [AMR  5.76    -0.23  (-3.84%)   ].
Retail earnings have been in focus this week as the holiday shopping season approaches.
BJ's Wholesale [BJ  35.64    -0.70  (-1.93%)   ] shares fell nearly 2 percent after the warehouse-club operator reported its quarterly profit dropped 37 percent and said pricing has been "extremely aggressive" heading into the holiday season.
Limited Brands [LTD  18.26    0.23  (+1.28%)   ] will have its quarterly numbers after the closing bell.
JCPenney [JCP  29.14    -0.72  (-2.41%)   ] announced plans to stop publishing its twice-yearly "big book" catalog as more consumers are doing their shopping online.
Toyota [TM  79.47    -0.84  (-1.05%)   ] posted its first year-over-year global sales increase in October in 15 months, with sales rising 5 percent.
VIX21.63-0.78-3.48%.
Oil,Gold & Currencies:
The price of oil rose 56 cents to end at $79.58 per barrel after hitting a high of $80.33 earlier in the session.
Gold rose $1.80 to settle at another all-time high of $1141.20 an ounce. It also hit a record trading high of $1,149.40 an ounce.
The dollar, which has suffered from recent weakness, was down versus all major currencies. The dollar index (DXY), which measures the U.S. currency's value against a basket of rivals, was down 0.3% to 75.14
Bonds:
Treasury prices fell as investors focused on Wednesday's inflation report. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note, which moves opposite its price, rose to 3.36% from 3.32% late Tuesday. 
What to expect:
THURSDAY: EU chooses new president; Fed's Plosser, Fisher speak; Ghosn, Rattner speak; weekly jobless claims; leading indicators; Philly Fed; Geithner speaks; Earnings from Sears, Dell, Gap
FRIDAY: Fed's Plosser speaks; state-by-state jobs report
Asia:
Japanese stocks fell, dragging down the Topix index for a seventh consecutive day, after companies announced plans to sell shares.
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc., Japan's largest bank by market value, tumbled 5 percent after announcing plans to sell as much as 1 trillion yen ($11.2 billion) in securities. Nomura Real Estate Residential Fund Inc. plunged 7.5 percent after its proposal to sell stock. Nihon Nohyaku Co. plummeted 15 percent as the maker of insecticides said earnings fell.
"There's no reason to buy into Japan," said Mitsushige Akino, who oversees the equivalent of $450 million in assets in Tokyo at Ichiyoshi Investment Management Co. "Domestic investors are looking more at foreign countries since Japan lacks any clear potential for growth."
The Nikkei 225 Stock Average fell 1.4 percent to 9,541.99 as of 10:13 a.m. in Tokyo, set for the lowest since July 17. The broader Topix index lost 1.7 percent to 835.76, on course for its lowest since April 28, as four times as many stocks declined as advanced.
The Topix has fallen 1.1 percent this year, the only decline among the world's 40 largest equity markets, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That compares with increases of 23 percent for the Standard & Poor's 500 Index in the U.S. and 26 percent for the Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index in Europe. The global recession has sapped demand for Japanese companies' products and the stronger yen has hurt exporters.
The ratio of investors who want to be "overweight" Japanese stocks during the next year against those who plan to be "underweight" dropped this month to the level of November 2002, according to a report dated yesterday from Bank of America Corp.'s Merrill Lynch & Co. brokerage.
Banks Slump
Banks fell the most today among the 33 industry groups in the Topix, after Mitsubishi UFJ announced its second share sale since January. The lender lost 5 percent to 460 yen. Mizuho Financial Group Inc. slumped 6 percent to 156 yen, on course for the lowest close since September 2003. Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc. tumbled 5.3 percent to 2,700 yen, set for its lowest in eight months.
Nomura Real Estate Residential plunged 7.5 percent to 356,000 yen, falling the most since Dec. 11. The company said it plans to raise as much as 11.5 billion yen in new shares.
T&D Holdings Inc. retreated 4.6 percent to 2,060 yen, heading for the lowest since Feb. 19. The insurer had its rating reduced to "neutral" from "above average" at Tokai Tokyo Securities Co.
Nihon Nohyaku plummeted 15 percent to 469 yen, set for the sharpest slide since October 2008. The maker of insecticides and fungicides said full-year net income fell 19 percent to 1.66 billion yen, missing its forecast by 21 percent. It expects profit to further drop this fiscal year.
Nikkei 225 9,584.01     -92.79 ( - 0.96%). (07.49 AM IST).
HSI 22760.91 -79.42 -0.35%. (07.51 AM IST)
SSE Composite 3303.23 3305.03 3329.03 3304.40 + 0.05. (07.52 AM IST) 
RUPEE:
The partially convertible rupee INR=IN ended at 46.20/21 per dollar on yesterday, above its previous close of 46.30/31.
INDIA:
India's benchmark stock index fell, snapping a three-day 2.1 percent gain. ICICI Bank Ltd. slid after HSBC Holdings Plc Chairman Stephen Green said new rules may reduce the amount of credit available.
ICICI Bank, the nation's second-largest lender, declined 1.6 percent after Green said there is a danger that requirements to increase capital held by banks may have the effect of reducing credit in the global economy.
"Investors need to be cautious," said U. K. Sinha, chairman at UTI Asset Management Co., India's oldest money manager. "After September results, nothing positive has happened to drive markets higher."
The Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensitive Index, or Sensex, declined 51.87, or 0.3 percent, to 16,998.78. The S&P CNX Nifty Index on the National Stock Exchange slid 0.2 percent to 5,054.70. The BSE 200 Index was little changed at 2,117.61.
ICICI Bank lost 1.6 percent to 905.50 rupees, while State Bank of India, the biggest lender, slid 1 percent to 2,327.80 rupees. Central bank governor Duvvuri Subbarao on Oct. 27 asked lenders to keep more cash in government bonds.
Mercator Lines Ltd., Great Eastern Shipping Co. and Shipping Corp. of India Ltd., gained after the Baltic Dry Index, a measure of shipping costs for commodities, rose to a 14-month high.
Shippers Gain
Mercator, the only Indian shipping company to list shares in Singapore, climbed 7.9 percent to 61.95 rupees. Great Eastern Shipping, India's second-biggest, added 4.7 percent to 283.45 rupees, while Shipping Corp. of India Ltd., the country's No. 1 sea carrier, rose 3.1 percent to 150.15 rupees.
Pratibha Industries Ltd., an engineering and construction company, surged the most in more than two years after it won an order worth 2.94 billion rupees ($64 million). The shares jumped 17 percent to 259.20 rupees, its biggest advance since April 2006.
Redington (India) Ltd. gained 3.5 percent to 315.95 rupees after 2.2 percent of its equity traded in a single block on the Bombay Stock Exchange.
Index eases 0.3 pct after rising nearly 11 pct in 2 weeks
Robust foreign portfolio inflows should help stocks-traders
Outsourcers gain on the back better prospects, hiring plans

