Thursday, July 15, 2010

Market Outlook 15th July 2010

Strong & Weak Stocks
This is list of 10 strong stocks: 
DLF, Hind Petro, Bharat Forg, Educomp, BPCL, Orchid Chem, Titan, Polaris, Tata Comm & Sintex.  
And this is list of 10 Weak Stocks: 
RNRL, TV-18, ACC, Ambuja Cement, Sterling Biotech, Uniphos, HCL Tech, Rel Infra, Gail & Cipla.
The daily trend of nifty is in Uptrend 

  • Supp / Resis SPOT/ CASH LEVELS
Indices Supp/Resis1 23
Nifty Resistance 5435.835485.52 5517.58
Support 5354.085322.02 5272.33
Sensex Resistance 18104.50 18270.84 18374.46
Support 17834.54 17730.92 17564.58

SPOT/ CASH SUPPORT/ RESISTANCE LEVELS FOR INTRADAY
Company Name  Exchange LTP* R1 #1 S1 @1 R2 #2 S2 @2 R3 #3 S3 @3
ACC Ltd. NSE 805.45 824.73 794.08 844.02 782.72 855.38 763.43
Ambuja Cements Ltd. NSE 110.05 112.47 108.62 114.88 107.18 116.32 104.77
Bharat Electronics Ltd. NSE 1779.60 1822.20 1749.25 1864.80 1718.90 1895.15 1676.30
Bharat Forge Ltd. NSE 330.30 334.85 326.90 339.40 323.50 342.80 318.95
Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. NSE 2467.80 2507.97 2439.67 2548.13 2411.53 2576.27 2371.37
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd. NSE 700.55 715.63 688.73 730.72 676.92 742.53 661.83
Bharti Airtel Ltd. NSE 301.60 306.70 297.60 311.80 293.60 315.80 288.50
Cipla Ltd. NSE 329.75 337.80 324.90 345.85 320.05 350.70 312.00
DLF Ltd. NSE 319.15 324.07 315.67 328.98 312.18 332.47 307.27
Educomp Solutions Ltd. NSE 599.65 607.73 593.73 615.82 587.82 621.73 579.73
Gail (India) Ltd. NSE 459.20 467.62 453.97 476.03 448.73 481.27 440.32
HCL Technologies Ltd. NSE 357.00 361.93 354.13 366.87 351.27 369.73 346.33
Hindalco Industries Ltd. NSE 150.65 153.85 148.40 157.05 146.15 159.30 142.95
Hindustan Construction Company Ltd. NSE 123.75 127.33 121.63 130.92 119.52 133.03 115.93
Hindustan Oil Exploration Company Ltd. NSE 231.85 238.20 227.75 244.55 223.65 248.65 217.30
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. NSE 474.15 483.23 468.63 492.32 463.12 497.83 454.03
Hindustan Unilever Ltd. NSE 257.60 260.83 254.93 264.07 252.27 266.73 249.03
Hindustan Zinc Ltd. NSE 968.35 995.75 950.60 1023.15 932.85 1040.90 905.45
NSE Index NSE 5386.15 5435.83 5354.08 5485.52 5322.02 5517.58 5272.33
Orchid Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Ltd. NSE 183.60 186.93 180.03 190.27 176.47 193.83 173.13
Polaris Software Lab Ltd. NSE 207.40 211.92 204.32 216.43 201.23 219.52 196.72
Reliance Capital Ltd. NSE 784.10 794.70 776.80 805.30 769.50 812.60 758.90
Reliance Communications Ltd. NSE 186.40 190.75 183.80 195.10 181.20 197.70 176.85
Reliance Industries Ltd. NSE 1070.45 1087.52 1060.32 1104.58 1050.18 1114.72 1033.12
Reliance Natural Resources Ltd. NSE 45.60 47.13 44.03 48.67 42.47 50.23 40.93
Reliance Power Ltd. NSE 175.40 178.02 173.17 180.63 170.93 182.87 168.32
Sintex Industries Ltd. NSE 342.00 349.27 333.87 356.53 325.73 364.67 318.47
Sterling Biotech Ltd. NSE 106.60 107.25 106.15 107.90 105.70 108.35 105.05
Tata Communications Ltd. NSE 289.15 294.33 283.48 299.52 277.82 305.18 272.63
Tata Elxsi Ltd. NSE 281.65 285.35 279.50 289.05 277.35 291.20 273.65
Tata Metaliks Ltd. NSE 147.00 150.00 145.00 153.00 143.00 155.00 140.00
Tata Motors Ltd. NSE 800.00 811.53 791.73 823.07 783.47 831.33 771.93
Tata Power Company Ltd. NSE 1326.70 1340.55 1318.10 1354.40 1309.50 1363.00 1295.65
Tata Steel Ltd. NSE 505.90 515.60 500.10 525.30 494.30 531.10 484.60
Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Ltd. NSE 22.10 22.40 21.90 22.70 21.70 22.90 21.40
Titan Industries Ltd. NSE 2638.35 2714.90 2585.90 2791.45 2533.45 2843.90 2456.90
Uniphos Enterprises Ltd. NSE 33.30 34.37 32.62 35.43 31.93 36.12 30.87
   *LTP stands for Last Traded Price as on Wednesday, July 14, 2010 4:04:30 PM
    #1R1   stands for Resistance level 1                         @1S1   stands for Support level 1
    #2R2   stands for Resistance level 2                         @2S2   stands for Support level 2
    #3R3   stands for Resistance level 3                         @3S3   stands for Support level 3
    
