Friday, May 14, 2010

Market Outlook 14th May 2010

Strong & Weak  futures 
This is list of 10 strong stocks
Ashok Ley, Glaxo, EKC, India Hotel, Andhra Bank, Lic house, Titan, Uniphos, PFC & ICSA. 
And this is list of 10 Weak Stocks: 
Idea, Bharti Airtel, Aban Off shore, ABB, Renuka, RCom, Educomp, Bajaj Hind, Balrampur Chini & Punj Lloyd.
The daily trend of nifty is in downtrend 

Today Market Update http://www.indiabulls.com/securities/mailermis/morning-brief/morning-brief-14May2010.htm

  Corporate News Headline
Power Finance Corporation offered investors in its 10 and 15-year bonds a choice to convert their fixed rate exposure to floating through a swap deal, two sources familiar with the issue said. (BS)
MTNL reported a loss of Rs. 15.74 bn for the fourth quarter ended March 31, 2010. The company had posted a loss of Rs. 730 mn for the same quarter ended March 31, 2009. (BS)
Hindustan Construction Company launched Highbar Technologies, an IT company with its focus on the Infrastructure industry. (BS)
  Economic and Political Headline
India's food inflation rate climbed, an increase the government says will be arrested as prospects of normal monsoon rains this year may push prices lower. An index measuring wholesale prices of agriculture products compiled by the Commerce Ministry rose 16.44% in the week ended May 1 from a year earlier. It gained 16.04% the previous week. (Bloomberg)
The UK trade deficit widened in March as imports jumped the most in six months, led by demand for goods from cars to engineering equipment. The goods-trade gap was GBP 7.5 bn, compared with GBP 6.3 bn pounds in February, the Office for National Statistics said in London. (Bloomberg)
The number of Americans filing claims for jobless benefits dropped for a fourth straight week, a sign that employers are retaining more workers as the economy expands. Initial jobless claims fell by 4,000 to 444,000 in the week ended May 8, higher than the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, Labor Department figures showed in Washington. (Bloomberg)

SPOT /CASH INDEX LEVELS TODAY
NSE Nifty Index   5178.90 ( 0.43 %) 22.25       
 1 23
Resistance 5211.755244.60   5276.50  
Support 5147.005115.10 5082.25

BSE Sensex 17265.87 ( 0.41 %) 70.06      
 1 23
Resistance 17356.5617447.26 17505.36
Support 17207.7617149.66 17058.96

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
Category DateBuy Value Sell ValueNet Value
FII13-May-2010 2362.292377.86 -15.57
DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
Category DateBuy Value Sell ValueNet Value
DII13-May-2010 1338.011115.61 222.4

NIFTY FUTURES (F & O): 
Below 5155 level, expect profit booking up to 5147-5149 zone and thereafter slide may continue up to 5127-5129 zone by non-stop. 
Hurdle at 5182-5184 zone. Above this zone, rally may continue up to 5188 & 5189 levels and thereafter expect a jump up to 5202-5204 zone by non-stop. 
Cross above 5221-5223 zone, can take it up to 5241-5243 zone by non-stop. Supply expected at around this zone and have caution. 
On Negative Side, rebound expected at around 5107-5109 zone. Stop Loss at 5088-5090 zone.

Short-Term Investors: 
Bearish Trend. 
Down Side Target at 4812.00. 
Stop Loss at 5238.00.

STOCK FUTURES (NSE):
TRIVENI FUTURES 
Triveni, which had an order book of 8.5 billion rupees as of end-March, expects it to rise to 11 billion rupees by June-end. Executive Director Nikhil Sawhney told Reuters over the telephone.  
"Order enquiries (in the engineering business) are very strong. All segments, water, turbine, gear, are showing growth both in topline and order book... it may be more for the water segment as it is growing rapidly," Sawhney said.
The firm, which also produces sugar, is in the process of demerging its turbine business into a separate entity and has formed a joint venture with a unit of General Electric Co to manufacture steam turbines in India.  