Indian shares snapped a three-day winning streak and shed 0.3 percent on Wednesday as investors took profits after the market had climbed nearly 11 percent in two weeks. Energy major Reliance Industries (RELI.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) led the losses, falling 1.5 percent to 2,102.45 rupees, on disappointment there were no announcements on acquisitions or specific project plans at its annual meeting of shareholders on Tuesday.
The 30-share BSE index .BSESN dropped 51.87 points to 16,998.78, with 18 components closing in the red. "There is resistance coming in as we move towards the level from where we had corrected last month," said Rajen Shah, chief investment officer at Angel Broking.
The index had retreated after hitting nearly 17,500 in October. The benchmark, which fell by more than half last year, is up about 76 percent in 2009 and has more than doubled from a March low. Heavy foreign fund investment of $15.3 billion in 2009 have propelled the market higher and traders are optimistic that a weak dollar will encourage more inflows even as valuations looked expensive.
Indian officials have said on recent occasions they welcomed the inflows, but Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee on Wednesday also noted that India was ready to deal with theflows if they became a problem. "It is not a matter of concern as we have the system of monitoring," he told reporters. "And whenever we will find that there are some distortion, then we will have the arrangement to counteract it," he said on the sidelines of an event. "Therefore, it would not be disturbing," Mukherjee added.
Outsourcers, which get most of their revenue from exports,were in demand on the back of a pick up in hiring plans as their business environment improves. Traders said better demand from banking, financial services and insurance companies were helping outsourcers. Infosys (INFY.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) and Wipro (WIPR.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) climbed 1.5 percent and 0.5 percent respectively, but sector leader Tata Consultancy (TCS.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) erased early gains and slipped 0.5 percent.
Banks faltered after an early rise as investors locked in profits after a big rally this month. Top lender State Bank of India (SBI.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) shed 0.9 percent to 2,330.60 rupees, but is still up more than 6 percent in November. Rival ICICI Bank (ICBK.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) fell 1.5 percent to 905.25 rupees after rallying more than 14 percent this month.
Engineering and construction firm Larsen & Toubro (LART.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) dropped 1.7 percent, but is up 7 percent in two weeks.
In the broader market, gainers led losers in the ratio of 1.4:1 on relatively moderate volume of 404 million shares. The 50-share NSE index .NSEI closed down 0.15 percent at 5,054.70.
STOCKS THAT MOVED
State oil marketing companies Indian Oil Corp (IOC.BO: Quote, Profile, Research), Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) and Hindustan Petroleum Corp (HPCL.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) fell between 0.5-2.4 percent as oil rose towards $80 a barrel. These companies are required to sell retail fuel at state-set low prices.
Steel maker JSW Steel (JSTL.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) rose as much as 7.4 percent on a media report it aimed to raise $300 million to $500 million via a stake sale of about 7 to 11 percent to Japan's Nippon Steel (5401.T: Quote, Profile, Research). The stock erased some gains and closed 4 percent higher at 965.65 rupees, after Nippon denied it was in talks to buy the stake.
MAIN TOP 3 BY VOLUME
Suzlon Energy (SUZL.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) on 12.2 million shares.
Ispat Industries (ISPT.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) on 11.6 million shares.
Mahindra Satyam (SATY.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) on 8.7 million shares.
After rallying for three straight days, bulls seem to have lost some steam as the BSE Sensex ended below the 17,000 mark, however, the NSE Nifty managed to hold on the 5050 mark. 
Weak cues from the Asian and the European markets coupled with selling pressure in the Oil & Gas and the Banking stocks dragged the Sensex to end below the 17,000 levels.
The BSE Sensex slipped 52 points to end at 16,998 after touching a high of 17,098 and a low of 16,958. The index opened at 17,050 against the previous close of 17,050. The NSE Nifty ended flat at 5,054.
Coming back to India, among the BSE sectoral indices, the Oil & Gas index was the top loser, shedding 1%, followed by the Banking index that was down 0.91% and the BSE Capita Goods index was down 0.7%.
Major gainers were BSE Metals index up 1.2% and BSE FMCG index up 0.6%.
The BSE Mid-Cap index ended flat while the BSE Small-Cap index was up by 0.7%.
Among the 30-components of Sensex, 18 stocks ended in the red and 12 ended in the positive terrain. Reliance Infra, L&T, Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank and Grasim were among the top losers. On the other hand, among the major gainers were Tata Motors, Tata Steel, ITC, Infosys and JP Associates. 
Outside the frontline indices, the big losers in the broader market were Mphasis,Exide Ind, Spice Tele, Jain Irrigation and Fin Tech. On the other hand, gainers included Pantaloon Retail, GE Shipping, GTL Infra and Sintex Ind.
Shares of SAIL advanced by 0.5% to end at Rs187. Reports stated that Jharkhand government has agreed to renew the company's lease for the Buddhaburu mine, having reserves of 810mn tons.
The company also announced that it was planning to spend Rs600bn for expansion in next 3 years and the company is also reportedly planning to jointly develop a limestone project at Arki in Himachal Pradesh with a 3MTPA capacity.
BHEL announced that it formed a joint venture with Madhya Pradesh Power Generation for 1600MW power plant. Shares of BHEL ended flat at Rs2275. The stock opened at Rs2273 and made an intra-day high of Rs2283 and a low of Rs2255. Total traded volumes stood at 0.11mn shares.
Union Bank of India plans to raise US$500mn by selling bonds by March; the Chairman M.V. Nair was quoted as saying. The bank plans to use the proceeds to fund its overseas operations.
The stock ended at Rs270 adding 1.7%, it opened at Rs266 and made an intra-day high of Rs271 and a low of Rs262. Total traded volumes stood at 0.11mn shares.
Wockhardt announced that it launched anti-hypertensive drug Nicardipine injections in USA. The stock erased early gains and ended lower by 1.5% at Rs180 after it opened at Rs183. It made an intra-day high of Rs187 and a low of Rs179. Total traded volumes stood at 0.14mn shares.
Shares of Redington surged by over 3% to end at Rs316 after 2.2% of its equity, or ~1.7mn shares were traded in a single block on the BSE. The deal was transacted at an average price of Rs310 per share on the BSE.
The stock opened at Rs307 and made an intra-day high of Rs324 and a low of Rs306. Total traded volumes stood at 1.9mn shares.
