Wednesday, December 8, 2010

Market Outlook 8th Dec 2010

Strong & Weak Stocks
This is list of 10 strong stocks: 
Tata Motors, Dish TV, HCL Tech, Cipla, Hindalco, Dr Reddy, Polaris, Jindal Steel, Infosys Tech & Tata Steel. 
And this is list of 10 Weak Stocks: 
KS Oils, Orient Bank, India Info, LIC Housing, HCC, ALBK, RCOM, DCHL, Rel Infra & EKC.
The daily trend of nifty is in Down trend 

  • Supp / Resis SPOT/CASH LEVELS FOR INTRADAY
Indices Supp/Resis1 23
Nifty Resistance 6005.136033.72 6066.43
Support 5943.835911.12 5882.53
Sensex Resistance 20020.52 20106.40 20204.44
Support 19836.60 19738.56 19652.68

 Tip for the day
 
 

PRAKASH INDUSTRY (BUY)

  • RSI is at 32 neutral territory showing positive crossover indicating uptrend.
  • Stochastic is moving in neutral zone showing positive crossover suggesting upside.
  • MACD is likely to show bullish crossover.
  • The stock has rebounded after undergoing a deep correction and has breached its resistance at 110 levels with good volumes indicating that it will move upwards from here.
CMP Buy/SellTarget Price Stop Loss Support/ Resistance

110.15

BUY

111.5/114/117

107

100/120

HEXAWARE TECH. (BUY)

  • RSI is at 70 overbought territory showing positive crossover indicating uptrend.
  • MACD is showing positive divergence.
  • Stock next resistance level seems at 103 if its break then stock could risel up to 110.
  • Stochastic is at 65 levels and expecting to go up.
CMPBuy/Sell Target PriceStop Loss Support/ Resistance

100.10

BUY

101.5/104/107

97

90/110

UFLEX (SELL)

  • RSI is trading in neutral territory at 31 showing negative crossover.
  • MACD is likely to show bearish crossover.
  • Stochastic is hovering in neutral zone showing negative crossover suggesting downside.
  • Today stock has made new candlestick below 8 and 34 day EMA which is sign of downtrend.
CMPBuy/Sell Target PriceStop Loss Support/ Resistance

195.50

SELL

193/188/183

201

180/210

IRB INFRASTRUCTURE (SELL)

  • RSI is at 35 showing negative crossover indicating downtrend.
  • Stochastic is trading in oversold territory at 21 showing negative crossover.
  • Stock is trading below 08 and 34 day EWMA and showing correction.

  • CMPBuy/Sell Target PriceStop Loss Support/ Resistance

    210.10

    SELL

    208/206/200

    215

    200/220

     

     Market Outlook
     
     

    Yesterday, markets witnessed weakness and Nifty closed near 5,975 level. Nifty is moving below short term 20DMA and 50DMA moving averages and short term underlying trend is expected to remain negative till the time Nifty trades below these levels. Immediate bigger support for Nifty now comes at 5,950 and break below 5,950 it may check 5,900-5,850 again on the downside. Immediate resistance comes at 5,992 (20DMA) and 6,063 (50 DMA) levels sustaining above these level may put Nifty in bullish zone and lead to 6,180 to 6,250 levels. On the derivatives front the Nifty Futures prices inclined along with incline in the open interest with positive cost of carry indicating accumulation of long position at lower level. For the coming session, Nifty is likely to consolidate between 5,900 to 6,065 level and a round of covering from 5,900-5,940 level cannot be ruled out which could lead to Nifty above 6,200 level.

    Indian markets is likely to open with downward bias tracking weak cues from global markets. Thereafter, Nifty is likely to drift down in morning trade and could touch 5940-5960 level but a round of short covering could be witnessed from these levels.

    US markets
     
     US stocks ended on a mixed note. The initial gains came in light of an agreement on extending the Bush-era tax cuts for all income levels, while the late-session pullback came as traders considered the amount of detail still up in the air regarding the proposal. In the debate over tax cuts, President Barack Obama came to an agreement with Republicans on a tentative framework for the extension of all of the Bush tax cuts, including the tax cuts for the wealthy. While some economists and international parties have called on the US to reduce spending and raise taxes to deal with budget shortfalls, neither major party has shown a willingness to do so. In news on overseas monetary policy, the Reserve Bank of Australia left its key interest rate unchanged at 4.75% and the Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate steady at 1%. On the corporate front, Citigroup closed at its best level since late April after the US Treasury Department announced plans to sell the remaining 2.4 billion shares or 7% stake it holds in the firm.  
     