Technicals: TRIVENI FUTURES 
Yesterday's rally was a surprise. Do not get excited & Bulls rigged. 
Bull's eyeing a Target of 115.80 level on upper side. It looks that, uptrend may be limited from the current levels and have caution. This scrip should close at above 115.80 level for further uptrend.  
On Negative Side, if Profit Booking Starts, then expect a slide up to 106.90 level and have caution.

RENUKA FUTURES (5 Trading Day's Holding) 
The government may consider lifting a ban on futures trading in sugar after assessing the final sugar production situation, monsoon and next year's sugarcane plantation scenario, agriculture minister Sharad Pawar said on Wednesday.  

RENUKA FUTURES (5 Trading Day's Holding) Technicals: 
Actually Selling taken place in last 5 trading days.(It gained on yesterday). Do not worry about this fall. 
Bear's eyeing a Target of 51.05 level on down side. Too far on down side, and it should rebound at around this level. 
On Positive Side, if Start Recovers then expect a jump up to 58.55 level on upper side. This scrip should close this level for further uptrend.

OPTIONS (NSE):
NIFTY 5200 CALL OPTION 
Yesterday's rally was on expected lines. Do not get excited & Bulls rigged. 
Bull's eyeing a Target of 101.15 level on upper side. It looks that, target is too far on upper side too. 
On Negative Side, if Profit Booking Starts then expect a slide up to 39.70 level by non-stop and have caution.

BHARTIARTL 260 CALL OPTION 
Yesterday's fall was on expected lines. Do not worry about this fall & Bears Manipulated. 
Bear's eyeing a Target of 3.65 level on down side. It looks that, target is too far on down side. 
On Positive Side, if Start Recovers then expect a Short Covering up to 16.85 level and have caution.

Equity:
DLF (NSE Cash) 
Real estate stocks were buoyant on the back of strong property prices. 
Religare Capital Markets estimates that property prices in India have risen by 25% to 50% from their previous lows and have breached their 2007-08 peaks in Mumbai and Delhi. The brokerage maintained a positive stance on the sector, saying the stocks, which have been lagging the broader market over the past few months, should begin to outperform.  
DLF (NSE Cash)  Technicals: 
Yesterday's rally was in expected lines. Do not get excited & Bulls rigged. 
Bull's eyeing a Target of 325.95 level on upper side. It looks that, target is too far on upper side & Bulls will have to work hard. 
On Negative Side, if Profit Booking Starts then expect a slide up to 296.95 level by non-stop and have caution.

ABAN (NSE Cash) 
A gas platform has sunk in the Caribbean Sea off the coast of Venezuela. 
President Hugo Chavez announced the incident via his account on the social networking site Twitter.  

He said all 95 workers were evacuated from the Aban Pearl platform before it sank in the early hours of Thursday.  

The rig's owners, Aban Offshore Ltd, said it was not clear what had happened but that the platform had been listing.

The Indian firm's CEO, Gopal Dupalkrishnan, told the BBC from his offices in Singapore that the semi-submersible drilling rig had been under contract to a company owned by the Venezuelan government. 

It was drilling some of the 16 gas wells in the Mariscal Sucre offshore natural gas project, in the extreme north-east of Sucre state.  
The Mariscal Sucre project is being developed by Venezuela's state oil company, PDVSA, without participation from the private sector, Reuters news agency reports.  
ABAN (NSE Cash)  Technicals: 
Yesterday's fall was in expected lines. Do not worry about this fall & Bears Manipulated. 
Bear's eyeing a Target of 787.65 level on down side. Too far on down side & Bear's need to work hard. 
On Positive Side, if Start Recovers then expect a jump up to 1228.35 level on upper side. Too far on upper side & High risk involved too.