Lloyd Electric & Engineering announced that through Janka Engineering s.r.o., (a wholly owned subsidiary company) having its registered seat at Prague, Czench Republic has signed a purchase agreement for the acquisition of assets (no liabilities) with Trademarks and 'JANKA' brand of Janka Radotin a.s., a leading czech based manufacturer of diversified Air Handling Product portfolio well positioned in the Czech market for a total consideration of approx. Euro 3.66mn, which is subject to the adjustment on the closing date.
The stock rose over 2% to end at Rs55.5. The stock opened at Rs54.6 and made an intra-day high of Rs56.85 and a low of Rs53.60. Total traded volumes stood at 0.18mn shares.
Among the Sensex pack 18 stocks closed in red while 12 ended in green. The market breadth indicating the overall health of the market remained strong as 1,598 stocks closed in positive while 1,166 stocks closed in negative while 82 stocks remained unchanged in BSE.
The BSE Sensex closed lower by 51.87 points or (0.30%) at 16,998.78 and NSE Nifty fell by 7.55 points or (0.15%) at 5,054.70. The BSE Mid Caps and Small Cap closed up by 18.57 points and 59.76 points at 6,505.03 and 7,576.39. The BSE Sensex touched intraday high of 17,098.79 and intraday low of 16,958.41.
Gainers from the BSE Sensex pack are Tata Motors (3.14%), Tata Steel (1.68%), ITC (1.61%), Infosys (1.54%), JP Associates (1.06%), DLF (0.67%), Tata Power (0.58%) and Maruti Suzuki (0.52%).
Losers from the BSE Sensex pack are Reliance Infra (3.20%), L&T (1.72%), ICICI Bank (1.47%), RIL (1.47%), Grasim Inds (1.17%), Sun Pharma (1.13%) and SBI (0.88%).
On the global markets front, the Asian markets that opened before the Indian market, closed mixed. Seoul Composite, Shanghai Composite and Taiwan Weighted closed up by 1.13%, 0.62% and 0.43% at 1,603.97, 3,303.23 and 7,766.69 respectively while Strait Times, Nikkei and Hang Seng indices closed lower by 0.72%, 0.55% and 0.32% at 2,745.04, 9,676.80 and 22,840.33 respectively.
European markets, which opened after the Indian market, are trading in green. In London FTSE 100 is up by 0.27% at 5,360.52 and in Frankfurt DAX index is trading higher by 0.52% at 5,808.25 and in Paris the CAC 40 is up by 0.52% at 3,848.92.
BSE REALTY indexwas at 4,003.48 up by 26.46 points or by (0.67%) The main gainers were Sobha Dev up by (5.45%) at Rs.242.65, Anant Raj In up by (2.77%) at Rs.142.6, Housing Dev up by (1.71%) at Rs.363.1, Unitech Ltd up by (1.29%) at Rs.86.3, Ackruti up by (0.76%) at Rs.542.85.
BSE METAL index was at 16,165.23 up by 191.87 points or by (1.2%) The main gainers were Ispat Indust up by (4.21%) at Rs.21.05, Jsw Sl up by (4.03%) at Rs.965.65, Jindal Steel up by (2.92%) at Rs.727.2, Sesa Goa Ltd up by (2.42%) at Rs.368.05, Jai Corp Lim up by (2.22%) at Rs.230.15.
BSE BANKEX index was at 10,256.61 down by 80.47 points or by (0.78%) The main losers were Bank Of Baroda-Pari Passu down by (1.9%) at Rs.533.7, Kotak Bank down by (1.77%) at Rs.814.8, Icici Bank L down by (1.47%) at Rs.905.25, State Bank Of India down by (0.88%) at Rs.2330.6, Federal Bank down by (0.88%) at Rs.235.9.
BSE FMCG index was at 2,846.86 up by 20.72 points or by (0.73%) The main gainers were I T C Ltd up by (1.61%) at Rs.258.7, Unitd Spr up by (0.96%) at Rs.1164.9, Britania In up by (0.82%) at Rs.1675, Godrej Cons up by (0.69%) at Rs.278.7, Nestle Ltd up by (0.28%) at Rs.2647.15.
BSE CD index was at 3,555.65 up by 21.69 points or by (0.61%) The main gainers were Blue Star L up by (0.93%) at Rs.347.7, Rajesh Expot up by (0.78%) at Rs.83.7, Videocon Ind up by (0.7%) at Rs.222.55, Titan Ind. up by (0.55%) at Rs.1386.45.
BSE OIL&GAS index was at 10,120.56 down by 86.07 points or by (0.84%) The main losers were Hindustan Petroleum Corp. Ltd. down by (2.35%) at Rs.338.35, Indian Oil C down by (1.56%) at Rs.293.9, Reliance down by (1.47%) at Rs.2102.45, Bharat Petroleum Corporation L down by (0.45%) at Rs.516, Gail India down by (0.22%) at Rs.385.8.
BSE IT index was at 4,860.29 up by 33.89 points or by (0.7%) The main gainers were Infosys Technologies Ltd.-Ordi up by (1.54%) at Rs.2433.6, Oracle Fin up by (0.99%) at Rs.2259.55, Rolta Ind up by (0.88%) at Rs.178.55, Hcl Techno up by (0.56%) at Rs.338.9, Wipro Ltd. up by (0.4%) at Rs.644.9.
Pratibha Industries Ltd surged 18.27% to close at Rs. 262.15. The company has secured the contract of Meerut Water Supply Project from U. P Jal Nigam, Meerut. The total value of the contract is Rs. 294.30 crores.
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd advanced 1.49% to close at Rs. 246 after Glenmark Generics Inc, a US subsidiary of the company, settled all pending litigations with the Medicis Pharmaceutical.
Reliance Industries slipped by 1.47% to close at Rs. 2,102.45 despite the company announced the record date for dividend as 27 November 2009 for the 1:1 bonus share issue.
Adhunik Metaliks Ltd. (ADML IN): The Indian manufacturer of steel products plans to sell shares to large investors, the company said in a filing to the National Stock Exchange. The company will sell shares for at least 98.23 rupees apiece, the filing said. The shares rose 0.5 percent to 101.7 rupees.
Housing Development Finance Corp. (HDFC IN): India's biggest mortgage lender said it expects interest rates to "harden" by the middle of next year. Rates may increase by as much as 50 basis points, Joint Managing Director Renu Karnad said in Mumbai. The stock fel 0.5 percent to 2,735.1 rupees.
JSW Steel Ltd. (JSTL IN): India's third-biggest steel producer is close to entering into a strategic alliance with a global steel company that may see the foreign company buy a minority stake and provide technology to help the Indian firm make speciality steel products, the Economic Times reported, citing two people close to the matter. The stock rose 4.1 percent to 965.4 rupees.
Oil & Natural Gas Corp. (ONGC IN): India's largest state- owned oil explorer said billionaire Lakshmi Mittal's exit from a venture in Kazakhstan won't affect the exploration project. ONGC shares rose 0.6 percent to 1,179.85 rupees.
Pantaloon Retail India Ltd. (PF IN): India's biggest retailer is seeking to buy a fast-moving consumer goods company to get a manufacturing base and expand its line of food and personal care private-label products, DNA reported. The stock rose 5.4 percent to 341.4 rupees.
Patni Computer Systems Ltd. (PATNI IN): The software service provider was downgraded to "neutral" from "overweight" at JPMorgan Chase & Co. The stock rose less than 0.1 percent to 476 rupees.
State Trading Corp. (STC IN): India's second-biggest government-owned trading company extended the deadline for a tender to import 10,000 metric tons of rice to Nov. 23 from Nov. 17, a government official, who didn't want to be identified because the information is confidential, said yesterday. State Trading shares fell 0.2 percent to 354.85 rupees.
Reliance May Enter Low-Cost Housing Business, Standard Reports
Reliance Industries Ltd. may enter India's low-cost housing business by 2010, the Business Standard newspaper reported, citing a company official it didn't identify.
The company may use land it owns in special trade zones in Mumbai and near the capital New Delhi to build the housing projects, the newspaper said.
Reliance Industries is India's most valuable company.
 
