Thursday, December 2, 2010

Market Outlook 2nd Nov 2010

Strong & Weak Stocks
This is list of 10 strong stocks: 
Dish TV, Lupin, Indus Ind Bk, Tata Motors, Bharat Forge, Cipla, S Kumar, Chambal Fert, Bharti Artl & M&M. 
And this is list of 10 Weak Stocks
Hind Const, India Info, Unitech, HDIL, LIC Housing, RCOM, Jindal SWHL, Finan Tech, SCI & Orbit Corp.
The daily trend of nifty is in Down trend 

Scripts to watch today : ACC, AxisBank, BPCL, DLF, HDFCBank, ICICIBank, LT, Maruti, ONGC, Reliance,  Sterlite, TataMotors, TataPower, Tisco.

  • Supp / Resis
 IndicesValue%ChangeHighLow
Nifty 5960.90 ( 1.67 %) 5971.00 5865.55
Sensex 19850.00 ( 1.68 %) 19887.26 19525.15

Tip for the day
 
 

HITACHI HOME (BUY)

  • RSI is at 42 neutral territory showing positive crossover indicating uptrend.
  • Stochastic is hovering in neutral zoneshowing positive crossover suggesting upside.
  • MACD is likely to show bullish crossover.
  • The stock has rebounded after undergoing a deep correction and has breached its resistance at 220 levels with good volumes indicating that it will move upwards from here.
CMP Buy/SellTarget Price Stop Loss Support/ Resistance

226

BUY

229/233/238

220

200/240

PAREKH ALUMINEX (BUY)

  • RSI is at 43 neutral territory showing positive crossover indicating uptrend.
  • MACD is likely to show positive divergence.
  • Stock next resistance level seems at 520 if its break then stock could rise up to 550
  • Stochastic is at 43 levels and it has given a buy crossover.
CMPBuy/Sell Target PriceStop Loss Support/ Resistance

508.35

BUY

514/522/530

498

480/540

GANESH HOUSING CORPORATION (BUY)

  • RSI is at 48 likely to show positive crossover.
  • MACD is likely to show positive divergence.
  • Stochastic is trading in neutral territory at 60 showing positive crossover
  • Today stock has made new candlestick above 8 day EMA which is sign of uptrend.
CMP Buy/Sell Target PriceStop Loss Support/ Resistance

222.30

BUY

225/230/235

215

200/240

UFLEX (BUY)

  • RSI is at 50 showing positive crossover indicating uptrend.
  • Stochastic is trading in neutral territory at 65 on the verge of showing positive crossover.
  • The stock has rebounded after undergoing a deep correction and has breached its resistance at 250 levels with good volumes indicating that it will move upwards from here.
CMP Buy/Sell Target PriceStop Loss Support/ Resistance

263.05

BUY

267/272/278

255

220/280



Market Outlook
 
 

Yesterday, Nifty rallied over 100 points and closed well above 5,950 level as India's manufacturing sector grew at its fastest pace in six months in November, boosted investor's sentiment. Further, Good GDP numbers is a welcome relief for the stock market and is helping in the recovery on indices . Nifty is likely to face stiff resistance near 6,044 - 6,064 level. The immediate support for Nifty comes at 5,865 level and only if Nifty closes below this level, we may see some selling pressure which will drag Nifty to 5,778 level. On the derivatives front the Nifty December Futures prices inclined along with incline in open interest with positive cost of carry indicating fresh long position is being is initiated at current level. There was significant short accumulation was witnessed in OTM Put options. Most of the open interest accretion witnessed in the range of 5900 to 5700 Puts. We are observing rapid addition in 5800 and 5900 Puts with OI over 6.99 million and 4.32 million, which indicating that covered Put writers are shifting their positions from 5700 to 5900 Put.

Indian market is likely to open gap up tracking strong cues from global markets which rose as better than expected Chinese and European manufacturing activity and U.S. jobs fueled investor's sentiment. Buying interest could be witnessed in Banking, Capital goods, Auto stocks.


 US markets
 
 US stocks ended higher after latest batch of largely upbeat economic data gave investors' confidence the US economy is improving. Kicking off the day's influx of economic news was a report from payroll processor ADP, which said private sector employment increased by 93,000 jobs in November. Meanwhile, manufacturing index edged down to 56.6 in November from 56.9 in October. Despite the decrease, the reading coming in above 50 signified continued growth in the manufacturing sector. Separately, construction spending increased by 0.7% in October, surprising economists who had expected spending to fall by 0.5%.In the afternoon, the Fed reported that conditions in its 12 districts continued to improve based on a continued recovery in both the service and manufacturing sectors. In other news, major automakers reported strong US vehicle sales in November amid growing consumer demand in an improving economy. General Motors, Ford Motor and Chrysler Group LLC saw double digit sales growth, while Toyota Motor was the only major automaker to report a drop in sales.  
 