XLTELENE (NSE Cash) 
XL Telecom & Energy Ltd has entered into a joint venture with Spain-based SDEM TEGA S.A., for solar power projects EPC business. The two will jointly bid for solar power projects across the globe. SDEM TEGA will initially explore the emerging India's solar initiative along with the growing Latin America, North of Africa and Australian markets to capture significant market share. XL anticipates the India opportunity at about Rs 8,500 crore or $2 billion and 500 mw worth projects, in the next 12 to 24 months.

Disclosure: I don't have any positions in the above said scrips & NIFTY FUTURES.
Disclaimer:
"I do not make any warranties, express or implied, as to results to be obtained from using the information in this e-letter.  Investors should obtain individual financial advice based on their own particular circumstances before making any investment decisions based upon information in this report."
--
Arvind Parekh
+ 91 98432 32381

Thursday, May 13, 2010

Market Outlook 13th May 2010

Strong & Weak Stocks
This is list of 10 strong stocks
Ashok Ley, Glaxo, Ansal Infra, Andhra Bank, UCO Bank, India Hotel, Uniphos, Vijaya Bank, EKC & RECL.  
And this is list of 10 Weak stocks
Renuka, Idea, Balrampur Chini, Bajaj Hind, ABB,  Bharti Airtel, Educomp, Aban Off shore, Punj Lloyd & India Cement.
The daily trend of nifty is in downtrend 

NIFTY FUTURES (F & O):
Rally may continue up to 5163 level for time being. 
Support at 5121 & 5140 levels. Below these levels, expect profit booking up to 5087-5089 zone and thereafter slide may continue up to 5065-5067 zone by non-stop. 
Below 5055-5057 zone, expect panic up to 5033-5035 zone by non-stop. 

On Positive Side, cross above 5195-5197 zone can take it up to 5227-5229 zone by non-stop. Supply expected at around this zone and have caution.

Short-Term Investors:
Bearish Trend. 
Down Side Target at 4812.00. 
Stop Loss at 5238.00.

STOCK FUTURES (NSE):
ALBK FUTURES 
The economy is on the track of recovery. In this scenario the public sector banks are in plan to offer personal loans on a bigger scale to customers so as to improve their margins as well as profitability. The reason behind this plan is that the personal loans yield higher returns than any other loan product. 
Banks like Allahabad Bank, Uco Bank, Union Bank of India and United Bank of India have chalked out plans on how to sell their high yielding personal loan products to the retail customer. 

The retail loan share of these banks is lower than the industry average and thus they need to scale up. These banks have a retail loan share of 12-14% as compared to the industry average of 20-22%. These banks and many others had stopped their personal loan segment fearing chances of default after the economic slowdown.

Technicals: ALBK FUTURES 
Yesterday's rally was a surprise & Real Buying too.

Bull's eyeing a Target of 170.90 level on upper side. If you look at Positive Global Cues, then this target may be possible too. 

On Negative Side, if Profit Booking Starts then expect a slide up to 152.60 level by non- stop and have caution.

TECHM FUTURES (5 Trading Day's Holding) 
BT Group Plc may wait for Tech Mahindra Ltd. to merge with Mahindra Satyam Ltd. before BT sells its stake in Tech Mahindra, the Hindu Business Line reported, citing people it didn't identify.  
BT, the largest U.K. fixed-line phone company, owns about a 30 percent stake in Pune, India-based Tech Mahindra. 

Technicals: TECHM FUTURES (5 Trading Day's Holding) 
Actually Selling taken place in last 5 Trading Days. (Yesterday it gained.) Do not worry about this fall. 
Bear's eyeing a Target of 680.80 level on down side. If you look at Positive Global Cues then this target may not be possible too. 
On Positive Side, if Start Recovers then expect a jump up to 796.60 level and have caution.

OPTIONS (NSE):
NIFTY 5200 CALL OPTION 
Yesterday's rally was a surprise. Do not get excited & Bulls rigged. 
Bull's eyeing a Target of 91.40 level on upper side. It looks that, target is too far on upper side too. 