INVESTMENT VIEW
Abbott Laboratories -Turning Into A Mega Pharma Entity
  
  
Abbott Labs has announced it is buying a potential chronic pain drug from PanGenetics BV for as much as $190 million.  

Abbott said the drug is in early-stage clinical testing as a treatment for pain cause by arthritis. If that trial is successful, Abbott may test it against chronic lower back pain, cancer pain, and diabetic nerve pain. It said the drug blocks a chemical called nerve growth factor, or NGF, which is released at sites where tissues are damaged or inflamed.
 
PanGenetics, based in the Netherlands, will receive $170 million upfront from Abbott, and $20 million in milestone payments if the drug advances through development. Abbott said the deal will close before the end of 2009, and while it will take one-time charges related to the deal, the company said it does not need to change its profit guidance for the year.

(Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.)
  
--
Arvind Parekh
+ 91 98432 32381
 
 

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

Market Outlook 18th Nov 2009

 
NIFTY FUTURES LEVELS
RESISTANCE
5084
5111
5137
SUPPORT
5053
5047
5019
4994
 
 stocks that are in news today:
-Pfizer, Wockhardt brass may meet by month-end on acquisition: Mint ((Pfizer interested in buying part of Wockhardt's biz))
-L&T sells petroleum dispensing business to US-based Gilbarco for Rs 200 crore
-FIPB refers Jet's fund raising proposal to CCEA ((Company looking to raise $400 million via QIP))
-Jet-Sahara case to come up for directions in Bombay HC today
-Tata Motors raises Rs 264 crore in new FD scheme – BS
-BSNL, Vavasi talks to buy Zain fall through, Vavasi to announce new partner in 1-2 weeks – BS
-Valecha Engineering bags orders worth Rs 110 crore
  • The government approved 17 foreign direct investment proposals worth Rs. 11.58 bn. Among the major proposals which were approved today are the FDI applications of the world s largest steel maker ArcelorMittal and ductile iron pipe maker Electrosteel Castings, a government statement said. (BS)
  • The UK inflation rate rose more than economists forecast in October, climbing for the first time in eight months as fuel costs and air fares climbed. Consumer prices gained 1.5% from a year
  • RIL bonus share issue record date November 27
  •  
     Strong & Weak  futures
    This is list of 10 strong futures:  
    Sesa Goa, Renuka , Jindal Saw Steel, Mphasis, Recltd, Ashok Ley, Crompton Greaves, Hind Zinc, Zeel & FSL.  
    And this is list of 10 Weak futures:
    Tata Comm, Idea, GTL Infra, India Cement, EKC, Bharti Airtel, GMR Infra, TTML, Sterling Biotech & Punj Lloyd.
    Nifty is in Down trend  
     
    NIFTY FUTURES (F & O):  
    Rally may continue up to 5084 level for time being.
    Support at 5053 level. Below this level, expect profit booking up to 5047 level by
    non-stop.

    Buy if touches 5019-5021 zone. Stop Loss at 4994-4996 zone.

    On Positive Side, cross above 5109-5111 zone can take it up to 5135-5137 zone by non-stop. If crosses & sustains this zone then uptrend may continue.
     
    Short-Term Investors:
    1 Week: Bullish with a SL of 5024.00. Target at 5516.45
    1 Month: Bullish with a SL of 4620.00. Target at 6289.00.
    3 Months: Bearish with a SL of 5080.00. Target at 2951.00.
    1 Year: Bullish with a SL of 2575.00. Target at 6201.65.
     
    Today's Expectation:
    SGX NIFTY is trading at 5085.00. (08.32 AM IST)
    This trend is on expected lines.
    If rally continues then it can continue up to 1 (or) 2 days, 1 Week, (or) even 1 Month.
    If profit booking starts then it can last for 1 day. If start trades & remain below 5063.40 (NF) then 1 day profit booking is possible.
     
    BSE SENSEX: 
     Buy with a SL of 16666.70. Target at 17083.20. 
    Short-Term Investors:
    1 Week: Bullish with a SL of 16909.74. Target at 18488.92.
    1 Month: Bullish with a SL of 14937.03. Target at 18381.96.
    3 Months: Bearish with a SL of 17361.47. Target at 12425.52.
    1 Year: Bullish with a SL of 15197.60. Target at 18289.88.
     
    POSITIONAL BUY:
    Buy VANTAGE CORPORATE SERVICES LTD (BSE Cash & BSE Code: 530109) Chart for the above said scrip was not available in our software. Inconvenience is regretted. 
    Buy MARAL OVERSEAS (BSE Cash & BSE Code:521018) 
    Buy with a Stop Loss of 12.25. Above 13.90, it will zoom.
     
    Today: May hold on gains.

    1 Week: Bullish, as per current market conditions.

    1 Month: Bullish, as per current market conditions.

    3 Months: Bullish, as per current market conditions.

    1 Year: Bullish, as per current market conditions.
     
     
    FUNDS DATA
    FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
    Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
    FII 17-Nov-2009 2376.47 1913.05 463.42
    DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
    Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
    DII 17-Nov-2009 931.18 1166.72 -235.54
     
    SPOT INDEX LEVELS
    NSE Nifty Index   5062.25 ( 0.08 %) 4.20       
      1 2 3
    Resistance 5087.45 5112.65   5151.30  
    Support 5023.60 4984.95 4959.75

