Thursday, February 11, 2010

Market Outlook 11th Feb 2010

Strong & Weak  Stocks
This is list of 10 strong Stocks:
Titan, Lupin, Asian Paint, Dabur, BRFL, JindalSaw, Chambal Fert, Triveni, Auropharma & OBC. 
And this is list of 10 Weak Stocks: 
Baja Hind, Renuka, ICSA, DLF, Orchid Chem, Tata Steel, Ranbaxy, KFA, Punj Llyod & GMR Infra.
Nifty is in Down trend  

NSE Nifty Index   4757.20 ( -0.74 %) -35.45       
 1 23
Resistance 4806.674856.13   4885.42  
Support 4727.924698.63 4649.17

BSE Sensex 15922.17 ( -0.75 %) -120.01      
 1 23
Resistance 16078.2016234.22 16327.32
Support 15829.0815735.98 15579.96

NIFTY FUTURES (F & O): 
Selling may continue up to 4728-4730 zone for time being. 
Hurdles at 4761 & 4771 levels. Above these levels, expect short covering up to 4802-4804 zone and thereafter expect a jump up to 4834-4836 zone by non-stop. 
Cross above 4865-4867 zone, can take it up to 4896-4898 zone by non-stop. Supply expected at around this zone and have caution. 
On Negative Side, rebound expected at around 4697-4699 zone. Stop Loss at 4665-4667 zone.

Short-Term Investors:
Bearish Trend. 
Down Side Target at 4424.10. 
Stop Loss at 4949.90.

Equity:
HMT (NSE Cash) (1 Week Holding) 
Looks good in Weekly Chart. It crossed all resistance levels in Weekly Chart, as per my formula. 

Target as per Weekly Chart is at around 110 level.  
Stop Loss is at 93 level.

THINKSOFT (NSE Cash) (1 Week Holding) 
Looks good in Weekly Chart. It crossed all resistance levels in Weekly Chart, as per my formula. 

Target as per Weekly Chart is at around 565 level. 
Stop Loss is at 501 level.

 
HDFCBANK (NSE Cash):  
Bulls may get trapped at higher levels during intra-day trades today. Expect Negative News within 3 days. 

IBREALEST (NSE Cash):  
Bulls may get trapped at higher levels during intra-day trades today. Expect Negative News within 6 days. 

HINDCOPPER (NSE Cash):  
Bulls may get trapped at higher levels during intra-day trades today. Expect Negative News within 6 days. 

HINDPETRO (NSE Cash):  
Bulls may get trapped at higher levels during intra-day trades today. Expect Positive News within 5 days. 

BPCL (NSE Cash):  
Bulls may get trapped at higher levels during intra-day trades today. Expect Negative News within 2 days. 

OPTIONS (NSE):
NIFTY 4700  PUT OPTION 
Explosive. If rally continues, then it may continue up to 125 level by non-stop. 
If profit booking starts, then it can slide up to 56 level by non-stop. 
Support Levels: 61,67 & 76 levels. 

Resistance Levels: 93,94,104,107 & 118 levels.

TATASTEEL 540 PUT OPTION 
Explosive. If rally continues, then it may continue up to 52 level by non-stop. 
If profit booking starts, then it can slide up to 21 level by non-stop.

STOCK FUTURES (NSE):
SUNTV FUTURES  
Sentiment is weak. No trend, as per technicals. 
 
If selling continues, then it may continue up to 334 level by non-stop. 
If short covering starts, then expect a jump up to 411 level by non-stop. 
 
Resistance Levels: 376,402 & 406 Levels. 

Support Levels: 337,364,367 & 369 Levels. 
 
Related News: 
A large block deal of 33.66 lakh shares was struck at Rs 381 and another of 33.66 lakh shares at Rs 370. Both the deals were struck on BSE.

M&M FUTURES  
If selling continues, then it can tumble up to 892 level today & expect further fall up to 831 level on (or) before expiry. 
If short covering starts, then it can zoom up to 1005 level today & expect a jump up to 1066 level by non-stop. 
Related News: 
The equal partnership between Renault and Mahindra and Mahindra is all set to get modified. While, the change may result in either an exit or in one of the players ending up with a token stake.  
However, it is said that the two companies are working on various options, including Renault buying out Mahindra's 51% stake in the joint venture or Mahindra buying out Renault's 49% stake.
 
Tata Consultancy to add 30,000 staff in FY11 
Steel Secy says no SAIL bonus issue plan 

DLF says sells homes worth 4.8 bln rupees in Jan 
IOC head: to import 11 mln T crude oil from Iraq 

FY10 GDP growth at around 7.75 pct - fin min 

Telenor completes stake buy in India phone firm 

Reliance's Gas Supplies May Have Cut India's Spot LNG Demand 
Sugar-Cane Crop Area in India to Rise Marginally, Official Says 
Cochin Shipyard, Indian Aircraft-Carrier Builder, Mulls IPO 
Bharat Heavy Aims Overseas as Larsen, Toshiba Expand 
Bharat Heavy Electricals Wins Order Worth 4.95 Billion Rupees

 
Euro zone in intense talks on Greek rescue plan 
Stocks slip as Bernanke offsets Greece report 

Vale Will `Struggle' to Meet Iron Ore Demand as China's Economy Expands

China's Jan. consumer prices up less-than-expected 1.5%, but wholesale prices jump 4.3%

China's January producer price index up 4.3%

China consumer inflation rises less than expected

China bank lending rises to $204 bln in January

US, Europe Will All Default On Their Debt: Marc Faber


FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
Category DateBuy Value Sell ValueNet Value
FII10-Feb-2010 2319.782528.4 -208.62
DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
Category DateBuy Value Sell ValueNet Value
DII10-Feb-2010 1192.09732.98 459.11

Disclosure: I don't have any positions in the above said scrips & NIFTY FUTURES.
Disclaimer:
"I do not make any warranties, express or implied, as to results to be obtained from using the information in this e-letter.  Investors should obtain individual financial advice based on their own particular circumstances before making any investment decisions based upon information in this report."
-- 

Arvind Parekh
+ 91 98432 32381