On Negative Side, if Profit Booking Starts then expect a slide up to 49.50 level by non- stop and have caution.

RELIANCE 1100 CALL OPTION 
Yesterday's rally was a surprise. Do not get excited & Bulls rigged. 
Bull's eyeing a Target of 22.50 level on upper side.  
On Negative Side, if Profit Booking Starts then expect a slide up to 11.20 level by non- stop and have caution.

Equity:
RECLTD (NSE Cash) 
Rural Electrification Corporation (REC) was included in the Morgan Stanley Capital International, or MSCI index. 

Technicals: RECLTD (NSE Cash) 
Yesterday's rally on expected lines. Real Buying too.
Bull's eyeing a Target of 275.90 level on upper side. It looks that, up side may be limited from current levels and have caution. 
On Negative Side, if Profit Booking Starts then expect a slide up to 262.50 level by non- stop and have caution. Huge risk involved.

BAJAJFINSV (NSE Cash) 
Bajaj Finserv jumped after reporting fourth-quarter profit of 4.34 billion rupees, from 1.07 billion a year earlier. 

Technicals: BAJAJFINSV (NSE Cash) 
Yesterday's rally was a surprise & Real Buying too. 
Bull's eyeing a Target of 478.95 level on upper side. It looks that, up side may be limited from current levels and have caution. 
On Negative Side, if Profit Booking Starts then expect a slide up to 434.05 level by non- stop and have caution. Huge risk involved.

PDUMJEPULP (NSE Cash) 
Pudumjee Pulp & Paper Mills Limited has informed the Exchange that "Pudumjee-G:Corp Developers in which the Company is a majority Partner has formally launched the first phase of their residential project which is under construction.  
The response during the soft launch has been encouraging and so far 115 apartments out of 176 have already been booked.  
The entire project is expected to be completed in 3 phases. This project involves construction and sale of luxurious 658 flats of 2 BHk and 3 BHK with an aggregate saleable area of 9,30,000 sq.ft. (approx)

  Corporate News Headline
Bajaj Auto reported a net profit of Rs 5.29 bn for Q4'10 as compared to Rs 1.30 bn in the same quarter previous year. The net sales of the company was Rs 32.90 bn as against Rs 17.88 bn. (BS)
Educomp Solutions has bagged an order worth Rs. 511.4 mn from the Bihar government to provide computer education in 600 senior secondary schools across the state for a period of three years. (BS)
Punj Lloyd won a Rs. 20.56 bn contract for the Shah Gas Development Project in Abu Dhabi, in consortium with Technicas Reunidas of Spain. The consortium will execute the gas-gathering package for the project on the EPC basis. (BS)
  Economic and Political Headline
India's industrial production grew more than 10% for the sixth straight month, adding to inflation pressures even as Europe's debt crisis threatens to undermine the global economic recovery. Output at factories, utilities and mines rose 13.5% in March from a year earlier after gaining 15.1% in February, as per the Statistics Department. (Bloomberg)
UK unemployment climbed to a 16-year high in the first quarter, underlining the fragility of the recovery as Conservative David Cameron begins his premiership. Unemployment measured by International Labour Organization methods rose 53,000 to 2.51 million, the Office for National Statistics said. (Bloomberg)
Europe's economy expanded at a faster pace than economists forecast in the first quarter as a global recovery boosted exports, helping the region overcome the Greek fiscal crisis and consumers' reluctance to increase spending. Gross Domestic Product in the 16 euro nations rose 0.2% from the fourth quarter, when it remained unchanged, as per the European Union's statistics office in Luxembourg. (Bloomberg)

SPOT/CASH INDEX LEVELS TODAY 
NSE Nifty Index   5156.65 ( 0.40 %) 20.50       
 1 23
Resistance 5186.405236.65   5266.60  
Support 5106.205076.25 5026.00

BSE Sensex 17195.81 ( 0.32 %) 54.28      
 1 23
Resistance 17312.3017483.08 17587.00
Support 17037.6016933.68 16762.90
Today Market Update on http://www.indiabulls.com/securities/mailermis/morning-brief/morning-brief-13May2010.htm