        European markets
     
     European markets closed higher led by miners and construction related stocks as US president Obama's decision to extend tax breaks bolstered recovery hopes in the world's biggest economy. The US president agreed to extend Bush-era tax cuts that were set to expire at the end of 2010 by a further two years, and unemployment benefits for the long-term jobless for 13 months. In economic news, British manufacturing output rose 0.6% month-over-month in October following a 0.2% rise in September. Meanwhile, UK industrial output edged down 0.2% in October, countering expectations for a 0.3% growth. This follows a 0.4% increase in September. In Germany, factory orders grew 1.6% sequentially in October after falling 4% in the previous month. However, the growth rate was weaker than the consensus forecast of 1.9%.  
    IndexLatest1 D Chg(%)YTD(%)
    NSE Index (07 Dec 2010) 5976.55 -0.26 14.91
    Sensex (07 Dec 2010) 19934.64 -0.23 14.14
    Dow Jones Ind. .. (07 Dec 2010) 11359.16 -0.03 8.93
    Nasdaq Composit.. (07 Dec 2010) 2598.49 0.14 14.51
    Hang Seng (07 Dec 2010) 23428.15 0.82 7.11
    Straits Times (07 Dec 2010) 3191.88 0.33 10.16
    FTSE 100 (07 Dec 2010) 5808.45 0.66 7.31
    CAC 40 (07 Dec 2010) 3810.50 1.63 -3.20
    SectorsClose1D Chg(%)
    BSE IT 6286.37 0.31
    BSEPSU 9437.05 -0.69
    OILGAS 10505.97 0.90
    Advance Decline RatioValue(in Cr.)Index
    1.73 982.36 SENSEX
    1.50 7503.81 NIFTY
       SENSEX    NIFTY
    Top GainersClose1D Gain(%)YTD(%)
    Hindalco Industries Ltd. 226.85 2.51 41.12
    NTPC Ltd. 191.25 2.22 -18.86
    Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. 1432.40 1.61 -8.16
    Top GainersClose1D Gain(%)YTD(%)
    Hindalco Industries Ltd. 226.80 2.46 41.00
    NTPC Ltd. 191.60 2.43 -18.69
    HCL Technologies Ltd. 435.90 2.29 17.40
    Top LosersClose1D Loss(%)YTD(%)
    ICICI Bank Ltd. 1110.30 -3.50 26.79
    State Bank of India 2865.40 -2.96 26.26
    DLF Ltd. 299.05 -2.95 -17.20
    Top LosersClose1D Loss(%)YTD(%)
    Axis Bank Ltd. 1324.50 -4.19 33.90
    ICICI Bank Ltd. 1110.50 -3.54 26.62
    DLF Ltd. 297.90 -3.40 -17.52
    Top

    Most Active Stocks by value (in Cr)

    BSEClose%ChgValue(in Cr.)Volume
    SBI 2952.85 -2.96 307.42 1066620
    Tata Steel 634.95 0.73 107.50 1682077
    ICICI Bank 1150.55 -3.50 82.19 739253
    Tata Motors 1358.50 -1.96 80.43 604026
    RIL 1019.75 1.05 76.35 739727
     
    NSEClose%ChgValue(in Cr.)Volume
    SBI 2952.35 -2.98 1120.23 3886619
    ICICI Bank 1151.20 -3.54 700.77 6303028
    Tata Motors 1357.85 -1.65 639.95 4801008
    RIL 1020.15 1.04 528.55 5119800
    Tata Steel 635.05 0.68 440.47 6892610
     
    Strike Price Value Price %Chg
       Most Active Calls by Contract Value (in Cr)
    NIFTY ( 30 Dec 2010 ) 6000.00 1016247.16 101.15 -1.29
    NIFTY ( 30 Dec 2010 ) 6100.00 650137.58 56.00 -3.04
       Most Active Puts by Contract Value (in Cr)
    NIFTY ( 30 Dec 2010 ) 6000.00 883074.01 94.15 5.47
    NIFTY ( 30 Dec 2010 ) 5900.00 794724.20 59.90 7.93
       Most Active Future by Contracts Value (in Cr)
    SBIN ( 30 Dec 2010 ) - 152758.50 2889.25 2.87
    TATAMOTORS ( 30 Dec 2010 ) - 110885.30 1333.45 1.44
        International News
     
     
    • South Africa's inflation expectations eased notably in the fourth quarter. Inflation expectations of South African analysts, businesses and trade unions in the fourth quarter averaged 5.4% for this year compared to 5.7% anticipated in the third quarter. (RTT News)
    • Austria's annual wholesale price inflation increased in November. The wholesale price index rose 7.7% year-on-year in November, faster than a 7% growth in the previous month. A year earlier, wholesale prices were down 3%. (RTT News)
    • Zimbabwe's debt-saddled central bank is to lay off 1,600 workers, three quarters of its staff in a bid to balance its budget. Gideon Gono, the bank's controversial governor who was widely blamed for presiding over rampant printing of Zimbabwe's now abandoned local dollar which ended in hyperinflation. (Economic Times)
     
     
        Domestic News
     
     
    • Reserve Bank of India (RBI) deputy governor Subir Gokarn has said that though Micro Finance Institutions (MFIs) could be under stress, there is no threat to their survival. (LiveMint)
    • Toyota Kirloskar Motor (TKM) plans to invest an additional Rs. 500 crore to set up engines and transmissions plant for its Etios sedan and hatchback cars, a senior company official has said. (The Hindu)
    • Power utility CESC, an RPG Group company, said that it was diversifying into hydro-electric generation and would set up a 90 MW unit in Arunachal Pradesh. (Money Control)
     
     
    CurrencyExchange-Rate1D Chg(%)1M Chg(%)
    EUR 59.72 -0.33 % -1.06 %
    GBP 70.61 0.00 % -1.39 %
    USD 44.84 -0.02 % -2.61 %
    FIIs ActivityRs. Cr.MTDYTD
    Equity in flows 2932.40 20373.30 721730.10
    Equity Out flows 2855.40 17653.60 587794.50
    Net 77.00 2719.70 133935.70