Wednesday, August 18, 2010

Market Outlook 18th Aug 2010

Strong & Weak Stocks
This is list of 10 strong stocks
UCO Bank, Tata Comm, Vijaya Bank, Syndicate Bank, Orient Bank, Cummins India, Tata Motors, Tata Chem, Allahabad Bank & IOB. 
And this is list of 10 Weak Stocks: 
RNRL, Sesa Goa, Suzlon, Punj Lloyd, Rel Infra, RCOM, Aban Off shore, Educomp, ICSA & Cipla.
The daily trend of nifty is in Uptrend 

  • Supp / Resis SPOT/ CASH LEVELS FOR INTRADAY TRADING
Indices Supp/Resis1 23
Nifty Resistance 5435.535456.92 5470.28
Support 5400.785387.42 5366.03
Sensex Resistance 18117.33 18185.82 18231.48
Support 18003.18 17957.52 17889.03

SUPPORT/RESISTANCE LEVELS FOR INTRADAY TRADING IN CASH MARKET
Company Name  Exchange LTP* R1 #1 S1 @1 R2 #2 S2 @2 R3 #3 S3 @3
Aban Offshore Ltd. NSE 797.05 810.37 788.37 823.68 779.68 832.37 766.37
Allahabad Bank NSE 215.30 219.23 212.93 223.17 210.57 225.53 206.63
Bank of Baroda NSE 832.45 865.80 775.10 899.15 717.75 956.50 684.40
Bank of India NSE 466.40 474.40 460.40 482.40 454.40 488.40 446.40
Banking Index Benchmark Exchange Traded Scheme (Bank BeES) NSE 1084.75 1091.30 1075.85 1097.85 1066.95 1106.75 1060.40
Cipla Ltd. NSE 304.40 308.48 301.83 312.57 299.27 315.13 295.18
Cummins India Ltd. NSE 713.45 726.60 704.70 739.75 695.95 748.50 682.80
Educomp Solutions Ltd. NSE 561.95 581.13 548.43 600.32 534.92 613.83 515.73
ICSA-India Ltd. NSE 126.30 128.27 125.07 130.23 123.83 131.47 121.87
India Cements Ltd. NSE 104.20 105.67 102.97 107.13 101.73 108.37 100.27
India Infoline Ltd. NSE 106.75 110.38 100.88 114.02 95.02 119.88 91.38
Indiabulls Financial Services Ltd. NSE 152.55 157.28 149.93 162.02 147.32 164.63 142.58
Indiabulls Power Ltd. NSE 26.15 26.42 25.97 26.68 25.78 26.87 25.52
Indiabulls Real Estate Ltd. NSE 198.30 202.57 194.17 206.83 190.03 210.97 185.77
Indiabulls Securities Ltd. NSE 25.95 26.30 25.75 26.65 25.55 26.85 25.20
Indian Bank NSE 250.45 254.97 242.97 259.48 235.48 266.97 230.97
Indian Hotels Company Ltd. NSE 104.25 105.37 103.42 106.48 102.58 107.32 101.47
Indian Oil Corporation Ltd. NSE 386.55 390.93 382.08 395.32 377.62 399.78 373.23
Indian Overseas Bank NSE 132.90 134.18 130.93 135.47 128.97 137.43 127.68
NSE Index NSE 5414.15 5435.53 5400.78 5456.92 5387.42 5470.28 5366.03
Oriental Bank of Commerce NSE 436.40 442.32 427.92 448.23 419.43 456.72 413.52
Punj Lloyd Ltd. NSE 114.90 116.47 113.42 118.03 111.93 119.52 110.37
Punjab National Bank NSE 1188.50 1207.12 1166.77 1225.73 1145.03 1247.47 1126.42
Reliance Capital Ltd. NSE 746.55 755.47 739.07 764.38 731.58 771.87 722.67
Reliance Communications Ltd. NSE 166.00 167.88 163.33 169.77 160.67 172.43 158.78
Reliance Industries Ltd. NSE 970.65 980.40 965.45 990.15 960.25 995.35 950.50
Reliance Infrastructure Ltd. NSE 1032.75 1049.37 1022.32 1065.98 1011.88 1076.42 995.27
Reliance Natural Resources Ltd. NSE 37.85 38.28 37.48 38.72 37.12 39.08 36.68
Reliance Power Ltd. NSE 153.85 155.20 152.40 156.55 150.95 158.00 149.60
Sesa Goa Ltd. NSE 318.70 327.27 310.82 335.83 302.93 343.72 294.37
Suzlon Energy Ltd. NSE 51.15 52.40 50.45 53.65 49.75 54.35 48.50
Syndicate Bank NSE 120.75 124.20 114.70 127.65 108.65 133.70 105.20
Tata Chemicals Ltd. NSE 387.65 390.73 384.73 393.82 381.82 396.73 378.73
Tata Coffee Ltd. NSE 488.85 498.17 473.27 507.48 457.68 523.07 448.37
Tata Communications Ltd. NSE 338.10 345.50 326.90 352.90 315.70 364.10 308.30
Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. NSE 850.20 859.47 842.47 868.73 834.73 876.47 825.47
Tata Elxsi Ltd. NSE 249.40 254.70 246.40 260.00 243.40 263.00 238.10
Tata Motors Ltd. NSE 1006.65 1017.63 996.83 1028.62 987.02 1038.43 976.03
Tata Power Company Ltd. NSE 1311.15 1335.40 1271.90 1359.65 1232.65 1398.90 1208.40
Tata Steel Ltd. NSE 513.60 521.20 508.60 528.80 503.60 533.80 496.00
Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Ltd. NSE 24.40 24.83 24.13 25.27 23.87 25.53 23.43
UCO Bank NSE 113.70 116.13 109.43 118.57 105.17 122.83 102.73
Vijaya Bank NSE 83.65 85.87 79.97 88.08 76.28 91.77 74.07
  *LTP stands for Last Traded Price as on
    #1R1   stands for Resistance level 1                         @1S1   stands for Support level 1
    #2R2   stands for Resistance level 2                         @2S2   stands for Support level 2
    #3R3   stands for Resistance level 3                         @3S3   stands for Support level 3
    