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDate Buy ValueSell Value Net Value
FII 12-May-20102068.49 2365.72-297.23
DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
Category DateBuy Value Sell ValueNet Value
DII12-May-2010 1191.031010.61 180.42

Disclosure: I don't have any positions in the above said scrips & NIFTY FUTURES.
Disclaimer:
"I do not make any warranties, express or implied, as to results to be obtained from using the information in this e-letter.  Investors should obtain individual financial advice based on their own particular circumstances before making any investment decisions based upon information in this report."
--
Arvind Parekh
+ 91 98432 32381

Wednesday, May 12, 2010

Market Outlook 12th May 2010

Strong & Weak Stocks
This is list of 10 strong stocks: 
Ansal Infra, Ashok Ley, Uniphos, Andhra Bank, Dish TV, UCO Bank, India Hotel, EKC, Tulip & Glaxo. 
And this is list of 10 Weak Stocks
Renuka, Bajaj Hind, Balrampur Chini, ABB, Tech Mahindra, Aban Off shore, RCom, HDIL, Educomp & India Cement.
The daily trend of nifty is in downtrend 

NIFTY FUTURES (F & O):
 Below 5127-5129 zone, selling may continue up to 5112 level by non-stop. 
Hurdles at 5143 & 5149 levels. Above these levels, expect short covering up to 5175-5177 zone and thereafter expect a jump up to 5201-5203 zone by non-stop. 
Sell if touches 5245-5247 zone. Stop Loss at 5270-5272 zone. 
On Negative Side, break below 5084-5086 zone, can create panic up to 5058-5060 zone by non-stop. If breaks & sustains this zone then downtrend may continue and have caution.

Short-Term Investors:
Bearish Trend. 
Down Side Target at 4812.00. 
Stop Loss at 5238.00.

STOCK FUTURES (NSE):
BAJAJHIND FUTURES 
Sugar production may exceed demand at 25 million tonne (MT) in the 2010-11 crop year starting October on the back of a 20 percentage points increase in sugarcane acreage, the country's largest sugar company Bajaj Hindustan said yesterday. 
"Sugar production may touch 25 million tonne in the 2010-11 crop year assuming good monsoon and about 20 per cent jump in acreage of sugarcane," Bajaj Hindusthan President (Investor Relations) Narayan Raman said in a conference call. 

Technicals: BAJAJHIND FUTURES 
Yesterday's fall was a surprise & Real Selling too. 
Bear's eyeing a Target of 99.80 level on down side. It looks that, target is too far on down side. 

On Positive Side, if Start Recovers then expect a jump up to 118.30 level by non-stop and have caution.

IDEA FUTURES (5 Trading Day's Holding) 
GSM operators' association COAI today said the rising cost of spectrum could affect telecom growth plans, particularly in rural areas. 
"Growth could be hampered," said COAI Director-General Rajan S Mathews on the TRAI recommendations, which have suggested that telcos pay for 2G spectrum beyond the contracted amount of 6.2 Mhz, based on prices discovered through the 3G auction.  
Asked if the rising spectrum costs suggested by TRAI could lead to a reversal of the current low tariff regime, as operators would try to recover costs, he said, "Tariffs can't be arbitrarily increased."  

Call rates in India have touched their lowest levels, which are hitting the profitability of the mobile companies.  

Technicals: IDEA FUTURES (5 Trading Day's Holding) 
Selling taken place in last 5 trading days. Do not worry about this fall & Bears manipulated. 
Bear's eyeing a Target of 52.95 level on down side. It looks that, it is too far on down side. 
On Positive Side, if Start Recovers then expect a jump up to 65.35 level by non-stop. Huge risk involved too.