    European markets
 
 European markets rose as upbeat manufacturing reports from China as well as a number of European nations helped improve risk appetite. Miners, banks and auto makers led the broad-based advance. In economic news from Europe, the Markit Economics Purchasing Managers' Index for the euro zone, an indicator of overall manufacturing activity, rose to 55.3 in November from 54.6 in the prior month. Manufacturing activity in the UK hit a sixteen-year high in November. The Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply purchasing managers' index rose to 58.0 from 55.4 in October, countering the consensus forecast for a decline to 54.7.The manufacturing PMI for Germany increased to 58.1 in November from 56.6 in October, while the French purchasing managers' index for the manufacturing sector improved to 57.9 from 55.2 in October. In Ireland, the seasonally adjusted NCB manufacturing purchasing managers' index rose to 51.2 in November from 50.9 in October. Meanwhile, the standardized unemployment rate in Ireland edged down to 13.5% in November from 13.6% in the prior month.  
 
    Indian markets (Prev Day)
 
 The domestic bourses ended on a robust note, marking its third straight session winning streak. The market started off the session on a positive note carrying forward the previous session's upward momentum despite of weakness in the global front. The Asian stocks were mostly trading in the negative terrain tracking an overnight loss in the US market on concern that financial troubles of less fiscally responsible countries in the eurozone territory may spread into the global financial system. Meanwhile, the Japanese market was also trading lower after analysts slashed investment recommendations and the euro depreciated to an 11-week low versus the yen, damping the outlook for export earnings. The strength in the Indian market came in on the back of strong GDP data which was reported yesterday. The market continued to trade strong and gradually journeyed northwards. Soon the benchmarks breached the 5,900 levels on Nifty on the back of substantial buying across sectors. The HSBC Market Purchasing Managers'' Index data which came in during mid-session showed that India''s manufacturing sector grew at its fastest pace in six months in November, thanks to robust new business and a sharp rise in export orders. The Index, based on a survey of 500 companies, surged to 58.4 from 57.2 in October. Further momentum was attained by the benchmarks and the Nifty was seen crossing the 5,950 mark. Finally the market managed to hold on the gains and the benchmarks closed near their intraday highs. In the sectorial front, the Metal, Realty and Banking space remained the major contributors to the splendid market rally during the session and surged by 3.39%, 3.11% and 2.96% respectively. However, the IT space remained comparatively quiet after two sessions of decent gains and inclined by mere 0.11%. Both the Nifty and Sensex showed significant strength throughout the session and managed to near their respective session highs. The NSE Nifty closed above the 5,950 mark, while the BSE Sensex closed above the 19,800 level.  
 

IndexLatest1 D Chg(%)YTD(%)
NSE Index (01 Dec 2010) 5960.90 1.67 14.61
Sensex (01 Dec 2010) 19850.00 1.68 13.66
Dow Jones Ind. .. (01 Dec 2010) 11255.78 2.27 7.94
Nasdaq Composit.. (01 Dec 2010) 2549.43 2.05 12.35
Hang Seng (01 Dec 2010) 23249.80 1.05 6.30
Straits Times (01 Dec 2010) 3181.94 1.18 9.81
FTSE 100 (01 Dec 2010) 5642.50 2.07 4.24
CAC 40 (01 Dec 2010) 3669.29 1.63 -6.78
SectorsClose1D Chg(%)
BSE IT 6100.77 0.11
BSEPSU 9586.69 3.08
OILGAS 10210.79 1.46
Advance Decline RatioValue(in Cr.)Index
4.00 1022.60 SENSEX
4.00 7422.59 NIFTY
   SENSEX    NIFTY
Top GainersClose1D Gain(%)YTD(%)
Cipla Ltd. 365.35 6.30 8.86
Tata Steel Ltd. 613.65 5.04 -0.64
Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. 801.00 4.53 48.22
Top GainersClose1D Gain(%)YTD(%)
Suzlon Energy Ltd. 51.55 7.96 -42.94
Reliance Capital Ltd. 692.30 6.43 -19.28
Cipla Ltd. 365.15 6.36 8.98
Top LosersClose1D Loss(%)YTD(%)
Bharti Airtel Ltd. 351.35 -2.51 6.86
Hero Honda Motors Ltd. 1928.40 -2.28 12.35
Wipro Ltd. 414.55 -1.34 1.70
Top LosersClose1D Loss(%)YTD(%)
Hero Honda Motors Ltd. 1925.45 -2.89 12.09
Bharti Airtel Ltd. 350.55 -2.67 6.31
Sesa Goa Ltd. 299.55 -2.65 -27.08
Top

