Thursday, September 2, 2010

Market Outlook 2nd Sep 2010

Strong & Weak Stocks
This is list of 10 strong stocks:  
Ruchi Soya, KFA, BPCL, Tata Comm, Mcdowell-N, Dish TV, UCO Bank, Indian Oil, Hind Petro & TV-18.  
And this is list of 10 Weak Stocks: Suzlon, 
Hexaware Ltd, EKC, Chennai Petro, JP Associates, Tech Mahindra, KS Oils, Orbit Corp, Patel Eng & Hero Honda. 
The daily trend of nifty is in Downtrend 
Market is taking a counter rally but as the overall trend is still down, so it is advisable that the readers may not create long positions in Nifty and stay away from the market till it does not come in upttrend.

  • Supp / Resis SPOT/CASH INDEX LEVELS FOR INTRADAY
Indices Supp/Resis1 23
Nifty Resistance 5499.285526.72 5574.83
Support 5423.735375.62 5348.18
Sensex Resistance 18279.63 18353.40 18479.65
Support 18079.61 17953.36 17879.59

SUPPORT/ RESISTANCE LEVELS FOR SPOT/ CASH LEVELS (INTRADAY TRADING)
Company Name  Exchange LTP* R1 #1 S1 @1 R2 #2 S2 @2 R3 #3 S3 @3
Bank of Baroda NSE 818.55 824.93 807.23 831.32 795.92 842.63 789.53
Bank of India NSE 451.60 455.02 445.77 458.43 439.93 464.27 436.52
Bank of Maharashtra NSE 68.50 69.25 67.70 70.00 66.90 70.80 66.15
Banking Index Benchmark Exchange Traded Scheme (Bank BeES) NSE 1084.00 1094.67 1076.67 1105.33 1069.33 1112.67 1058.67
Bharat Electronics Ltd. NSE 1695.35 1715.20 1668.30 1735.05 1641.25 1762.10 1621.40
Bharat Forge Ltd. NSE 356.10 359.13 351.53 362.17 346.97 366.73 343.93
Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. NSE 2420.60 2432.70 2405.75 2444.80 2390.90 2459.65 2378.80
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd. NSE 778.70 788.73 765.83 798.77 752.97 811.63 742.93
Bharti Airtel Ltd. NSE 337.65 342.03 331.03 346.42 324.42 353.03 320.03
Chennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd. NSE 241.35 245.40 234.90 249.45 228.45 255.90 224.40
Dish TV India Ltd. NSE 53.80 55.10 51.50 56.40 49.20 58.70 47.90
Eveready Industries India Ltd. NSE 73.30 74.15 72.55 75.00 71.80 75.75 70.95
Everest Industries Ltd. NSE 263.65 266.67 260.87 269.68 258.08 272.47 255.07
Everest Kanto Cylinder Ltd. NSE 108.10 109.48 106.93 110.87 105.77 112.03 104.38
Everonn Education Ltd. NSE 576.95 586.60 566.70 596.25 556.45 606.50 546.80
Hero Honda Motors Ltd. NSE 1764.80 1802.83 1733.38 1840.87 1701.97 1872.28 1663.93
Hindalco Industries Ltd. NSE 174.25 177.23 168.88 180.22 163.52 185.58 160.53
Hindustan Construction Company Ltd. NSE 59.85 61.17 57.57 62.48 55.28 64.77 53.97
Hindustan Motors Ltd. NSE 24.60 24.80 24.35 25.00 24.10 25.25 23.90
Hindustan Oil Exploration Company Ltd. NSE 235.65 238.43 231.93 241.22 228.22 244.93 225.43
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. NSE 534.40 540.70 527.20 547.00 520.00 554.20 513.70
Hindustan Unilever Ltd. NSE 266.55 267.93 264.58 269.32 262.62 271.28 261.23
Hindustan Zinc Ltd. NSE 1114.95 1143.45 1070.00 1171.95 1025.05 1216.90 996.55
Indian Bank NSE 249.30 252.20 247.10 255.10 244.90 257.30 242.00
Indian Hotels Company Ltd. NSE 104.40 105.10 103.60 105.80 102.80 106.60 102.10
Indian Oil Corporation Ltd. NSE 423.95 430.88 414.13 437.82 404.32 447.63 397.38
Indian Overseas Bank NSE 125.45 126.73 124.23 128.02 123.02 129.23 121.73
Kinetic Motor Company Ltd. NSE 20.10 21.02 18.97 21.93 17.83 23.07 16.92
Kingfisher Airlines Ltd. NSE 62.35 63.45 60.55 64.55 58.75 66.35 57.65
McDowell Holdings Ltd. NSE 144.45 146.93 139.48 149.42 134.52 154.38 132.03
NSE Index NSE 5471.85 5499.28 5423.73 5526.72 5375.62 5574.83 5348.18
Orbit Corporation Ltd. NSE 122.40 124.20 119.80 126.00 117.20 128.60 115.40
Patel Engineering Ltd. NSE 372.30 376.33 365.88 380.37 359.47 386.78 355.43
Ruchi Soya Industries Ltd. NSE 136.95 140.47 130.92 143.98 124.88 150.02 121.37
Suzlon Energy Ltd. NSE 46.60 47.05 46.05 47.50 45.50 48.05 45.05
Tata Chemicals Ltd. NSE 396.35 399.87 392.47 403.38 388.58 407.27 385.07
Tata Coffee Ltd. NSE 488.65 496.43 482.43 504.22 476.22 510.43 468.43
Tata Communications Ltd. NSE 349.60 357.72 337.77 365.83 325.93 377.67 317.82
Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. NSE 858.40 866.27 845.27 874.13 832.13 887.27 824.27
Tata Motors Ltd. NSE 1010.75 1019.12 1002.77 1027.48 994.78 1035.47 986.42
Tata Power Company Ltd. NSE 1239.00 1251.65 1223.35 1264.30 1207.70 1279.95 1195.05
Tata Steel Ltd. NSE 537.95 542.73 529.43 547.52 520.92 556.03 516.13
Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Ltd. NSE 22.85 23.10 22.50 23.35 22.15 23.70 21.90
Tech Mahindra Ltd. NSE 646.80 655.03 635.53 663.27 624.27 674.53 616.03
UCO Bank NSE 114.30 115.60 112.40 116.90 110.50 118.80 109.20
   *LTP stands for Last Traded Price as on Wednesday, September 01, 2010 4:04:32 PM
    #1R1   stands for Resistance level 1                         @1S1   stands for Support level 1
    #2R2   stands for Resistance level 2                         @2S2   stands for Support level 2
    #3R3   stands for Resistance level 3                         @3S3   stands for Support level 3
    