    BSE Sensex  17050.65 ( 0.11 %) 18.14     
      1 2 3
    Resistance 17126.22 17201.79 17323.41
    Support 16929.03 16807.41 16731.84
     Interesting findings on web:
    U.S. stocks gained for a third day as a rebound in metal prices boosted commodity producers, overshadowing a smaller-than-forecast increase in industrial production. The Dollar Index rose for the first time in three days and Treasury 30-year bonds climbed for a fourth.
    Stocks recovered from early losses Tuesday, closing at 13-month highs for the second day in a row, as strength in commodity-linked shares offset weakness in the retail sector.
    U.S. stocks rose to fresh 13-month highs on Tuesday as upbeat broker views on improving prospects for two Dow components offset disappointing holiday spending outlooks from Target and Home Depot.
    Even so, the underlying tone was negative as investors fretted about the strength of the recovery and the recent rally, and more stocks fell than rose.
    Weak outlooks for the key holiday season weighed on investor psychology since consumer spending accounts for about two-thirds of U.S. economic activity and is a key factor in corporate profits.
    "The news from retailers wasn't particularly good," said Eric Kuby, chief investment officer at NorthStar Investment Management Corp in Chicago. "It seems to me the major flavor for today is once again, the market participants questioning the strength of the recovery."
    The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI rose 30.46 points, or 0.29 percent, to close at 10,437.42. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX edged up 1.02 points, or 0.09 percent, to 1,110.32. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC added 5.93 points, or 0.27 percent, to 2,203.78.
    RUSSELL602.34-0.53-0.09%
    TRAN4049.63.10+0.08%
    UTIL377.08-1.24-0.33%
    S&P 100516.091.08+0.21%
    S&P 400709.35-1.22-0.17%
    NYSE7234.06-3.04-0.04%
    NAS 1001812.214.65+0.26%
    All three indexes are at their highest levels since October 2008.
    Stocks opened lower and struggled for most of the day as the dollar regained ground against rival currencies, reflecting a decreased appetite for risky assets.
    The tone improved in the last few hours of trading as oil and gold prices reversed direction. Oil closed above $79 a barrel, while gold edged up to settle at a fresh all-time high.
    The rebound in commodity prices boosted shares of energy and materials companies. But gains were limited by weakness in the retail sector after Home Depot and Target offered cautious earnings outlooks.
    Tuesday's economic news was mixed. Government data showed inflation at the wholesale level remains subdued, while industrial production was weaker than expected in October.
    The government reported that the Producer Price Index, the key measure of inflation for manufacturers, edged up 0.3% in October. Core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, fell 0.6%.
    The PPI was expected to have risen 0.5% for the month, according to a consensus of economist opinion from Briefing.com. The core was expected to have edged up 0.1% in October.
    Before the start of market trading, the government also reported that industrial production rose 0.1% last month versus a forecasted 0.4% increase. In September, production rose 0.7%. Capacity utilization rose by 0.2 percentage point to 70.7%, a rate slightly below economists' expectations for 70.8%.
    "This industrial production number is pointing to weak manufacturing in the United States as well as weak demand," said Chad Morganlander, a money manager in Florham Park, New Jersey, at Stifel Nicolaus & Co., which oversees about $98 billion in client assets. "This could put a wet blanket on the optimists for a day or two."
    Ryan Larson, senior equity trader at Voyager Asset Management, said the stock market continues to look to the dollar for direction.
    "The main story has been the dollar trade," he said. "When the dollar is weak, investors take on more risk. If it's strong, they take the risk off."
    "The economy is growing, but shows a loss of momentum given the recent round of economic and corporate data," said Nick Kalivas, vice president of financial research at MF Global.
    Today's advance brought the S&P 500 within 1 percent of recouping half the plunge that followed its October 2007 record. Passing the so-called 50 percent retracement level would send a signal to some technical analysts that the steepest rally since the 1930s will continue. The index has jumped 64 percent from a 12-year low in March as a four-quarter contraction in the world's largest economy ended.
    The S&P 500 still needs to rise 13 percent to surpass its level on Sept. 12, 2008, the last trading session before Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. filed the world's largest bankruptcy and deepened the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.
    "We feel like this market still has some room to move higher," said Burt White, chief investment officer at LPL Financial in Boston, which oversees $259 billion. "We're still at levels that are lower than we were before Lehman Brothers. We are vastly better off than we were then."
    "Earnings season has come in the best that it has in a very long time," said David Katz, who oversees $1.2 billion at Matrix Asset Advisors in New York. "You are getting a very significant pickup in earnings with cost-cutting and management. The economy that was in freefall a year ago is definitely on the mend."
    About 80 percent of S&P 500 companies that have reported third-quarter results beat analysts' predictions. That exceeds the record pace of 72.3 percent for the period ended in June, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
    The Federal Reserve said it will reduce the maximum maturity on discount-window loans to 28 days from 90 days as it moves to unwind some of the emergency measures introduced to fight the credit crisis. The discount window, used for direct loans to banks, was one of the first tools that Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke deployed to thaw credit markets as the crisis began to unfold in August 2007.
    "This is one of the many measures that the Fed put in place last year and this is one of the pipes where they were able to pump liquidity to the banks," said Michael Cheah, who manages $2 billion in bonds at SunAmerica Asset Management in Jersey City, New Jersey. "The Federal Reserve is dismantling a lot of the emergency measures they put in place. The bottom line is they're taking liquidity away from this market."
    Wal-Mart Stores Inc. and Exxon Mobil Corp. gained at least 0.8 percent after Warren Buffett disclosed buying their shares. Sprint Nextel Corp. rallied for a second day after saying it paid down $1 billion in debt. Caterpillar Inc. and ITT Corp. declined as the Federal Reserve said industrial output was restrained in October by less auto manufacturing and demand for business equipment.
    Walmart, the world's largest retailer, added 0.9 percent to $53.66. Exxon Mobil, the biggest oil company, increased 0.8 percent to $75.03.
    Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc. held about 1.28 million Exxon shares at the end of the third quarter, the Omaha, Nebraska-based company said in a regulatory filing yesterday. The stake in Exxon was worth about $95 million, based on yesterday's stock price. Berkshire raised its stake in Walmart by 90 percent, now owning $2 billion worth of the stock, according to the same filing.
    Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. added 1 percent to $85.36 as copper rose on speculation demand will remain robust in China. Producers of raw materials climbed 0.9 percent as a group for the steepest gain among 10 industries in the S&P 500. Gold prices rose on bets that central banks and investors will increase demand for the precious metal as an alternative asset.
    Sprint Nextel rose 5.7 percent to $3.70. The third-largest U.S. mobile-phone carrier added to a 13 percent gain yesterday, when it said it paid off $1 billion of debt, cleaning up its balance sheet as revenue declines.
    Assured Guaranty Ltd. soared 20 percent to $25.53. The municipal-bond insurer backed by Wilbur Ross reported third- quarter operating earnings of 44 cents a share, 16 percent better than the average analyst estimate in a Bloomberg survey.
    MBIA Inc., the world's largest bond insurer, also gained, rising 6.1 percent to $3.47 for the second-biggest advance in the S&P 500.
    Massey Energy Co. advanced 5.7 percent to $40.39. The fifth-largest U.S. coal producer said it acquired metallurgical and steam coal reserves from the now-bankrupt Appalachian Fuels LLC and its affiliates.
    Caterpillar, the largest maker of earthmoving equipment, dropped 0.9 percent to $59.88 after the Fed said industrial production increased 0.1 percent in October. Economists forecast a 0.4 percent rise, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey. ITT, which makes water pumps and military systems, lost 1.3 percent to $53.06.
    Target Corp. dropped 3 percent to $48.77, the biggest slide since July. The second-largest U.S. discount chain said average transaction sizes shrank in November and it's planning for a decrease in fourth-quarter comparable-store sales.
    "The consumer is a bit restrained. We're still in a very tough economy, with a 26-year high in unemployment and consumer credit being reduced. So retailers have to work really hard to get through this holiday season in a profitable fashion," added Kuby at NorthStar.
    Home Depot Inc. fell 2.4 percent to $26.99. The biggest U.S. home-improvement retailer posted third-quarter profit that fell 8.9 percent as customers spent less and made fewer purchases. The average transaction dropped 7.1 percent to $51.89 from $55.86.
    Lowe's Cos., the Home Depot competitor that cut its full- year profit forecast yesterday, lost 1.2 percent to $21.48.
    Companies that make or sell consumer products that are purchased with discretionary income dropped the most of 10 industry groups in the S&P 500, losing 0.7 percent.
    Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. lost 15 percent to $38.88 for the biggest drop in the S&P 500. The construction and engineering company forecast fiscal 2010 profit that lagged analysts' estimates.
    Smith International Inc. fell 13 percent to $26.86 for the second-biggest decline in the S&P 500. The oilfield contractor said it will sell 28 million shares to repay debt and fund potential acquisitions. The creation of additional stock may dilute earnings for existing shareholders.
    SunPower Corp. slid 19 percent to $22.19. The manufacturer of solar power modules reported that a review of some accounting entries appeared to contain errors that understated production costs. Its ratings were cut by Piper Jaffray Cos., FBR Capital Markets Corp., Caris & Co. and Merriman Curhan Ford.
    TJX (TJX, Fortune 500), which owns the T.J. Maxx and Marshalls chains, reported a larger-than-expected quarterly profit on increased consumer demand for discount products. The company said it expects profit from continuing operations of 65 cents to 71 cents per share in the fourth quarter. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters are forecasting a profit of 71 cents per share in the fourth-quarter.
    On the higher end, Saks (SKS) reported a quarterly profit, surprising analysts who were expecting the company to report a loss. However, the results were driven mostly by cost-cutting, and the company offered a cautious outlook.
    In Nasdaq trading, shares of software maker Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) gained 2 percent to $30 -- an 18-month closing high -- after Morgan Stanley raised its price target on the stock and said it was upbeat on the prospects for Windows 7 and the company's holiday season.
    UBS analyst Brent Thill on Monday slapped a "buy" rating and $34 price target on Microsoft stock, which is currently just shy of $30.