OPTIONS (NSE):
NIFTY 5200 PUT OPTION 
Yesterday's rally was a surprise. Do not get excited & Bulls rigged. 
Bull's eyeing a Target of 184.70 level on upper side. It looks that, target is too far on upper side. 

On Negative Side, if Profit Booking Starts then expect a slide up to 95.00 level and have caution.

TATASTEEL 580 PUT OPTION 
Yesterday's rally was a surprise. Do not get excited & Bulls rigged. 
Bull's eyeing a Target of 39.00 level on upper side. It looks that, target is too far on upper side. 
On Negative Side, if Profit Booking Starts then expect a slide up to 11.00 level and have caution. Huge risk involved.

Equity:
NFL (NSE Cash) 
The fertiliser industry, the key beneficiary of the government's gas allocation policy, sees a smooth flow of natural gas for urea production following the RIL-RNRL verdict, boosting investment and reducing reliance on imported gas.  
One of the companies that will benefit directly from Friday's verdict is National Fertilizer's Vijaipur I and II plants. 
These are all expansion units or ones that are in the process of switching to gas from costly naphtha and stand to benefit once more gas becomes available.

Technicals: NFL (NSE Cash) 
Yesterday's rally on expected lines. Real Buying too. 
Bull's eyeing a Target of 117.00 level on upper side. It looks that, uptrend may be limited from current levels and have caution. 
On Negative Side, if Profit Booking Starts then expect a slide up to 100.00 level and have caution. Huge risk involved.

RCF (NSE Cash) 
RCF's Thal and Trombay plants also stand to gain.

Technicals: RCF (NSE Cash) 
Yesterday's rally on expected lines. Real Buying too. 
Bull's eyeing a Target of 86.30 level on upper side. It looks that, uptrend may be limited from current levels and have caution.  

On Negative Side, if Profit Booking Starts then expect a slide up to 79.55 level and have caution.

SPOT/CASH INDEX LEVELS TODAY
NSE Nifty Index   5136.15 ( -1.11 %) -57.45       
 1 23
Resistance 5186.405236.65   5266.60  
Support 5106.205076.25 5026.00

BSE Sensex 17141.53 ( -1.09 %) -189.02      
 1 23
Resistance 17312.3017483.08 17587.00
Support 17037.6016933.68 16762.90

  Corporate News Headline
IVRCL has bagged orders worth Rs. 8.23 bn. This includes an order for construction of automotive test tracks at NATRAX - Pithampur and GARC - Chennai from the National Automotive Testing and R&D Infrastructure Project, worth Rs. 5.26 bn. (BS)
Hindalco Industries Ltd net more than doubled at Rs. 6.64 bn versus Rs. 2.69 bn reported in the quarter ended March 31, 2010. Net sales have also increased from Rs. 37.17 bn reported in the corresponding period last fiscal to Rs. 53.58 bn. (BS)
Ranbaxy Laboratories reported a consolidated profit of Rs. 9.61 bn for the quarter ended March 31, 2010, the highest ever for any three-month period, on the back of exclusive marketing rights for one of its drugs in the US. (BS)
  Economic and Political Headline
TRAI has proposed that the licence fee paid by operators should be reduced in the next four years to a uniform 6% of adjusted gross revenue from the current 6%-10%. (BS)
UK factory production surged in March, the biggest jump since 2002 as the weakness of the pound stoked exports from metals to cars. Manufacturing output rose 2.3% from February, the Office for National Statistics said in London. (Bloomberg)
Inventories at US wholesalers rose for a third month in March, and sales climbed even more, a signal companies will need to step up orders to try to meet demand. The 0.4% gain in the value of stockpiles followed a 0.6% increase the prior month, the Commerce Department said in Washington. Sales gained 2.4%, the most since November. (Bloomberg)

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
Category DateBuy Value Sell ValueNet Value
FII11-May-2010 2452.82432.61 20.19
DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDate Buy ValueSell Value Net Value
DII 11-May-2010988.14 965.6522.49

