Saturday, July 11, 2009

Valuation of Sensex!


As the Sensex declined from 21,000 to below 10,000, all the key valuation parameters fell below the historical averages. The BSE Sensex now trades at a forward P/E of 16.1x v/s the 15-year average of 14.3x, while the P/B multiple has declined from 4.7x to 2.8x. Following the deceleration in earnings momentum, Sensex RoE is now estimated at 18% v/s its peak RoE of 24%. At the current levels, earnings yield to bond yield is 0.8x, close to the long-term average of 0.73x. (At March 2009 Sensex levels of 9,500, it was about 1.3x.) This is one of the important parameters indicating that equities have moved from a stage of undervaluation to their long-term average fair values.

Strong & Weak futures
This is list of 10 strong futures:
  1. Colpal
  2. Dabur
  3. EduComp
  4. ITC
  5. DrReddy
  6. Gail
  7. Maruti
  8. Patni
  9. Cipla
  10. GTOff Shore
And this is list of 10 Weak futures:
  1. AdlabsFilm
  2. Aban
  3. BajajHind
  4. EssarOil
  5. HDIL
  6. NagarFert
  7. ChambalFert
  8. OrchidChem
  9. Suzlon
  10. PrajInd
Nifty is in Down Trend.


FII DATA
FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII10-Jul-20091713.692617.01-903.32

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII10-Jul-20091432.58546.45+886.13


SPOT LEVELS FOR MONDAY 13TH JULY
NSE Nifty Index 4003.90( -1.89 %) -77.05
123
Resistance4096.97 4190.03 4250.12
Support 3943.82 3883.73 3790.67

BSE Sensex 13504.22( -1.84 %) -253.24
123
Resistance 13794.81 14085.40 14273.61
Support 13316.01 13127.80 12837.21

--
Arvind Parekh
+ 91 98432 32381