    The levels given above are with respect to previous closing price on the NSE / BSE. 

  Corporate News Headline
Tata Consultancy Services said its UK subsidiary Diligenta has won two life and pension contracts, totaling GBP 250 mn in revenue in the UK. (BS)
Ambuja Cements said its August-month production stood at 14.13 lakh tonnes (LT), slightly down from 14.18 LT in the year-ago period. (BS)
Maruti Suzuki India reported its highest ever monthly sales at 1,04,791 units in August, registering 23.56% jump over the year-ago period. Sales for the same month last year were at 84,808 units, Maruti Suzuki India said in a statement. (BS)
  Economic and Political Headline
The Centre's fiscal deficit fell by 42% to Rs. 909.15 bn during April-July, 2010, year-on-year, on increased revenue receipts from the auction of 3G spectrum. The deficit represents 23.8% of the estimate for the current financial year. The Budget for 2010-11 estimates the fiscal deficit, which represents excess government expenditure over its revenue, at Rs. 3814.08 bn. (BS)
Manufacturing in the US expanded at a faster pace than forecast in August, signaling the industry that led the recovery will keep it from faltering. The Institute for Supply Management's factory index rose to 56.3 from 55.5 in July, the Arizona-based group said. (Bloomberg)
Manufacturing in China grew at a faster pace in August after the weakest performance since early 2009 in July, signaling that the economy's slowdown is stabilizing. The purchasing managers' index rose to 51.7 from 51.2, a government-backed report showed. (Bloomberg)

Deriviatives EOD Report on http://www.indiabulls.com/securities/mailermis/derivative-strategy/derivative-EOD-01-Sep-2010.htm

  US and European markets
Index Latest 1D Chg YTD
Nasdaq 1820.05 2.98% (2.16)%
DJIA 10269.47 2.54% (1.52)%
S&P 500 1080.29 2.95% (3.12)%
US stocks rallied as better-than-estimated growth in American and Chinese manufacturing bolstered confidence in the global economic recovery. The NASDAQ, Dow Jones and S&P 500 surged 2.98%, 2.54% and 2.95%, respectively. Caterpillar Inc. helped lead industrial companies in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index to a 3.9% gain as US and Chinese factory production grew last month. Alcoa Inc. advanced 3% as metal prices gained. Apple Inc. rose 3% after introducing iPods and a television set-top box. Burger King Holdings Inc. surged 15% on takeover speculation.
Index Latest 1D Chg YTD
FTSE 100 5366.41 2.70% (0.86)%
CAC 40 3623.84 3.81% (7.94)%
UK stocks rallied the most in almost two months after US and Chinese manufacturing growth accelerated, easing concern that the economy will stumble back into recession. The FTSE 100 jumped 141.19 points or 2.70% at 5,366.41. Rio Tinto Plc and Antofagasta Plc gained more than 6% as copper climbed and other base metals advanced. Cable & Wireless Worldwide Plc jumped 7.7% amid speculation that AT&T Inc. may make a bid. TUI Travel Plc soared 9.2% after a report that its parent group will buy the shares in the company that it doesn't already own.
Buy / Sell (Sep 01, 2010)   Buy Sell Net FII 2688.31 2323.50 +359.81 DII 1210.05 1041.49 +168.56


*Disclosure: I don't have any positions in the above said scrips & NIFTY FUTURES.

Disclaimer: "I do not make any warranties, express or implied, as to results to be obtained from using the information in this e-letter.  Investors should obtain individual financial advice based on their own particular circumstances before making any investment decisions based upon information in this report.
--
Arvind Parekh
+ 91 98432 32381