Disclosure: I don't have any positions in the above said scrips & NIFTY FUTURES.
Disclaimer:
"I do not make any warranties, express or implied, as to results to be obtained from using the information in this e-letter.  Investors should obtain individual financial advice based on their own particular circumstances before making any investment decisions based upon information in this report."
--
Arvind Parekh
+ 91 98432 32381

Tuesday, May 11, 2010

Market Outlook 11th May 2010

Strong & Weak Stocks
This is list of 10 strong stocks
Ashok Ley, UCO Bank, Andhra Bank, DCB, Uniphos, Indian Bank, Ansal Infra, Pir Health, Vijaya Bank & Tulip.  
And this is list of 10 Weak Stocks
RNRL, Balrampur Chini, Renuka, ABB, Bajaj Hind, Tech Mahindra, Aban Off shore, Educomp, India Cement & JP Associates., 
The daily trend of nifty is in downtrend 

  Corporate News Headline
Pratibha Industries said it has bagged an order worth Rs. 1.00 bn from the Maharashtra government for construction related works. The nature of work includes construction of bridges, maintenance of roads and toll collection. (BS)
Dabur said it will go ahead with its overseas acquisition plans this fiscal, particularly in the personal care and healthcare segment, in the Middle East and African countries. (ET)
Concurrent (India) Infrastructure has got a Rs. 7.44 bn project from Kranthi Constructions for infrastructure related works in Guwahati, Assam. (BS)
  Economic and Political Headline
Continuing the trajectory of growth, Indian Railways have earned Rs. 72.92 bn in April compared to Rs. 66.48 bn during the same period last year, registering an increase of 9.69%. The total goods earnings have also gone up from Rs. 45.16 bn during April 2009 to Rs. 49.48 bn during April 2010, showing an increase of 9.57%. (BS)
China's trade surplus shrank 87% in April from a year earlier as imports grew faster than exports because of stimulus-driven domestic demand. The surplus of USD 1.68 bn, reported by the customs bureau on its website, compared with a deficit in March. Imports gained 49.7%. Exports rose 30.5%. (Bloomberg)
The Bank of England kept its bond- purchase plan on hold for a fourth month and its interest rate at a record low to nurture the recovery as the post-election power vacuum and the Greek debt crisis overshadowed the economy. The Monetary Policy Committee maintained the target for its bond holdings at GBP 200 bn. The bank also kept the benchmark interest rate at a record low of 0.5%. (Bloomberg)


CASH / SPOT INDEX LEVELS TODAY
NSE Nifty Index   5193.60 ( 3.50 %) 175.55       
 1 23
Resistance 5255.735317.87   5432.43  
Support 5079.034964.47 4902.33

BSE Sensex 17330.55 ( 3.35 %) 561.44      
 1 23
Resistance 17524.9017719.24 18081.95
Support 16967.8516605.14 16410.80

NIFTY FUTURES (F & O): 
Rally may continue up to 5218 level for time being. 
Support at 5166 & 5190 levels. Below these levels, expect profit booking up to 5116-5118 zone and thereafter slide may continue up to 5068-5070 zone by non-stop. 
Buy if touches 4956-4958 zone. Stop Loss at 4908-4910 zone. 
On Positive Side, cross above 5266-5268 zone can take it up to 5315-5317 zone by non-stop. If crosses & sustains this zone then uptrend may continue.

Short-Term Investors:
 Bearish Trend. 
Down Side Target at 4812.00. 
Stop Loss at 5238.00. 
We are trading near Stop Loss level. Traders should believe that Stop Loss level won't get triggered. If getting triggered & If able to close at above 5238.00 level by consecutive 3 days then expect a jump up to 5451.00 level by non-stop.

STOCK FUTURES (NSE):
JSWSTEEL FUTURES 
JFE, which last year agreed to collaborate with JSW Steel Ltd. on automobile steel production, will make a decision on whether it plans to take a stake in the Indian company, or invest in a factory in the nation in the next six months, Hayashida said. The two companies will consider buying stakes in each other, JFE said Nov. 19, when they announced the tie up. 
"We're under discussion with a wide range of possibilities," Hayashida said. Any planned purchase of JSW won't exceed a 15 percent holding, he said. 