    Shares of Exxon Mobil rose 0.8 percent to $75.03 after Barclays raised its recommendation on the stock to "overweight" from "equal-weight." Both Microsoft and Exxon are components of the 30-stock Dow Jones industrial average.
    Thill also has a "buy" on Adobe [ADBE  36.89    0.08  (+0.22%)   ] and Oracle [ORCL  22.80    -0.03  (-0.13%)   ], with price targets of $43 and $27, respectively.
    And Pacific Sunwear [PSUN  3.88    -1.13  (-22.55%)   ] droped 23 percent as the teen chain reported its loss for the latest quarter widened and warned its loss for the holiday quarter would be much more than Wall Street expects.
    Telecoms were one of the best performers, with gains across the smartphone sector: Palm [PALM  12.53    0.68  (+5.74%)   ] jumped 5.8 percent, while Leap Wireless [LEAP  12.67    0.42  (+3.43%)   ] advanced 3.4 percent Motorola [MOT  8.84    0.14  (+1.61%)   ] and Garmin [GRMN  32.33    0.53  (+1.67%)   ] gained nearly 2 percent.
    Citigroup [C  4.24    0.06  (+1.44%)   ] rose 1.4 percent after the lumbering financial giant gave its CFO and global markets co-head a pay increase. CEO Vikram Pandit's salary was unchanged.
    Wall Street firms bailed out by the government, like Citigroup, have been struggling with how to retain top talent — and get them to perform.
    Ford [F  8.97    0.26  (+2.99%)   ] rose 3.1 percent and touched a two-year high as the Ford Focus was named Motor Trend's 2010 car of the year.
    If you're following the billionaires next door, Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation have both increased their stakes in a number of companies, according to their latest quarterly filings. 
    Berkshire has increased its stake in Wal-Mart, [WMT  53.65    0.49  (+0.92%)   ] while lowering its holdings in ConocoPhillips [COP  53.61    -0.23  (-0.43%)   ] and NRG Energy [NRG  24.39    0.10  (+0.41%)   ].
    It's also reported news takes in Nestle, [NSRGY  47.55    0.04  (+0.08%)   ] Republic Services, [RSG  28.24    0.27  (+0.97%)   ] and Travelers [TRV  53.12    0.18  (+0.34%)   ]. 
    The Gates Foundation has boosted its holdings in Coca-Cola, [KO  56.86    0.12  (+0.21%)   ] McDonald's, [MCD  63.55    -0.98  (-1.52%)   ] and Waste Management [WM  33.08    0.29  (+0.88%)   ].
    Investors will digest reports on consumer prices and initial construction of new homes Wednesday morning. Later in the week, the government will report on the number of Americans filing first-time claims for unemployment benefits.
    VIX22.41-0.48-2.1%
    Oil,Gold & Currencies:
    Oil prices rose 24 cents to settle at $79.14 barrel in New York.
    The price of gold closed at an all-time high of $1,139.40 an ounce, up 20 cents from Monday's record close of $1,139.80.
    The weak dollar recovered a little Tuesday. The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against a basket of rivals, was up 0.7% to 75.38 from 74.92.
    Bonds:
    Treasury prices rose, with the yield on the 10-year note falling to 3.33%.
    What to expect:
    WEDNESDAY: Weekly mortgage applications; CPI; housing starts; weekly crude inventories; Earnings from BJ's, Limited
    THURSDAY: EU chooses new president; Fed's Plosser, Fisher speak; Ghosn, Rattner speak; weekly jobless claims; leading indicators; Philly Fed; Geithner speaks; Earnings from Sears, Dell, Gap
    FRIDAY: Fed's Plosser speaks; state-by-state jobs report
    Asia:
    Nikkei 225 9,716.35     -13.58 ( - 0.14%). (08.08 AM IST).
    HSI 23062.61 +148.46 +0.65%. (08.09 AM IST).
    SSE Composite 3282.89 3310.81 3310.81 3274.21 + 0.85. (08.10 AM IST).
    Asian mining stocks rose on gains in commodity prices, overshadowing concern that share sales will reduce the value of equity investments in Japan.
    BHP Billiton Ltd., the world's No. 1 mining company, added 1.2 percent in Sydney after oil and metal prices advanced. STX Pan Ocean Co., South Korea's biggest bulk carrier, increased 2.4 percent in Singapore after shipping rates climbed for a 14th day. Property developer Tokyo Tatemono Co. sank 19 percent on plans to sell 45.6 billion yen ($511 million) in shares.
    The MSCI Asia Pacific Index added 0.2 percent to 118.86 as of 11:31 a.m. in Tokyo. The gauge has climbed 68 percent from a more than five-year low on signs of a global economic revival.
    "The economic data is saying we're past the worst," said Stephen Halmarick, Sydney-based head of investment-markets research at Colonial First State, which holds about $135 billion. "Continued recovery in the global economy and more balanced global growth should increase demand for commodities. But the recovery process is still going to be painful and grinding."
    Japan's Topix Index sank 0.9 percent, while the Nikkei 225 Stock Average fell 0.1 percent. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 Index rose 0.6 percent and South Korea's Kospi Index climbed 0.8 percent.
    Futures on the Standard & Poor's 500 Index gained 0.1 percent. The gauge rose 0.1 percent yesterday, buoyed by commodity companies as gold and copper climbed, and crude oil rose for a second day to $79.14 a barrel. In London, the Baltic Dry Index, a measure of shipping rates for commodities, advanced for a 14th day to the highest since September 2008.
    The MSCI Asia Pacific Index has climbed 32 percent this year, on course for its steepest annual increase since 2003. It has outpaced gains of 23 percent by the S&P 500 and 26 percent for Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index. Stocks in the Asian index are valued at 22 times estimated earnings, compared with 18 times for the S&P and 16 times for the Stoxx 600.
    Rupee:
    The partially convertible rupee INR=IN ended at 46.30/31 per dollar on yesterday, weaker than Monday's close of 46.20/21.
    INDIA:
    India's benchmark stock index rose for a third day. Software exporters gained as retail sales rebounded in the U.S., their largest export market.
    Infosys Technologies Ltd., the second-largest software services provider, rose 2 percent while its larger rival Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. gained 3.7 percent. Oil & Natural Gas Corp., the largest state-owned oil explorer, fell 2.5 percent as oil declined.
    "There is a sharp increase in deal pipeline," Sandeep Muthangi, an analyst at IIFL Ltd. said in a note to clients. "Initial indications point to healthy information technology budgets for the fiscal year ending March 2011."
    The Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensitive Index, or Sensex, rose 18.14, or 0.1 percent, to 17,050.65. The S&P CNX Nifty Index on the National Stock Exchange gained 0.1 percent to 5,062.25. The BSE 200 Index advanced 0.1 percent to 2,117.89.
    U.S. retail sales grew 1.4 percent in October after slumping the most in nine months in September, a government report yesterday showed.
    Infosys gained 2 percent to 2,398.30 rupees. Tata Consultancy Services Ltd., the largest software services exporter, rose 3.7 percent to 690.45 rupees. Wipro Ltd., the third-biggest software services provider, rose 0.8 percent to 642.50 rupees. India's software exporters derive at least 40 percent of their earnings from the U.S.
    Amtek Gains
    Oil & Natural Gas fell 2.2 percent to 1,173.10 rupees. Crude oil for December delivery fell as much 0.6 percent to $78.40 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
    Amtek Auto Ltd., an Indian maker of automotive parts, rose 3.3 percent to 200.10 rupees. The company said yesterday after the market closed that it had bought back and canceled $9.5 million of bonds.
    Overseas funds purchased a net 6.72 billion rupees ($145 million) of Indian stocks on Nov. 13, taking their total investments in equities this year to $15 billion, the Securities and Exchange Board of India said on its Web site. The funds have bought 720 billion rupees of stocks since Jan. 1 after recording net sales of 530 billion rupees for the whole of 2008.
    BSE index gains 0.1 pct; extends rise to 3rd day
    Spent most of the day down on subdued world markets
    Reliance drops as no major announcement at AGM
    Banks supported by improving economic activity
    Outsourcer Infosys Technologies (INFY.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) and private sector lender HDFC Bank (HDBK.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) helped Indian shares stretch a winning run into a third day on Tuesday, after the market spent most of the day in negative territory. Investors took profits in many stocks following a more than 7 percent rally this month in tandem with world markets that retreated from the previous day's 2009 highs. U.S. stock futures indicated a lower opening on Wall Street.
    Infosys, the country's second-largest software services firm, climbed 2 percent to 2,396.75 rupees on improving prospects. ICICI Securities said the current utilisation rate at 67 percent and composition of employees with less than three years experience at an historic low of around 53 percent, earnings visibility for Infosys was likely to remain superior versus peers. The brokerage maintained a buy rating on the stock and raised its target price to 2,515 rupees.
    Sector leader Tata Consultancy (TCS.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) climbed 3.7 percent to 690.45 rupees while rival Wipro closed nearly 1 percent higher at 642.30 rupees.
    Reliance Industries (RELI.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) shed 0.7 percent to 2,133.75 rupees, as the energy major did not make any major announcement at its annual general meeting. "Most people were expecting a big announcement in terms of an acquisition or a discovery. That didn't happen and the excitement came off," said Jigar Shah, senior vice-president of Kim Eng Securities. Reliance said it plans an aggressive exploration campaign, investments in petrochemicals and overseas acquisitions, but did not elaborate on any particular plan.
    The main 30-share BSE index .BSESN closed up 0.1 percent, or 18.14 points, at 17,050.65 points, with half of its components rising. It had fallen as much as 0.9 percent during trade. "Our market is just reacting to what is happening globally," said Shah. Foreign funds have been a key driver for the market, pouring in $15 billion so far this year and helping the benchmark jump  more than three-quarters in 2009. The BSE index has risen 7.3 percent this month, erasing its losses in October.
    HDFC Bank (HDBK.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) climbed 1.5 percent to 1,747.35 rupees as investors bet recovering economic activity would boost earnings. "Besides being a geared play on the economic cycle, banks trade at a 22 percent valuation discount to the broader market, which makes them an attractive buy," HSBC Bank said in a report and added HDFC Bank was its top pick from the sector. Top lender State Bank of India (SBI.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) closed 0.3 percent higher while rival ICICI Bank (ICBK.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) ended little changed. Energy explorer Oil & Natural Gas Corp (ONGC.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) fell 2.3 percent to 1,172.20 rupees as investors booked profits after it rose 4.5 percent in the past two sessions. In the broader market, gainers almost matched the number of losers on relatively low volume of 340 million shares.
    The 50-share NSE index .NSEI closed up 0.1 percent at 5,062.25.
    STOCKS THAT MOVED
    Engineering and construction firm Larsen & Toubro (LART.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 0.3 percent to 1,656.20, after sources said its power unit had emerged the lowest bidder for a project in north India.
    Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 1.8 percent to 187 rupees after its chairman said the state firm was looking at acquiring licenses for coking coal mines abroad to protect itself from fluctuating raw material prices.
    MAIN TOP 3 BY VOLUME
    * Suzlon Energy (SUZL.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) on 14.6 million shares
    * Mahindra Satyam (SATY.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) on 11.3 million shares
    * Unitech (UNTE.BO: Quote, Profile, Research) on 7.3 million shares 

