Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Market Outlook 29th Jan 2011

Strong & Weak Stocks
This is list of 10 strong stocks: 
Jindal Saw, Ispat Ind, Hexaware, HCL Tech, TCS, Praj Ind, Orchid Chem, Petronet, Polaris & Mphasis. 
And this is list of 10 Weak Stocks: 
Zeel, Pantaloon, Orbit Corp, IVRCL Infra, Patel Eng, Rel Infra, Rel Media, HDIL, LIC Housing & Bajaj Hind.
The daily trend of nifty is in Down trend 

  • Supp / Resis SPOT/ CASH LEVELS FOR INTRADAY
Indices Supp/Resis1 23
Nifty Resistance 5745.955767.85 5805.20
Support 5686.705649.35 5627.45
Sensex Resistance 19163.96 19235.86 19351.11
Support 18976.81 18861.56 18789.66

Scripts to watch on 19th Jan. : ACC, Ambujacem, Bhartiatl,  Bhel, DLF, DrReddy, HDFC, HDFCBank, HeroHonda, Hindalco, ICICIBank, Infosys, M&M, Maruti, L&T, ONGC, PNB, Reliance, RelCap, RELInfra, SBI, TataMotors, Tisco, TCS, Sunpharma, SesaGoa,  

 Market Outlook
 
 

Yesterday, Markets opened up with a gap and traded with positive bias throughout the day to close in green. Today, Nifty is likely to open on a Positive note following positive sentiments from global markets. Nifty breached the vital resistance levels of 5,700 and 5,720 and Resistance for Nifty now seems at 5,750-5,780 while support stand at 5,700-5,650. On upside if level of 5,750 breaches decisively then we could see rise up to the mark of 5,780. On downside, the first support will be 5,700, followed by the 5,650.

Technical Indicators RSI (14) for the day was at 38.45 levels and MACD was above the signal line, thus combined together they are giving the signals that market may witness some buying in coming session. Long positions can be assumed in IT, Pharma, Energy and FMCG from current level. Short positions can be accumulated in BFSI, metals, automobile, capital goods if Nifty fails to sustain above 5700-5720 levels.


SUNPHARMA (BUY)

  • Stochastic is close to the oversold zone at the level of 33 and it has given buy crossover.
  • RSI is at 55 neutral territory on the verge of entering into positive crossover.
  • MACD is likely to show bullish crossover.
  • Stock already crossed 34 Day EWMA and expecting to rise further.
CMPBuy/Sell Target PriceStop Loss Support/ Resistance

484.35

BUY

490/500/510

475

440/530

GUJARAT FLURO (BUY)

  • Stochastic has also just entered into overbought territory moving upward suggesting further upside.
  • Stock already crossed 34 Day EWMA and expecting to rise further.
  • MACD showing positive divergence.
CMP Buy/Sell Target PriceStop Loss Support/ Resistance

263.95

BUY

267/272/278

258

240/290

WELSPUN CORP (SELL)

  • RSI is in profit booking phase.
  • Stochastic is moving into oversold territory showing negative crossover also indicating downside.
  • MACD showing negative divergence.
CMP Buy/SellTarget Price Stop Loss Support/ Resistance

147.85

SELL

146/143/140

152

140/160

ESCORT (SELL)

  • RSI is close to the oversold zone and indicating downtrend.
  • MACD has given a sell crossover indicating downtrend.
  • Wide correction is expected.
CMPBuy/Sell Target PriceStop Loss Support/ Resistance

148.40

SELL

147/144/140

152

140/160

  US markets
 
 US stocks finished higher with dollar weakness spurring some buying interest in equities, particularly gold and steel stocks. On the downside, disappointing earnings numbers from Citigroup and Delta Air Lines drove losses in the banking and airline sectors. Meanwhile, another inspiring set of second-tier economic data had little impact on overall market sentiment. Buying interest emerged even though Citigroup posted fourth quarter earnings of USD 0.04 per share, short of the USD 0.08 per share expected on Wall Street. Delta Air Lines also reported adjusted fourth quarter earnings of USD 0.19 per share, well below forecasts for USD 0.26 per share. In economic news, the New York Federal Reserve said its general business conditions index rose to 11.9 in January from a revised 9.9 in December. Separately, the National Association of Home Builders said that the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index came in at 16 in January, unchanged from the previous month.  
 
    European markets
 
 European markets posted solid gains aided by firm metal prices that boosted mining stocks and data revealing a notable improvement in German economic sentiment. Banking and semiconductor stocks also witnessed buying interest. Meanwhile, finance ministers from the eurozone refrained from announcing any increase to the size of the region's bailout fund. In economic news, German economic sentiment improved in January, results of a key survey revealed. The ZEW economic sentiment indicator climbed to 15.4 points, a six month high from 4.3 points in December.  
 
    Indian markets (Prev Day)
 
 Tthe domestic bourses ended on a robust note as the benchmark indices showed significant strength backed by the IT and Metal space. The market started off the session on a positive note as Nifty surpassed the 5,700 mark in the early trade tracking positive Asian cues. After a strong start, the market gained further momentum as the IT sector posted showed substantial strength after IT giant TCS came out with better than expected Q3 numbers. As the day progressed, the market pared of some of its gains and entered a narrow range. Mild volatility was seen throughout the session. the positive opening for the European bourses, helped the market to regain strength during the final couple of hours and the benchmarks were seen making fresh intraday highs. However, the 5,735 level on Nifty acted as a major resistance during today's trade. On the sectorial front, the IT space remained in limelight gaining by 2.60% after IT major TCS posted splendid quarterly earnings. Besides, the Metal, Healthcare, FMCG and Banking space also contributed the market rally, gaining by 2.31%, 1.64%, 1.52% and 1.43%.. At the end, Sensex closed at 19,092.05 up by 209.80 points. It touched an intraday high of 19,120.62 and low of 18,933.47. Nifty ended at 5,724.05 up by 69.30 points. It made a high/low of 5,730.50 and 5,671.25 respectively.  
 