Technicals: JSWSTEEL FUTURES 
Yesterday's rally was a surprise & Real Buying too. 
Bull's eyeing a Target of 1311.50 level on upper side. Looks over ambitious & if you look at Positive Global Cues then this target may be possible too. 
On Negative Side, if Profit Booking Starts then it can slide up to 1140.30 level by non- stop. Huge risk involved.

UNITECH FUTURES (5 Trading Day's Holding) 
As per a report on Mint, Mumbai leads the pack with the rates going up by 30-40% in the
past six months. This is followed by the national capital region of Delhi and cities such as Bangalore, where prices have gone up by 15-20%.

Technicals: UNITECH FUTURES (5 Trading Day's Holding) 
Actually Selling taken place in last 5 Trading Days. Do not worry about this fall &
Speculative Selling too.
Bear's eyeing a Target of 68.75 level on down side. Look at Positive Global Cues & this target may not be possible too. 
On Positive Side, if Start Recovers then expect a jump up to 83.90 level by non-stop and have caution.

OPTIONS (NSE):
NIFTY 5200 CALL OPTION 
Yesterday's rally was a surprise & Real Buying too. 
Bull's eyeing a Target of 143.60 level on upper side. Looks over ambitious & if you look at Positive Global Cues then this target may be possible too. 

On Negative Side, if Profit Booking Starts then it can slide up to 48.00 level by non-stop. Huge risk involved.

RELIANCE 1100 CALL OPTION 
Yesterday's rally was in line with the expectations. Do not get excited & Bulls Rigged. 
Bull's eyeing a Target of 32.70 level on upper side. Looks over ambitious & if you look at Positive Global Cues then this target may be possible too. 
On Negative Side, if Profit Booking Starts then it can slide up to 10.00 level by non-stop. 
Huge risk involved.

Equity:
TATASTEEL (NSE Cash) 
Tata Steel which is reportedly raising Rs 10,000 crore debt also rallied.  

Technicals: TATASTEEL (NSE Cash) 
Yesterday's rally was a surprise & Real Buying too. 
Bull's eyeing a Target of 650.00 level on upper side. Looks over ambitious & if you look at Positive Global Cues then this target may be possible too. 
On Negative Side, if Profit Booking Starts then it can slide up to 554.90 level by non- stop. Huge risk involved.

TATAMOTORS (NSE Cash) 
India's Tata Motors Ltd. (500570.BY) aims to raise INR1 billion by selling bonds, a person familiar with the matter said Monday.  
India's largest auto maker by sales plans to sell 10-year bonds paying a coupon of 9.75%, the person, who asked not to be named, told Dow Jones Newswires.
Yes Bank is the sole arranger of the issue, which will be privately placed, the person added.  
Other details such as the end use of the funds weren't immediately available.

 Technicals: TATAMOTORS (NSE Cash) 
Yesterday's rally was a surprise & Real Buying too. 
Bull's eyeing a Target of 870.45 level on upper side. Looks over ambitious & if you look at Positive Global Cues then this target may be possible too. 
On Negative Side, if Profit Booking Starts then it can slide up to 765.55 level by non- stop. Huge risk involved.

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
Category DateBuy Value Sell ValueNet Value
FII10-May-2010 3123.292859.33 263.96
DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
Category DateBuy Value Sell ValueNet Value
DII10-May-2010 1405.921375.67 30.25

Disclosure: I don't have any positions in the above said scrips & NIFTY FUTURES.
Disclaimer:
"I do not make any warranties, express or implied, as to results to be obtained from using the information in this e-letter.  Investors should obtain individual financial advice based on their own particular circumstances before making any investment decisions based upon information in this report."
--
Arvind Parekh
+ 91 98432 32381