    The levels given above are with respect to previous closing price on the NSE / BSE. 

  Corporate News Headline
State Bank of India signed a joint venture agreement with State General Reserve Fund, Sultanate of Oman to set up a General Purpose Private Equity Fund for investing in various assets in India. (BS)
Larsen & Toubro Ltd won an offshore rig refurbishment contract from Oil & Natural Gas Corporation valued at Rs 3.76 bn. (BS)
Tata Steel will raise Rs. 8.91 bn by issuing shares preferentially to founders at Rs. 594 each. The company will raise another Rs. 7.10 bn by issuing 12 million warrants to founders at the same conversion price and will receive 25% of this amount immediately on allotment. (BS)
  Economic and Political Headline
Wholesale price-based inflation inched higher to 10.55% in June, owing to the pass through effect of the June 25 hike in prices of petroleum products. The WPI numbers were provisionally 10.16% in May, while it was revised upwards to 11.23% for April from the provisional 9.59%. Among manufactured items, wood products prices rose by 5.4% due to higher rates of plywood commercial planks. Food inflation remained in double digits at 12.63% for the week ended June 19, having moderated from over 16% level in the preceding eight weeks. (BS)
Sales at US retailers fell in June for a second month, indicating the pace of economic recovery moderated heading into the second half of 2010. Purchases decreased a more-than-projected 0.5% following a 1.1% May drop, Commerce Department figures showed in Washington. Excluding auto dealers, demand fell 0.1%. (Bloomberg)
European inflation slowed in June and industrial production increased less than economists forecast in May as the economy struggled to gather strength. Consumer prices in the 16-member euro region rose 1.4% from a year ago after increasing 1.6% in May, the European Union statistics office in Luxembourg said. (Bloomberg)



  US and European markets
Index Latest 1D Chg YTD
Nasdaq 1853.41 0.45% (0.37)%
DJIA 10366.72 0.04% (0.59)%
S&P 500 1095.17 (0.02)% (1.79)%
Most US stocks fell, halting a six-day rally, as a drop in retail sales and the Federal Reserve's assessment that the economic outlook has "softened" overshadowed Intel Corp.'s forecast for record profit. The NASDAQ and Dow Jones rose 0.45% and 0.04%, respectively, whereas the S&P 500 dipped 0.02%. Home Depot Inc., American Express Co. and Alcoa Inc. declined the most in the Dow Jones Industrial Average as minutes from the Fed's last meeting showed policy makers saw no need to boost economic stimulus even as they trimmed growth forecasts. Intel rose 1.7% after reporting record second-quarter sales. Stocks pared losses in the final minutes of trading.
Index Latest 1D Chg YTD
FTSE 100 5253.52 (0.33)% (2.94)%
CAC 40 3632.98 (0.13)% (7.71)%
UK stocks declined, with the benchmark FTSE 100 Index falling for the first time in seven days, as a retreat by ICAP Plc and Burberry Group Plc offset a boost in Intel Corp.'s profit forecast. The FTSE 100 fell 17.5 points or 0.33% to 5,253.52. ICAP fell 4.6% as Chief Executive Officer Michael Spencer said activity slowed in June. Burberry fell 3% after Deutsche Bank AG downgraded the shares. ARM Holdings Plc rallied 3.1% and Intel sales beat analysts' forecasts.
Buy / Sell (Jul 13, 2010)
 BuySell Net
FII3132.492347.91 +784.68
DII1382.812033.77 - 650.96

*Disclosure: I don't have any positions in the above said scrips & NIFTY FUTURES.
Disclaimer: "I do not make any warranties, express or implied, as to results to be obtained from using the information in this e-letter.  Investors should obtain individual financial advice based on their own particular circumstances before making any investment decisions based upon information in this report.
--
Arvind Parekh
+ 91 98432 32381