Most Active Stocks by value (in Cr)

BSEClose%ChgValue(in Cr.)Volume
SBI 2994.10 3.71 235.03 762557
Tata Motors 1237.10 4.13 125.86 992352
Tata Steel 584.20 5.04 100.26 1653908
ICICI Bank 1143.65 2.04 77.40 666606
RIL 986.80 0.33 58.90 594552
 
NSEClose%ChgValue(in Cr.)Volume
SBI 2992.20 3.61 887.00 2877525
Tata Motors 1234.95 4.19 759.91 5994329
ICICI Bank 1142.10 2.22 486.93 4193030
RIL 985.60 0.32 423.68 4280638
Tata Steel 584.80 4.92 377.57 6227503
 
Strike Price Value Price %Chg
   Most Active Calls by Contract Value (in Cr)
NIFTY ( 30 Dec 2010 ) 6000.00 755138.54 100.40 -27.84
NIFTY ( 30 Dec 2010 ) 6100.00 524916.17 56.60 -30.48
   Most Active Puts by Contract Value (in Cr)
NIFTY ( 30 Dec 2010 ) 5800.00 687761.73 54.95 69.97
NIFTY ( 30 Dec 2010 ) 5900.00 506636.61 82.90 61.40
   Most Active Future by Contracts Value (in Cr)
SBIN ( 30 Dec 2010 ) - 143421.16 3107.65 -3.90
TATAMOTORS ( 30 Dec 2010 ) - 138062.88 1288.90 -3.95
    Commodities
 
 Crude Oil prices rose more than 3% to settle up at USD 86.75 a barrel as private sector jobs in the US posted the biggest gain in three years and factory activity in China climbed to a seven-month high, boosting investor confidence about demand. Gold also rose on lingering fears about a sprawling European debt crisis and fund buying in commodities across the board.  
 
    International News
 
 
  • Manufacturing activity in the U.K. hit a sixteen-year high in November as employment in the sector rose at record pace. The Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply purchasing managers' index, or PMI, rose to 58 in November, the highest level since September 1994, from a revised 55.4 in October. (RTT News)
  •  Swiss manufacturing activity improved in November from an eight-month low in October. The seasonally adjusted SVME Purchasing Managers' Index rose to 61.8 from 59.2 in October. The Swiss economy recorded 0.9% sequential growth in the second quarter following a 1% increase in the first quarter. (RTT News)
  • Global concern about the debt crisis rocking the euro zone mounted on Wednesday, with Washington sending a top US Treasury envoy to Europe and G20 officials discussing the turmoil in a conference call. A day after investors pushed the risk premiums on Spanish and Italian government debt to new highs, the bond spreads of countries on Europe's southern periphery narrowed and the euro steadied on speculation that the European Central Bank could unveil new anti-crisis steps at a meeting on Thursday. (Economic Times)
 
 
    Domestic News
 
 
  • Wipro chairman Azim Premji will transfer 8.7% stake (213 million shares ) to Premji Trust valued at nearly USD 2 billion by December 7. However, Premji will retain voting rights of the transferred shares. The trust is created to finance social and not-for-profit projects. (Money control)
  • The country's largest private lender ICICI Bank  has discontinued the teaser rate schemes which entail cheaper home loans to new borrowers, with immediate effect. ICICI Bank has withdrawn the teaser rates on home loans with immediate effect, an ICICI Bank spokesperson said. (Business Standard)
  • Continuing with strong sales momentum, leading auto makers  except Tata Motors reported double digit growth in November, although they did not break the record levels of the previous month. (Economic Times)
 
 
CurrencyExchange-Rate1D Chg(%)1M Chg(%)
EUR 59.53 -1.38 % -1.38 %
GBP 71.19 -0.59 % -0.59 %
USD 45.70 -0.74 % -0.74 %
FIIs ActivityRs. Cr.MTDYTD
Equity in flows 5380.60 5380.60 706737.40
Equity Out flows 4189.90 4189.90 574330.80
Net 1190.70 1190.70 132406.70