IndexLatest1 D Chg(%)YTD(%)
NSE Index (18 Jan 2011) 5724.05 1.23 -6.69
Sensex (18 Jan 2011) 19092.05 1.11 -6.91
Dow Jones Ind. .. (18 Jan 2011) 11837.93 0.43 2.25
Nasdaq Composit.. (18 Jan 2011) 2765.85 0.38 4.26
Hang Seng (18 Jan 2011) 24153.98 -0.01 4.86
Straits Times (18 Jan 2011) 3249.58 0.34 1.87
FTSE 100 (18 Jan 2011) 6056.43 1.18 2.65
CAC 40 (18 Jan 2011) 4012.68 0.94 5.46
DAX (18 Jan 2011) 7143.45 0.92 3.32
SectorsClose1D Chg(%)
BSE IT 6720.76 2.54
BSEPSU 8747.62 0.57
OILGAS 9931.41 -0.12
Advance Decline RatioValue(in Cr.)Index
3.29 860.75 SENSEX
4.56 6160.38 NIFTY
   SENSEX    NIFTY
Top GainersClose1D Gain(%)YTD(%)
Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. 1200.55 5.48 3.05
Sterlite Industries (India) Lt... 177.15 4.42 -5.06
Jindal Steel & Power Ltd. 690.75 3.06 -3.15
Top GainersClose1D Gain(%)YTD(%)
Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. 1202.55 5.73 3.17
Sterlite Industries (India) Lt... 177.35 4.48 -4.98
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries ... 484.35 4.07 -0.12
Top LosersClose1D Loss(%)YTD(%)
Reliance Infrastructure Ltd. 702.35 -4.53 -16.59
Tata Power Company Ltd. 1331.70 -0.92 -2.49
Bharti Airtel Ltd. 344.50 -0.89 -3.88
Top LosersClose1D Loss(%)YTD(%)
Reliance Infrastructure Ltd. 701.45 -4.55 -16.81
Sesa Goa Ltd. 314.30 -1.35 -4.34
Bharti Airtel Ltd. 344.40 -1.18 -4.01
Top

Most Active Stocks by value (in Cr)

BSEClose%ChgValue(in Cr.)Volume
SBI 2516.45 1.59 88.94 348964
REL 735.70 -4.53 83.60 1169504
TCS 1138.15 5.48 80.24 675465
InfosysTechn 3267.95 1.54 72.04 218199
ICICI Bank 1000.70 1.03 69.84 690463
 
NSEClose%ChgValue(in Cr.)Volume
TCS 1137.40 5.73 503.81 4240685
InfosysTechn 3268.80 1.66 404.61 1224646
Axis Bank 1229.00 4.01 374.49 2940254
Tata Steel 625.65 1.11 371.31 5859522
ICICI Bank 1001.15 1.03 352.57 3480850
 
Strike Price Value Price %Chg
   Most Active Calls by Contract Value (in Cr)
   Most Active Puts by Contract Value (in Cr)
   Most Active Future by Contracts Value (in Cr)
    Commodities
 
 Crude oil ended lower pressured by the restart of the Trans Alaska Pipeline and as the International Energy Agency said some members of OPEC may have quietly raised production.Gold rose drawing strength from the dollar's decline against the euro as well as from Asian consumption and a degree of uncertainty over Europe's debt crisis.  
 
    International News
 
 
  • British annual inflation accelerated further to an eight-month high in December, boosted by food and fuel prices. Staying above the central bank's 2% target for the 13th consecutive month, consumer price annual inflation in December came in at 3.7%, up from 3.3% in November, the Office for National Statistics said Tuesday. Economists were expecting the rate to remain at 3.3%. (RTT News)
  • House prices in the UK rose at a slower annual pace in November. The not seasonally adjusted house price index climbed 4% year-on-year compared with October's 5.5% rise. House price inflation slowed for the sixth consecutive month. On a monthly basis, seasonally adjusted house prices declined 0.1%, unchanged from October. (RTT News)
  • Shares of consumer-electronics giant Apple Inc. slumped nearly 5% in premarket trade on Tuesday following news that Steve Jobs is taking a medical leave, and ahead of the firm's quarterly results. (Economic Times)
 
 
    Domestic News
 
 
  • Global media and publishing firm Pearson on Tuesday said it had picked an additional 59% stake in Bangalore-based online tutorial services provider TutorVista for Rs.577 crore. It is also looking at India as a focus market after Brazil and China. (The Hindu)
  • Deutsche Bank AG, HSBC Holdings Plc and two local banks hired to manage Steel Authority of India Ltd.'s share sale must show they didn't err in agreeing to work for a rival, Steel Minister Virbhadra Singh said. (Bloomberg)
  • Vodafone has objected to Essar Telecommunications Holdings' reverse listing into India Securities (ISL), saying ISL's value may be inaccurately used to calculate the value of its Indian telecom joint venture Vodafone Essar. (Business Standard)
 
 
CurrencyExchange-Rate1D Chg(%)1M Chg(%)
EUR 60.73 0.00 % 1.54 %
GBP 72.31 0.00 % 4.37 %
USD 45.59 0.00 % 1.74 %
FIIs ActivityRs. Cr.MTDYTD
Equity in flows 2682.00 32706.50 32706.50
Equity Out flows 2735.80 35324.30 35324.30
Net -53.80 -2617.80 -2617.80
pivot Levels for Future Segment to be used on 19th January