    It was an absolute Tuesday twister for the Indian markets. After starting off with a negative bias and staying in the red till the last trading hour, a sudden bout of buying in the IT, Banking, Capital Goods and the Metals stocks aided the benchmark indices to end with mild gains.
    NSE Nifty recovered nearly 50 points to close above 5,050 and the BSE Sensex recouped 170 points to shut above the 17,000 mark.
    IT stocks were in limelight throughout the day, stocks like Infosys, TCS and Wipro were among the star performers, even the mid-cap IT stocks like Polaris, Mphasis and MindTree were in demand.
    The index heavyweight Reliance Industries which held its Annual General Meeting today put on a disappointing show, the stock ended in the red, down by 0.7% at Rs2133. 
    Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 18 points to end at 17,050 after touching a high of 17,080 and a low of 16,882. The index opened at 16,052 against the previous close of 17,032. The NSE Nifty ended flat at 5,062.
    Coming back to India, among the BSE sectoral indices, the IT index was the top gainer, adding 2%, followed by the Teck index that was up 1% and the BSE Consumer Durables index was up 0.6%.
    Major losers were BSE Realty index down 1.2% and BSE Oil & Gas index down 0.8%.
    The BSE Mid-Cap index ended flat while the BSE Small-Cap index was marginally up by 0.2%.
    Among the 30-components of Sensex, 15 stocks ended in the green and 15 ended in the negative terrain. TCS, Hero Honda, Infosys and Reliance Infra were among the top gainers.
    On the other hand, among the major losers were ONGC, ACC, DLF, Bharti Airtel and RCom. 
    Outside the frontline indices, the big gainers in the broader market were Spice Tele, Glenmark Pharma, GMDC, Sintex Industries and Aban Offshore. On the other hand, losers included Hindustan Copper, United Phos, Mundra Port and RCF.
    Shares of the Aviation firms' crash landed after media reports flashed that the ministry said that it sees no reason to raise the existing FDI limit. 
    Shares of Kingfisher Airlines fell over 5% to Rs52.9, Jet Airways slipped by 2.3% to Rs445 and SpiceJet fell 3.5% to Rs46.2.
    Shares of HDFC ended flat at Rs2754. The company along with Standard Life, UK plans to infuse Rs3bn in its life insurance venture HDFC Standard Life in H2FY10.
    In the previous week, HDFC also diversified into education loans. It acquired a 41% stake in Credila Financial Services, a company that specialises in education loans, for Rs100mn. HDFC has acquired the stake from Merrill Lynch, which was an initial investor in the company.
    Shares of Bharat Forge advanced by 2% to Rs274 after reports stated that the company is planning to foray into the power sector with an investment of up to Rs500bn with a targeted generation capacity of up to 10,000MW, over the next 10 years.
    Reports stated that the company plans to set up power plants in Gujarat, Maharashtra, coastal Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu.
    Shares of Glenmark gained by 5.5% to Rs242 after reports stated that the company has settled patent litigation with Medicis Pharmaceutical Corporation and has entered into a co-development arrangement on its specialty drug to treat acne.
    The stock opened at Rs229 and made an intra-day high of Rs244 and a low of Rs229. Total traded volumes stood at 0.7mn shares.
    Among the Sensex pack 15 stocks closed in green while 15 ended in red. The market breadth indicating the overall health of the market remained weak as 1,389 stocks closed in negative while 1,329 stocks closed in positive while 90 stocks remained unchanged in BSE.
    The BSE Sensex closed with marginal gains of 18.14 points or (0.11%) at 17,050.65 and NSE Nifty closed up by 4.20 points or (0.08%) at 5,062.25. The BSE Mid Caps closed lower by 5.34 points at 6,486.46 while BSE Small Caps closed up by 16.80 points at 7,516.63. The BSE Sensex touched intraday high of 17,080.17 and intraday low of 16,882.98.
    Gainers from the BSE Sensex pack are TCS (3.67%), Hero Honda (2.41%), Infosys (1.96%), Reliance Infra (1.89%), HDFC bank (1.47%), Wipro (0.96%), HUL (0.69%) and Hindalco (0.60%).
    Losers from the BSE Sensex pack are ONGC (2.29%), ACC (2%), DLF (1.95%), Bharti Airtel (1.75%), Reliance Communication (1.73%), Sun Pharma (1.40%) and M&M (1.38%).
    On the global markets front, the Asian markets that opened before the Indian market, closed mixed. Shanghai Composite, Jakarta Composite closed up by 0.24% and 0.21% at 3,282.89 and 2,473.79 respectively while Taiwan Weighted, Strait Times, Nikkei and Hang Seng indices closed lower by 0.76%, 0.68%, 0.63% and 0.13% at 7,733.21, 2,764.95, 9,729.93 and 22,914.15 respectively.
    European markets, which opened after the Indian market, are trading in negative. In London FTSE 100 is down by 0.41% at 5,360.66 and in Frankfurt DAX index is trading lower by 0.28% at 5,788.79 and in Paris the CAC 40 is lower by 0.28% at 3,852.47.
    BSE IT index was at 4,826.40 up by 95.48 points or by (2.02%) The main gainers were Tcs Ltd up by (3.67%) at Rs.690.45, Mphasis Ltd up by (2.32%) at Rs.779.25, Infosys Technologies Ltd.-Ordi up by (1.96%) at Rs.2396.75, Rolta Ind up by (1.84%) at Rs.177, Tech Mah up by (1.37%) at Rs.1019.8.
    BSE TECk index was at 3,062.78 up by 30.74 points or by (1.01%) The main gainers were Tcs Ltd up by (3.67%) at Rs.690.45, Dish Tv up by (3.39%) at Rs.41.15, Mphasis Ltd up by (2.32%) at Rs.779.25, Infosys Technologies Ltd.-Ordi up by (1.96%) at Rs.2396.75, Rolta Ind up by (1.84%) at Rs.177.
    BSE REALTY index was at 3,977.02 down by 47.83 points or by (1.19%) The main losers were Housing Dev down by (3.08%) at Rs.357, Ansal Infras down by (3.01%) at Rs.69.2, Anant Raj In down by (2.19%) at Rs.138.75, Phoenix Mill down by (2.01%) at Rs.185, Dlf Ltd down by (1.95%) at Rs.377.8.
    BSE METAL index was at 15,973.36 up by 58.45 points or by (0.37%) The main gainers were Gujara Nre C up by (3.49%) at Rs.68.2, Hind.Zinc up by (3.44%) at Rs.991.8, Jindal Saw up by (2.01%) at Rs.820.75, Steel Author up by (1.82%) at Rs.187, Sesa Goa Ltd up by (0.76%) at Rs.359.35.
    BSE BANKEX index was at 10,337.08 up by 35.37 points or by (0.34%) The main gainers were Hdfc Bank Lt up by (1.47%) at Rs.1747.35, Bank Of India up by (1.11%) at Rs.383.95, Allahabad Bk up by (1.01%) at Rs.135.1, Federal Bank up by (0.83%) at Rs.238, Kotak Bank up by (0.8%) at Rs.829.5.
    BSE CG index was at 13,556.87 up by 42.57 points or by (0.31%) The main gainers were Crompton Greaves Ltd. up by (3.66%) at Rs.408.95, Praj Industries Ltd. up by (3%) at Rs.92.85, Aiaengineer up by (2.45%) at Rs.321.9, Thermax Lmtd up by (2.12%) at Rs.568.3, Areva up by (0.95%) at Rs.282.75.
    BSE CD index was at 3,533.96 up by 19.73 points or by (0.56%) The main gainers were Rajesh Expot up by (4.27%) at Rs.83.05, Gitanjali Ge* up by (3.28%) at Rs.119.75, Titan Ind. up by (0.51%) at Rs.1378.85, The main losers were Videocon Ind down by (0.83%) at Rs.221, Blue Star L down by (0.49%) at Rs.344.75,
    BSE POWER index was at 3,053.83 up by 3.20 points or by (0.1%) The main gainers were Crompton Greaves Ltd. up by (3.66%) at Rs.408.95, Rel Infra up by (1.89%) at Rs.1188.15 and Suzlonenergy up by (0.9%) at Rs.72.75.
    BSE OIL&GAS index was at 10,206.63 down by 72.9 points or by (0.71%) The main losers were Ong Corp Ltd down by (2.29%) at Rs.1172.2, Bharat Petroleum Corporation L down by (0.98%) at Rs.518 and Reliance down by (0.65%) at Rs.2133.75.
    Brigade Enterprises Ltd closed flat at Rs. 134.90. The company has announced its foray into affordable homes through Brigade Value Homes, with base prices ranging from Rs. 10-26 lakh.
    Wanbury surged 4.94% to closed at Rs. 65.80. The company has entered into an alliance with TAKE Solutions Ltd for installing their leading product PharmaReady SPL Solution Suite, a fully integrated web-based eDMS and eCTD Submissions Solution Suite for e-submissions.
    Jaihind Projects Ltd closed flat at Rs. 137.10. The company has been awarded order of Rs. 14.05 crores from Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd. (BPCL) for Provision of Cross Country Pipeline Laying and Associated works for Kochi Refinery to Cochin AFS Pipeline Project.
    Jet Airways (India) Ltd. (JETIN IN): India referred Jet Airways' plans to raise 20 billion rupees from foreign investors to a cabinet panel, according to a statement from the Foreign Investment Promotion Board yesterday. The shares fell 2.1 percent to 447.75 rupees.
    Larsen & Toubro Ltd. (LT IN): Gilbarco Inc. agreed to acquire the fuel dispensing-pump business of Larsen & Toubro, India's largest engineering company. Larsen shares rose 0.2 percent to 1,656.3 rupees.
    Reliance Industries Ltd. (RIL IN): India's most valuable company said it may become debt-free in less than two years and plans to acquire assets overseas to boost its revenue from the energy business. The shares fell 1 percent to 2,132.35 rupees.
    Steel Authority of India Ltd. (SAIL IN): India's second- biggest steelmaker plans to raise about $2 billion from offering investors a 10 percent stake in the company, executive director V. K. Mehta said yesterday. The shares rose 2.1 percent to 187.5 rupees.
       