    The levels given above are with respect to previous closing price on the NSE / BSE. 

  Corporate News Headline
Hindustan Petroleum Corp is looking at buying fuel retail assets of Royal Dutch Shell in Africa, the Indian company's chairman said. (BS)
Bharti Airtel has announced plans to invest USD 10 mn in its newly acquired telecom network in Seychelles. The company will also participate in the Seychelles East Africa submarine cable project. (BS)
Mahindra Satyam said it had won a New York court ruling to withhold taxes from a USD 70 mn settlement payment to Britain-based Upaid Systems Ltd. (BS)
  Economic and Political Headline
The government said it is likely to dilute its stake in trading firm MMTC through a follow-on offer in the current fiscal. (BS)
Production in the US rose more than forecast in July, easing concern the industry that led the economy out of the recession is beginning to slow. Production at factories, mines and utilities climbed 1%, figures from the Federal Reserve showed today. Factory output rose 1.1% last month, led in part by auto making. (Bloomberg)
Wholesale costs in the US increased in July for the first time in four months, signaling slower growth is not resulting in deflation, or a protracted drop in prices that hurts the economy. The producer price index increased 0.2% following a 0.5% drop in June. A measure excluding volatile food and energy costs climbed 0.3%. (Bloomberg)

  US and European markets
Index Latest 1D Chg YTD
Nasdaq 1845.37 1.31% (0.80)%
DJIA 10405.85 1.01% (0.21)%
S&P 500 1092.54 1.22% (2.02)%
US stocks rose, following higher-than-estimated earnings and BHP Billiton Ltd's USD 39 bn bid for Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc. The NASDAQ, Dow Jones and S&P 500 surged 1.31% and 1.01% and 1.22%, respectively. Wal-Mart Stores Inc. climbed 1.2% and Home Depot Inc. jumped 3.4% as both retailers raised their full-year earnings forecasts. Potash led a rally in fertilizer shares, surging 28%, after rejecting the unsolicited takeover offer from BHP. Johnson & Johnson gained 2.1% after Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc. increased its stake in the company.
Index Latest 1D Chg YTD
FTSE 100 5350.55 1.41% (1.15)%
CAC 40 3663.13 1.82% (6.94)%
UK stocks climbed for a fourth day to a one-week high as mining companies rose with metal prices and insurers advanced amid takeover activity in the industry. The FTSE 100 added 74.45 points or 1.41% at 5,350.55. Antofagasta Plc and Eurasian Natural Resources Corp. each added more than 3% as copper increased for a second day. Aviva Plc gained 5.1% after a major shareholder said the company should consider higher offers for its general insurance unit. British Airways Plc climbed as strike action was called off at London Heathrow and five other airports.


INVESTMENT VIEW


Buy Orissa Mineral Development Corporation Ltd BSE Code:590086
for target of Rs 50,000
 
Equity: 60 lacs (only)
Book Value Rs 12500 per share
EPS: Rs 3000 per share
Free floating in market 15-16%
Goverment of India Company
Total Value of its mines Rs 1-1.25 Lac Crore
Current Year Sales expected at Rs 300 crore and net profit of Rs 170-200 Crore
Current Year EPS Expexted at Rs 3500
PE Ratio of 15 means Share price to touch Rs 50,000
Buy / Sell (Aug 17, 2010)
 BuySell Net
FII3143.252739.16 + 404.09
DII1187.881588 -400.12

*Disclosure: I don't have any positions in the above said scrips & NIFTY FUTURES.

Disclaimer: "I do not make any warranties, express or implied, as to results to be obtained from using the information in this e-letter.  Investors should obtain individual financial advice based on their own particular circumstances before making any investment decisions based upon information in this report.
--
Arvind Parekh
+ 91 98432 32381