     
    INVESTMENT VIEW
    Unity Infraprojects-Value Buy
    Unity is a leading engineering and construction company with well diversified project expertise across verticals. Some of the landmark projects done by Unity are expansion and modification at the Chhatrapati Shivaji International Airport, Mumbai, Millennium Business Park in Navi Mumbai, mass housing projects for DDA in Delhi, tsunami reconstruction project in Andaman & Nicobar Islands and Jupiter Mills for Indiabulls Real Estate.
     
    Unity currently has a strong order book of Rs 4040 crore, 3.6x FY09 revenues. This provides revenue visibility over the next couple of years. Going forward, Unity, being the leading player with well diversified project execution skills is likely to be a key beneficiary of the government's thrust on infrastructure spending.
     
    Strong order book
     
    Unity order book of Rs 40 bn is executable over the next 33 months. The current order book is at 3.6x FY09 revenues and 3.2x on TTM revenues providing revenue visibility for
    the next three years. In terms of verticals, water and irrigation accounted for 49% followed by civil construction (40%) and transportation (11%).
     
    Infrastructure opportunities galore
     
    In order to target a GDP growth rate of 9-10% in the X1th Five Year Plan, the government has laid greater emphasis on investment in infrastructure spending. Infrastructure spending is expected to increase at 2.3x to Rs 20.27 trillion in the X1th Plan compared to the Xth plan. This bodes well for construction player such as Unity, going forward.
     
    Valuation
     
    At the current market price, the stock is trading at 9.1x FY09 EPS and 1.5x FY09 P/BV. On a TTM basis, the stock is currently trading at 8.7x its earnings of Rs 50.
     

    (Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.)
     
     
    --
    Arvind Parekh
    + 91 98432 32381